I think Star Trek Discovery season 2 proves that belief wrong. As a TOS fan who saw that series first run (in it's third season in 1969) I thought all the callbacks the casting of Anson Mount as Christopher Pike, And Ethan Peck as Spock, and Rebecca Romijn Stamos as Number One was great - And for me that season of Star Trek was the best season of Star Trek since TOS season 1.That Star Trek can't rely on nostalgia like Trek, it can try, but it'll fail. Otherwise the new shows would be more like Orville.
I think it shows that no catering to nostalgia doesn't mean that everything's going to revert to TNG style 'Oroville-esque' Star Trek.
Lower Decks, Even though it's set in the post-Nemesis TNG era, And also does trade heavily on TNG nostalgia, certainly isn't anything like TNG of the '90s; And even though it's comedic in nature; I find it much more enjoyable and funny than 'The Orville' And don't consider it 'Orville-like' at all. (YMMV).