Forgive me, but Star Trek owns the copy rights to all Star Trek, which means that after a fashion that they own all Fanfilms, which means that if they shoved the universe onto one edge, they might be able to take Axanar and air it off their website or on TV, because it's legally a possibility that they can seize the final product and use it how they see fit.
This has never happened before because even the best fan films were, to be kind, shit.
I say there's a %4 chance of this happening.
Maybe %50 if Star Trek is willing to give these people millions of dollars.
So yes, %4.