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Ok. What is the chance of a Picard spinoff?

Blockbuster and Hollywood Video went bankrupt

Yes -- they went bankrupt because of Netflix and Hulu, which were able to replicate their same service (providing a wide variety of movies and TV shows from a wide variety of studios) with the greater convenience of both a larger catalog and the customer getting the content from their home instead of having to go to a store. In other words, a paradigm-shattering service emerged. The things that led to Blockbuster's and Hollywood Video's bankruptcies aren't applicable to the streaming industry's current paradigm and won't be until a new paradigm-shattering service emerges.

Before streaming became a paradigm-shattering service, the idea of a single-studio video rental company would have been absurd, because within the paradigm of home video rental companies competing with one-another, they had to compete on variety of content and size of catalog.

That's basically the same situation streamers are in today -- they have to compete with one-another on size of catalog and variety of content, in order to ensure a stable, year-round subscriber base.

The question for single-studio streamers is how catalog size and content diversity can lead to financial viability. So far, no single-studio streamer has turned a profit, and it seems to me that that's because no single-studio streamer has been able to develop a back catalog large enough and diverse enough in content to attract a large-enough stable, year-round subscriber base to earn the kind of income they need to turn a profit.

Netflix was an aggregator

Yes. And it may well be that an aggregator streamer is better at attracting a stable year-round subscriber base than a single-studio streamer.

(For the longest time, they carried Disco and Picard).

In other countries. In the United States, Star Trek: Discovery and Star Trek: Picard were always exclusive to Paramount+.

P+ was tired of having to pay someone else to carry THEIR own stuff.

Yes, studios often want to profit from distribution as well as production. Hence the old studio system back in the Golden Age before the Paramount Consent Decrees, and hence the emergence of single-studio streamers like Paramount+, Disney+, etc. However, a studio's desire to profit from distribution as well as production does not mean that they are actually able to so profit. There's a reason Paramount+ and Disney+ have not yet turned profits for their owners; it is not clear if the business model is fundamentally viable.
 
An interesting statistic from July 2022, generated by whip media. In 2022 Yellowstone Season ? and Picard Season 2 were the in Top 3 of shows, which drove subscriptions to paid streaming service. I think it is fair to say, that Picard Season 3 will be number one in this year’s poll…

oFHUog1.jpg
 
An interesting statistic from July 2022, generated by whip media. In 2022 Yellowstone Season ? and Picard Season 2 were the in Top 3 of shows, which drove subscriptions to paid streaming service. I think it is fair to say, that Picard Season 3 will be number one in this year’s poll…

oFHUog1.jpg

DISCO 6th if I am reading that right.
 
Radical idea: since the DISCO crew are the last links the 32nd has to Starfleet before the Burn, many of them take Academy positions, not just Tilly.
 
An interesting statistic from July 2022, generated by whip media. In 2022 Yellowstone Season ? and Picard Season 2 were the in Top 3 of shows, which drove subscriptions to paid streaming service. I think it is fair to say, that Picard Season 3 will be number one in this year’s poll…

oFHUog1.jpg

And info like that makes me suspect that even if Paramount+ folds, Paramount will still produce plenty of new Star Trek. They'll just have another streamer (probably Netflix) carry it instead of distributing it themselves.
 
DISCO spawned SNW, a Starfleet Academy show, and a Section 31 movie. Plus it ushered in an era with 5 TV shows overlapping. Six if you count Orville.

Why would we count a non Star Trek show? Should we count in The Expanse being picked up by Prime too?
Another odd thing about this "if you count Orville" business is that even if we entertain the notion of considering The Orville to be de facto Trek, in what way can it be considered to be a spinoff of Discovery specifically? Their first seasons were contemporaneous. Looking it up, it appears that The Orville actually premiered two weeks before Discovery.

So is all of streaming Trek a spinoff of The Orville?
 
I mean, there might be.

The thing of it is, almost six years into its lifespan now if you count the days when it was called CBS All-Access, Paramount+ still has never turned a profit.

Now, that's not necessarily evidence that the "Star Trek Universe" concept of having three or more shows in constant production and new episodes almost every week of the year is not financially viable per se. Because, after all, none of the single-studio streamers have turned a profit. And all of them were run with the plan to operate on a deficit for the first few years while they built up a large enough back catalog to entice year-round subscribers.

All the single-studio streamers are now coming under pressure from Wall Street to start cutting costs and turning a profit before their initial plans called for them to stop deficit spending. But that doesn't mean the plan would have worked if they'd stuck to it either.

The question is whether or not that business model is viable, period.

