Does anyone know how Beyond is tracking for its opening weekend?
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Amaris
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They'll get $30 from me and my friends. That should be enough, right?
I'm bringing multiple family and friends. I think it will be 3 viewings. IF its good enough I will probably see it on my own once and tie Into Darkness with 4 views, my record by far for a movie. One time will be non-IMAX because one of my nephews didn't do so well visually with IMAX.
It's going to make money between domestic and international. If it ends up having a disappointing run compared to what Paramount wanted to make, someone other than Lin will probably be in the driver's seat. But a fourth one seems rather likely regardless.
I seen the first two a combined seven times at the theater. I can foresee going to Beyond at least a couple of times.
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Amaris
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Oh, I'd love to see the film many, many times in theaters, but I'll be lucky to make it to the first one.
If I decide to go to the IMAX show, I'll probably only see it once.
Tix are $18. Plus the only IMAX theater in town is reserved only, so there's a $2 surcharge on top. That's almost the twice what it'd be to see it on a standard screen.
Tix are $18. Plus the only IMAX theater in town is reserved only, so there's a $2 surcharge on top. That's almost the twice what it'd be to see it on a standard screen.
Not really, the domestic market is still the most profitable for studios. China returns a much lower percentage of gate receipts and has no secondary revenue (merchandise, commercial tie-ins, DVD sales, On-demand, etc). The advantage to China of having no real marketing costs (because the state controls the media) is somewhat negated by having no ancillary revenue.
Plus how many movies have actually done MORE in China than the US? So far it is just a handful. And to get equitable value, China would have to make more than twice in their market than is made in North America (US & Canada).
I am going to predict that Star Trek Beyond outperforms the estimates. I'm thinking somewhere in the $62-68m range . . . . so let's say $65m. That would be a fantastic start given the performance of this year's box office and give it a great shot at crossing $200 million. I'm assuming good reviews and a successful world premiere at Comic-Con.
http://deadline.com/2016/07/suicide-squad-social-media-ghostbusters-star-trek-beyond-1201785712/
New article in Deadline Hollywood.
According to tracking by comScore of social media conversations for new movies, STB is 4th on the list of most talked about new movies.
Suicide Squad and Rogue One obviously super popular.
After that, Ghostbusters is 3rd perhaps for the wrong reasons.
STB is 4th solidly in front of Ice Age and Jason Bourne.
New article in Deadline Hollywood.
According to tracking by comScore of social media conversations for new movies, STB is 4th on the list of most talked about new movies.
Suicide Squad and Rogue One obviously super popular.
After that, Ghostbusters is 3rd perhaps for the wrong reasons.
STB is 4th solidly in front of Ice Age and Jason Bourne.
2 weeks ago they reported 48-60 but there's been a lot of PR since then and things have ramped up tremendously... (gay sulu, rhianna video, third trailer, lots of tv ads, star studded aussi and uk premieres) so it could go higher... plus reviews if as good as the first two will help. so far i have read only hugely positive stuff coming from the screenings but there's an embargo on reviews until the day it opens which usually means bad but the word from all the leaks is it seems to be really fun and exciting and very trek like. one person called the response from the aussie premiere from the crowd as incredible. plus the big comic con premiere here... (which i am going to
the first one did 75 million and made 380 million worldwide 260 here. STID opened with 70 (5 million less) and made 230 million (30 million less) here 470 worldwide (90 million more). overseas is expanding which is huge.
let's remember nemesis made 67 million total worldwide so keep things in perspective. i predict 180 here total and maybe 500 worldwide.
I don't think they mean its only going to get 50 million here earn nothing anywhere else in the world and be a hit in china to get a sequel.
I assume they are expecting a lower overall US performance opening 50 million, perhaps ending run at 150 million or sos, earns roughly the same amount it did in the rest of the overseas markets 173 (without china) and did hit numbers in China, anything 100 million or higher. Put those numbers together you'll get the highest World Wide gross for a Trek film, of course figuring outlaw much of that gross would be net, is a different story, but with beyond reportable having a lower budget, we would get a sequel.
This is actually going to be very interesting run. china is expected to see a rather significant gain, again. while it double what it did in into darkness, unknown but it is certainly possible, in fact it could really perform well as its is going to be in a period that used to be off limit to US films (and still isn't open to many). Are we going to see continued growth in latin and South America, as well as Asia (likely overall). How hard are www going to be hit in Europe and the United Kingdom, the Brexit vote as really hurt the local currency for films of these last two weeks and i certainly expect it to continue. II expect drops of 20% in US revenue from europe and United Kingdom.
I don't believe STB has received a release date yet in China. With Tarzan already slated for July 19, Pets on Aug 2, Ice Age and Bourne on Aug 23 and Sep 1st respectively . . . . unless STB gets a last minute mid August Slot, it might not release until the fall.
The problem with China is that you can't rely on revenue from a country that schedules your releases and may leave you with a poor release date (due to local blockbusters or being sandwiched between other Hollywood tentpoles). Expecting $80-115m would seem reasonable but that market is notoriously unreliable. I haven't seen any talk about how good or bad STB's release date is because . . . it doesn't have one yet.
The release date for China has been posted many times
My bad, I thought we were talking about mainland China. I believe this poster is for the Hong Kong release and yes . . . Hong Kong is July 21st. But the theater industry in that region is handled differently and not under central control.
http://www.startrekmovie.com/_apps/releasedates/release-dates.html
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The release date for China has been posted many times
Rumors are that STB will be released in China on Sept 2.
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