Ah you have committed now!
Official STAR TREK Box Office Thread
- Thread starter Jax
- Start date
Ah you have committed now!
I'll say $8 million for Thursday night, and $58 million for Friday-Sunday (the "weekend"). So $66 million total by the end of the day Sunday.
Yeh everytime I google the matter I keep coming across 65 million and I don't see any reason why the movie should go higher than that but sure would be nice to hit at least 70 million but 65 is a dam fine start. hopefully we will be past $100 million by week 2 but everytime I add up the numbers I can't see Star trek getting past $170 million domestic.
Box office predictions are being made already! http://enewsi.com/news.php?catid=190&itemid=15055
Am still worried about the stigma and not getting kids in there with there parents on a weekend, whch Trek needs to build a good total.
I am thinking 65-70 million for OW.
$63-65 million opening weekend, with a final domestic gross just north of $200 million (my guess about $203).
International release will push Trek to around $360-380 worldwide... Paramount execs will breath a huge sigh of relief as they eventually turn in a profit from their $300 million dollar investment (movie budget and advertising).
Film will do extremely well on home video and the next Trek movie will make a boatload of money.
Everyone's happy!
International release will push Trek to around $360-380 worldwide... Paramount execs will breath a huge sigh of relief as they eventually turn in a profit from their $300 million dollar investment (movie budget and advertising).
Film will do extremely well on home video and the next Trek movie will make a boatload of money.
Everyone's happy!
My wrong what?
Oh, you mean YOU'RE wrong!!!
And a HUGE budget could also be the death knell for a movie(series). It is looking more and more likely that ST may turn a profit. However had things turned out differently, a massive financial failure could mean this train goes off the rails for a LONG time.
Oh, you mean YOU'RE wrong!!!
And a HUGE budget could also be the death knell for a movie(series). It is looking more and more likely that ST may turn a profit. However had things turned out differently, a massive financial failure could mean this train goes off the rails for a LONG time.
While a huge budget may be differcult to reap the rewards off, its what people want.
Sci-Fi relies on two main things, and does reap huge Audiences(some have recently hit 600m).
The first is a decent story line, the second is great CGI (I mean, that's what's its for is't it?).
The first is most important and doesn't need a lot of money to make - but it sure as hell helps (and trek generation movies could do with a little refinment).
The second, needs a ton of cash usually and is a great fall back if the story is shite.
I have never understood fans wanting a star trek movie to be made under budget- it can only appeal to trekkies - and some of us want a decent film.
Spend money, make it accessible, make it decent for those of us who watch anyway and "Live long and prosper."
BTW:
I would like to reserve my estimate for the world wide total at the $1B mark, you never know - i might get lucky.
Sci-Fi relies on two main things, and does reap huge Audiences(some have recently hit 600m).
The first is a decent story line, the second is great CGI (I mean, that's what's its for is't it?).
The first is most important and doesn't need a lot of money to make - but it sure as hell helps (and trek generation movies could do with a little refinment).
The second, needs a ton of cash usually and is a great fall back if the story is shite.
I have never understood fans wanting a star trek movie to be made under budget- it can only appeal to trekkies - and some of us want a decent film.
Spend money, make it accessible, make it decent for those of us who watch anyway and "Live long and prosper."
BTW:
I would like to reserve my estimate for the world wide total at the $1B mark, you never know - i might get lucky.
The Ad budget is weird because I've heard that all of the ad money does not have anything to do with the gross profit of the movie, not sure what that means or how that works. Either way Trek needs $300 million minimum for smiles and 350 or more would be a party down at paramount pictures.
I wonder if Paramount are hoping that if they go all out for this movie the profile of J Trek would be high enough so they don't have to spend so much on advertising next time around and the overall production budget with sets already up etc could hopefully be trimmed to 140 or 130 because I see any sequels not being as long due to no longer needing to give so much character time to establish the crew.
I need to google the ad thing been bugging me since I heard it
Paramount is going for the "Pirates" effect. Curse of the Black Pearl made a tidy sum of money $305 million domestically, but word of mouth and strong video sales sent the sequel, Dead Man's Chest through the stratosphere with a $423 million domestic gross and huge international sales.
Also don't forget, Paramount was willing to take a huge gamble with Iron Man as well and that paid off. Iron Man wasn't exactly a household name as far as Marvel super heroes go and I would certainly categorize him as more of "second-tier" hero (a la Daredevil or Ghost Rider). But Paramount was willing to pony up the money for the budget and really advertised the film well.
I'm sure they are banking on a huge return of their investment somewhere down the road, but I agree, $300 million is an aweful lot to invest, especially for a Star Trek film and a franchise that has only seen one film make over $100 million domestically (Star Trek IV).
Also don't forget, Paramount was willing to take a huge gamble with Iron Man as well and that paid off. Iron Man wasn't exactly a household name as far as Marvel super heroes go and I would certainly categorize him as more of "second-tier" hero (a la Daredevil or Ghost Rider). But Paramount was willing to pony up the money for the budget and really advertised the film well.
I'm sure they are banking on a huge return of their investment somewhere down the road, but I agree, $300 million is an aweful lot to invest, especially for a Star Trek film and a franchise that has only seen one film make over $100 million domestically (Star Trek IV).
The actual total costs for this film are nowhere near 300 million, and the bean counters know the difference.
In any event, not spending enough money on the movie could just have easily have doomed it - not only where quality is concerned, but simply because if a studio doesn't spend a whole lot to make a movie they don't spend a whole lot to promote it - and their more expensive films are the ones that they shepherd through the madness of opening weekend positioning and box office, etc because they already have a big production investment.
A studio that spends much less than 100 million on this kind of commercial action flick with plans to release it during the summer may as well go straight-to-video.
As the cliche says, go big or go home.
In any event, not spending enough money on the movie could just have easily have doomed it - not only where quality is concerned, but simply because if a studio doesn't spend a whole lot to make a movie they don't spend a whole lot to promote it - and their more expensive films are the ones that they shepherd through the madness of opening weekend positioning and box office, etc because they already have a big production investment.
A studio that spends much less than 100 million on this kind of commercial action flick with plans to release it during the summer may as well go straight-to-video.
As the cliche says, go big or go home.
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