I have always suspected that the entire concept of a single-studio streamer never really made financial sense. To make a comparison, back in the '90s, you didn't go out to the single-studio VHS rental stores. You didn't go to the Paramount Home Video Rental Store for a copy of Forrest Gump and then to the Disney Home Video Rental Store for a copy of The Lion King and then to the 20th Century Fox Home Video Rental Store for a copy of The Empire Strikes Back. You went to Blockbuster or Family Video or Hollywood Video or whatever, and they had copies of all three -- because the value came from having a wide variety of content from a wide variety of studio. I think that's ultimately why Netflix and Hulu are going to be more financially viable than Paramount+ or Disney+ or whatever.

But.

That again doesn't mean that the idea of year-round Star Trek content is not financially viable. If Paramount+ folds, it's entirely possible that Paramount could cut a deal to continue year-round Star Trek production to be carried on Netflix or Hulu instead. And I suspect that that might be more financially viable for Paramount than trying to do it on their own streamer.
No franchise can support a streaming service on its own. Star Wars + MCU together doesn't even do that for Disney. Heck, adding Disney proper to the mix, and that service is still a financial loser. That Paramount+ isn't profitable isn't on Star Trek. It's on their lack of developed other IPs to draw on a wider audience, and likely, as you said, a fundamental failing of the single-studio streaming model.

I don't think it's viable. I think there is market space for maybe three big ones and two boutique ones. I just discovered the other week that Amazon turned Epix into "MGM+", rather than fold it into Amazon Prime video, because for whatever reason, they thing we need another streaming service. Interesting, they arent doing new Stargate stuff, because it would probably be costly vs more grounded content.
 
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I suspect that if Q became a recurring role, he would choose to appear as Shaw around Seven.

I absolutely love this idea.

I do wish they would bring Shaw back in a regular plot contrivance though. Show a flashback of Ohk bringing him back from the dead and he has a fake heart or something now like human-bodied Picard did. But I'd also be thrilled with Q-Shaw.
 
No franchise can support a streaming service on its own.

100%. The fact that Warner Bros. tried to have a streaming service exclusively for DC Comics adaptations and it lasted less than three years proves how wrong-headed the idea that a single franchise could support a stream is. Streamers, like video rental chains before them, have to compete on variety and catalog size.
 
What did he say?
That the overwhelming response to the season has been heard and they're listening, and while nothing is iminent, there is more stories to tell of the Era.

I think they got caught unaware. There has been an over decade-long focus of the 23rd century because marketing things that the most accessible and iconic "Star Trek" is all things 2350s/2360s, and Captain Kirk and Science Officer Spock and punching Klingons and stuff. That era. They were blind that because of the sheer mass of content and duration in which it aired, far more people were brought to Trek via the TNG-ENT era and the TOS-TNG movies than the 1960s show that started it all.

At one point, I would have said there may be a generational thing at work here, but really only the older Generation Xers would have been old enough to see Star Trek and get it (it is much more of a Boomer show). The older Generation X executives occupy kind of the dead zone. Younger GenX (like Matalas) and Millennials would have "their Star Trek" be the 24th century era. Relevant because in many forms of media, when revivals come, what's revived is the most familiar form of the content to the writers/producers.

But that can run head to head against Marketing imperatives. So really, who knows. We can only speculate. But I do not think they figured the 24th/25th century was more than a hardcore fan appendage to the franchise, and not its beating heart.
 
100%. The fact that Warner Bros. tried to have a streaming service exclusively for DC Comics adaptations and it lasted less than three years proves how wrong-headed the idea that a single franchise could support a stream is. Streamers, like video rental chains before them, have to compete on variety and catalog size.
Against much criticism, Warner's new owners are actually engaging in an experiment. HBO Max was by design "everything Warner had". Every movie, TV show, animation. The entire archive. But I guess they pay residuals to performers based on viewers, which means an entire archive is a sponge for money outflow, even when the content is old.

So what they're doing now is they're going to focus on "relevant" (according to their metric) content on "Max" and content that isn't at the core of their buisness, they're going to lisence out. Like Raised By Wolves (BADLY underrated show IMO) is going to Hulu I believe for reruns, and the new animated Batman show is going to Netflix, rather than being in the pre-Discovery merger's central plan for the DC side of HBO.

There may be something to this from their angle to have new "relevant" content have to support just themselves rather than themselves+legacy content. Personally, I'd really miss if the archival nature of streaming goes away (and will drive me back into torreting for archival purposes like yesteryear). But if Disney can't do it, I dont think anyone can.

