Don't count on the Enterprise until it launches. This reminds me of all the hype surrounding Watchmen. All the early reviews were positive but eventually most of the mainstream critics gave it average reviews and most audience found the movie confusing. I predict the same will happen to Star Trek. Most reviewers will give it average reviews (RT score of 50%) with the dreaded "Star Trek fans will be pleased" nonsense and mainstream viewers will go meh. ST will open big but fall away quickly. Paramount will make back it's money because of DVD and foreign markets but will shelve ST because the franchise has no staying power.
I can't agree despite having doubts about the end total (some people are going o OTT with 350-500 million estimates) I do feel that STAR TREK will get much better reviews than Watchmen and has other things going for it. No disrespect for Watchmen intended buts it has a lack of mainstream appeal, hell I never heard of the comic before the movie its a cult but obscured comic...
The trailers for Watchmen while looking pretty looked confusing and not appealing to the mainstream public, however TREK has had a much bigger and better ad campaigin because Paramount has done a stellar job (does anyone know the ad budget I've heard $70 million ?) STAR TREK does have the buzz from trek fans and non trek fans to a degree Watchmen never had...
More important the TREK fanbase both hardcore and causal dwarfs the Watchmen fanbase. I do think what ever the opening weekend is, that wost case possible double it or at least close to double to get your final domestic total. Worldwide will break $100 million worst case IMO and paramount will consider a full success at $300 million IMO but will still move on with a sequel with no doubts at $270 full total IMO.
anyone got recent tracking numbers ? early ones after each trailer were good but they can't be trusted
