Civil War has already eclipsed a billion.
And then there's that Rouge One thingy.
And then there's that Rouge One thingy.
Does anyone know how Beyond is tracking for its opening weekend?
- Thread starter VOODOOXI
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I fully believe it will be the top grossing Star Trek movie of the year. As much as I'd love it to really compete with the big boys It's getting nowhere near those Marvel numbers. $550-600million tops.
I enjoyed it far more than Civil War. Have you guys ever noticed a question getting asked: "Why can't Trek/Whatever franchise be fun and exciting and entertaining and not go total grimdark, etc?" To me, this movie achieves that, while feeling like Trek and not Star Wars, and certainly not loaded down with its franchise' past like Into Darkness was. I hope to be vindicated by the opening weekend numbers in the U.S.
Yes. Even if it did 2x as well as ST09 domestic and 2x STID global, it would still be short of Civil War.
It's got a great chance of being the highest grossing Trek movie worldwide, even when adjusted for inflation, but I just cannot see it going past STID's domestic gross, and certainly not ST09's, the international figures should make up the shortfall, but I reckon it's going to top out at 500 million worldwide. I know Ice Age is not exactly it's target market competition, but there's only so many dollars to go around. Then we've got Jason Bourne next weekend, and Suicide Squad (which is tracking for a big opening) shortly after that's going to provide serious, if not overwhelming competition, hey, even The Secret Life of Pets will probably do at least 20-25 million this weekend. There simply isn't the money in the marketplace for Beyond to have a massive opening weekend.
I wonder how much role the May vs July release will play.
I honestly don't think they could have picked a better week. GB under-performed, and Jason Bourne Again seems to have stayed below the beam.
My own opinion isn't fact (obviously), but I think it's better than the previous two in every way. It stands on it's own, it just feels more like Trek and it doesn't rely on a pile of old plot re-enactments like Into Darkness did. It gives all the main characters a chance to shine and they act and feel like the family that made the original series movies great. It even has a Wrath of Khan quality about it that Into Darkness just couldn't replicate despite trying so hard.
I'm not doubting the apparent quality of the product - all the evidence so far points to Beyond being the best of the three, just your statement of it being the highest grossing film of the year.
Oh it's just a wild prediction, mostly because I think it deserves it.
I like your enthusiasm. I have purchased tickets for Saturday but we are not "new viewers" and would not be typical of a massive increase of the ST movie attendance. If this movie eclipses ST09 ($257m) it will be a huge success. To get past $300m would be fantastic! However, Finding Dory is going to probably end up between $480-500m, Civil War is around $407m and Deadpool/Jungle Book both did over $360m (with Suicide Squad and Rogue One still to release). This is not going to be the top grossing film of the year. Hopefully it can finish in the top 10. Something that STID wasn't able to accomplish.
I assumed you meant domestic box office. For Worldwide (with Civil War being the current target), STB would have to nearly double domestically and more than triple overseas to claim the top spot. Crossing a billion dollars for a franchise that has yet to hit a half a billion is not very likely.
You are probably right but I still have hope that great WOM and reviews combined with a relatively weak set of blockbusters on adjacent weekends can help start enough momentum to push it back to ST09 numbers and beyond. The biggest pisser is still going to be the disadvantageous monetary rates compared to several years ago (since most of the franchise's increase is bound to be overseas). And hopefully getting such a late China release date won't hurt it too much (piracy is rampant in China).
I was just reading an article in the LA Times that Paramount is expecting the domestic box office for Beyond to be lower than the previous two movies largely due to the fact its been an underwhelming summer at the box office in general. Paramount is cautiously projecting 50 to 55 million for the opening weekend but most are projecting $60 or maybe $65 million. It's clear anything $60 million or over and Paramount will be thrilled.
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