One thing though.. and I said it before... all these shows trying to go toe to toe with Star Wars and MCU, which have $200 million+ budgets per season, is insane. Picard looked great as basically and evolved version of the Star Trek: Enterprise style of CG (with some flourish like camera swooping and the nebulas). And I'm willing to be based on Matalas' comments from the start of the season the show was very economical outside of actors pay (which is high, because veteran actors in old roles always are). But then I look at Discovery and SNW, which have generally excellent CGI, but it adds so much to costs. Does Star Trek, or really any show need that? I'd say not. If it was JUST Discovery or JUST SNW maybe. But two shows doing $100 million CGI seasons? That's a quick way to burn through a pile of money for limited returns.

I love Star Trek in all its forms and I think there is no one "right" way to do the franchise (nor should their be), but I think think in terms of running shows economically for long duration, simultaneously, there are huge lessons from the Berman era for current Star Trek franchise heads, and really the heads of many franchises to draw from. Berman may have been an imperious pig, but also expertly managed the production-side of the franchise for a very long time. When Enterprise ended, the franchise never looked better.
 
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I suspect that if Q became a recurring role, he would choose to appear as Shaw around Seven.

Would love to see him on Jack as well; his introduction there was simply perfect.

Seven might be closer to Sisko in some ways - unless they give her a new way. Picard tolerated Q, Janeway was asked for help, Sisko played Q's game right back at him... WW7D?
 
Against much criticism, Warner's new owners are actually engaging in an experiment. HBO Max was by design "everything Warner had". Every movie, TV show, animation. The entire archive. But I guess they pay residuals to performers based on viewers, which means an entire archive is a sponge for money outflow, even when the content is old.

So what they're doing now is they're going to focus on "relevant" (according to their metric) content on "Max" and content that isn't at the core of their buisness, they're going to lisence out. Like Raised By Wolves (BADLY underrated show IMO) is going to Hulu I believe for reruns, and the new animated Batman show is going to Netflix, rather than being in the pre-Discovery merger's central plan for the DC side of HBO.

There may be something to this from their angle to have new "relevant" content have to support just themselves rather than themselves+legacy content. Personally, I'd really miss if the archival nature of streaming goes away (and will drive me back into torreting for archival purposes like yesteryear). But if Disney can't do it, I dont think anyone can.

One thing though.. and I said it before... all these shows trying to go toe to toe with Star Wars and MCU, which have $200 million+ budgets per season, is insane. Picard looked great as basically and evolved version of the Star Trek: Enterprise style of CG (with some flourish like camera swooping and the nebulas). And I'm willing to be based on Matalas' comments from the start of the season the show was very economical outside of actors pay (which is high, because veteran actors in old roles always are). But then I look at Discovery and SNW, which have generally excellent CGI, but it adds so much to costs. Does Star Trek, or really any show need that? I'd say not. If it was JUST Discovery or JUST SNW maybe. But two shows doing $100 million CGI seasons? That's a quick way to burn through a pile of money for limited returns.

I love Star Trek in all its forms and I think there is no one "right" way to do the franchise (nor should their be), but I think think in terms of running shows economically for long duration, simultaneously, there are huge lessons from the Berman era for current Star Trek franchise heads, and really the heads of many franchises to draw from. Berman may have been an imperious pig, but also expertly managed the production-side of the franchise for a very long time. When Enterprise ended, the franchise never looked better.

All excellent insights. I agree Paramount is probably going to start requiring Star Trek to be more economical again in the future; I think the question is how cheap they can go while still looking decent on modern HD television sets. Visual effects are a major part of their costs, but I imagine so is set design and lighting.
 
I haven't a clue about the chances of it happening but I'm on board for a Legacy series.

My preference would be for mostly standalone adventures while paying heed to what's just happened and its aftermath. Pretending none of what's just happened mattered or had consequences would be stupid. I'd expect that characters from Voyager and DS9 would make appearances (although frankly I have absolutely no interest whatsoever in what Chuckles, Bashir and Quark might be up to these days) and that old plot points might be visited, but I'd rather that wasn't all a Legacy series would be about. It all remains to be seen, of course.

I hope the Legacy series happens. I much more interested in it than the Academy series (and its 32nd Century timeframe).
Seconded. Regardless of when it was to potentially set, I've never found the idea of an Academy series even slightly interesting. The fact it's going to be set in the 32nd century somehow makes it even less appealing. Each to their own, however.

Like, we don't have to have universe ending issues to drive a plot
I'd rather we got away from the "Earth / the Federation (and it'd be good to do away with the apparent notion that Earth is the Federation, too) / the entire universe is in grave danger" stuff and looked outward. There have to be other stories to tell.
 
But I do not think they figured the 24th/25th century was more than a hardcore fan appendage to the franchise, and not its beating heart.
Which is weird if you consider that 24th century Trek had 21 seasons, 526 episodes, airing over 14 years without pause.
 
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