The cyberpunk writers of the 1980s nailed more about the world we actually live in now than did the "hard sf" and space-opera writers of the 1950s and 60s.
Of course they did. They had a 20-30 year head start.
The cyberpunk writers of the 1980s nailed more about the world we actually live in now than did the "hard sf" and space-opera writers of the 1950s and 60s.
Technology is always tricky to predict. Just look at the nineties trying to predict the future of music storage. Men in Black had those tiny discs that were going to replace CDs, even Star Trek had Zefram Cochrane listening to his music on some kind of weird transparent green hexagonal disc. No one seemed to predict that the next form of music media would in fact be digital.
Of course they did. They had a 20-30 year head start.
Well now, there's a non sequitur.
Technology is always tricky to predict. Just look at the nineties trying to predict the future of music storage. Men in Black had those tiny discs that were going to replace CDs, even Star Trek had Zefram Cochrane listening to his music on some kind of weird transparent green hexagonal disc. No one seemed to predict that the next form of music media would in fact be digital.
People don't get used to tech instantaneously, though. One of my parents started out in the computer science department with punch cards, but moved to a different field. They are just now getting the basics of navigating the internet with proficiency. Other members of my family who do not use newer tech on a daily basis (phones, computers, etc) and ranging in age from 25 to 55, are not aware of all the newest tech. In fact, one person I know had to research all new components in order to tell someone what type of computer he wanted to build, because he had kept up on newer developments since the last computer he built 10 years ago.That's because none of them consulted any prominent inventors/futurists, people knew about digitalisation of media since the early 1980's, just nobody believed them. Just like people now know that we'll have fully brain-integrated virtual simulations by the mid of this century, but it seems too improbable for most.
People also get used to new tech instantaneously and it seems like it has always been this way and that it's not a big deal.
As a hobby, possibly. But it isn't realistic that tapes would suddenly start being used again on high tech Interstellar vessels, or computers would revert to 1960s designs. There will always be those who enjoy old aesthetics, and Trek's depicted more than one of those people, but we are talking about the technology in use by Starfleet, the scientific and paramilitary elite of the Federation. Their stuff is going to be cutting edge, leave the vinyl and the hipster coffee for their quarters.But then again, vinyl has come back. Who's to say that other retro tech won't as well?
But it isn't realistic that tapes would suddenly start being used again on high tech Interstellar vessels
Just because they are called tapes doesn't mean that they're actual tapes. After all we still use outdated terms such as hard drives, floppy drives, cellphones, etc.
Realistically language would have drifted so much in 300 years that normal conversations would be difficult to follow.I think within a generation or two, you'll have that. I don't think people will be referring to recording tech as "tapes" in three-hundred years.
'Hang up' when disconnecting a phone call, 'roll up window' even though they're operated by buttons. These things are common.For what it's worth I still say "let's video tape this" even though there's no tape
Realistically language would have drifted so much in 300 years that normal conversations would be difficult to follow.
I don't believe the show is in trouble. I do believe it will be entertaining for modern audiences. I don't believe it will be anything like TOS or the TNG-era, except on a superficial level. People expecting to be sent back in time to their respective glory days will likely be sorely disappointed.
Vinyl has come back because audiophiles recognize the greater warmth of an analog format over digital. It's similar with film vs. digital photography or digital moviemaking.But then again, vinyl has come back. Who's to say that other retro tech won't as well? Besides, despite the popularity of streaming and digital, I think people are always going to want a hard copy format option (personal preference, extra security of content, convenience, collectability, convention autographing, the like.)
One of the new programs I am learning at work still uses a floppy disk icon for saving, despite being a completely custom program.'Hang up' when disconnecting a phone call, 'roll up window' even though they're operated by buttons. These things are common.
Until we have replicatorsVinyl has come back because audiophiles recognize the greater warmth of an analog format over digital. It's similar with film vs. digital photography or digital moviemaking.
But for what it's worth, the audio quality of vinyl is actually surpassed by reel-to-reel tape. There is a company in my area that is releasing certain classic jazz and orchestral albums on reel-to-reel tape. But they cost about $300 each, making the format a bit out of the price range of the average consumer and thus unlikely to have a similar resurgence.
Kor
One of the new programs I am learning at work still uses a floppy disk icon for saving, despite being a completely custom program.
a floppy disk
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