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New Flu Virus SPREADS!

As Trekker has stated so many times, MAY SWEEPS!!!!

Scientists see this flu strain as relatively mild
Genetic data indicate this outbreak won't be as deadly as that of 1918, or even the average winter.


By Karen Kaplan and Alan Zarembo
April 30, 2009

As the World Health Organization raised its infectious disease alert level Wednesday and health officials confirmed the first death linked to swine flu inside U.S. borders, scientists studying the virus are coming to the consensus that this hybrid strain of influenza -- at least in its current form -- isn't shaping up to be as fatal as the strains that caused some previous pandemics.

In fact, the current outbreak of the H1N1 virus, which emerged in San Diego and southern Mexico late last month, may not even do as much damage as the run-of-the-mill flu outbreaks that occur each winter without much fanfare.

"Let's not lose track of the fact that the normal seasonal influenza is a huge public health problem that kills tens of thousands of people in the U.S. alone and hundreds of thousands around the world," said Dr. Christopher Olsen, a molecular virologist who studies swine flu at the University of Wisconsin School of Veterinary Medicine in Madison.
http://www.latimes.com/features/health/la-sci-swine-reality30-2009apr30,0,3606923.story
 
No need to worry unless your blood test looks like this:

SwineFlu.gif
 
Considering we shouldn't be at level 5 to begin with...

Read what Level 5 is, EVERY disease on the planet is a Level 5, the common flu is a level five. If people get sick from other people and there have been been deaths in two or more countries it's a level 5. However the only death that took place in the USA was from a Mexican.
You say "EVERY disease on the planet is a Level 5" - it sounds like you still don't understand the definitions or the nature of infectious diseases. You should consider re-reading the WHO Phases of Pandemic Alert:

http://www.who.int/csr/disease/avian_influenza/phase/en/index.html

The Pandemic Phases description refers to a specific strain of an infection (any infection, but in this case Influenza virus) that is traceable and can be followed. The WHO feel they are at Phase 5 following news that the virus had spread among humans in two or more areas within the same WHO-defined region (in this case, the Americas) - presumably the index cases in each local outbreak were visitors from an affected area. We were at Phase 4 earlier this week due to documentation of human to human spread of the virus in a single area (Mexico). Here's hoping we don't have Phase 6, a.k.a. Pandemic™, declared (human to human spread in different WHO-defined regions of the world) or panic, spread by the typically insensitive modern media of the world, will ensue.

Also, nowhere in the description is the word "death" mentioned, as the phases refer to the transmissibility of a specific strain of the virus between humans in different parts of the world, not whether it kills people or not.

There may be a risk of pandemic due to the ease of which a specific strain spreads around the world and is found in documented cases of people with flu symptoms, but whether it kills everyone or not depends on the effectiveness of how we deal with prevention of the infection's transmission and treatment of identified cases among the general population, where there is nevertheless an average mortality rate (every disease has a mortality rate, it's just that some diseases have a mortality rate of 0.000% ;)).

Of course, the media doesn't help by confusing "suspected" cases with "confirmed" cases - Mexico recently revised its death toll from 168 suspected, down to about 20, and now down to 8 deaths confirmed to be due to swine flu.

Incidentally the virus is now officially called Influenza A (H1N1) according to the WHO. :vulcan:
 
I wonder how many of these unconfirmed cases are just idiots with hayfever who can't tell them apart. They share quite a few symptoms; stuffed nose, cough (via post-nasal-drip from stuffed nose) and lethargy to name a few.
 
CODE 7! PIG FLU HAS REACHED THE WHITE HOUSE!!!

WASHINGTON – A member of the U.S. delegation that helped prepare Energy Secretary Steven Chu's trip to Mexico City has demonstrated flu-like symptoms and his family members have tested probable for swine flu.
White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said Thursday that three members of an aide's family are being tested to see if they have the same strain of swine flu that is threatening to become a pandemic. The aide worked in presidential advance, which is responsible for planning and preparing trips.
Gibbs said that Secretary Chu has not experienced any symptoms. The spokesman also said that President Barack Obama also has had no symptoms of the virus and doctors see no need to conduct any tests on his health.

So this should end come June and then pick back up again in November for those sweeps?
 
Goddamnit, now the stupid bugs popped up here in Washington state. Seven suspected cases and they've started closing schools. I have to admit with the thing less than 25 miles away I can understand how easy it is to let yourself freak out.

I guess I shouldn't worry too much about that concert in July beign cancelled. If the media is to be believed, by then this'll either be forgotten, or we'll all be dead. :rolleyes:
 
It really does seem to me that the American and British media (the only ones I've looked at thus far) seem to be going out of their way to avoid ANY mitigating news on this outbreak. I have not once heard CNN, for instance, report that Mexican officials are saying that this may be tapering off there (stabilizing, in their words).

They rarely report that most scientists and medical professionals (you know, the people who actually know what they're talking about) have repeatedly stated that this is hardly a truly deadly infectious disease, ala HIV, Yellow Fever, Malaria or Smallpox. They report "109 COMFIRMED CASES!!!", but almost under their breaths they may mutter "but most are at home and doing fine", as if they couldn't be bothered. They report that "more schools closed!!!", without stating the fact that most schools close if there's ANY kind of highly contagious outbreak.

FWIW, I have no problem with CNN or the BBC or other outlets constantly hyperventilating about Influenza A, but at least balance that with some facts that give viewers/readers a real, honest perspective on what's going on instead of just feeding them shallow hype.
 
It really does seem to me that the American and British media (the only ones I've looked at thus far) seem to be going out of their way to avoid ANY mitigating news on this outbreak. I have not once heard CNN, for instance, report that Mexican officials are saying that this may be tapering off there (stabilizing, in their words).

They rarely report that most scientists and medical professionals (you know, the people who actually know what they're talking about) have repeatedly stated that this is hardly a truly deadly infectious disease, ala HIV, Yellow Fever, Malaria or Smallpox. They report "109 COMFIRMED CASES!!!", but almost under their breaths they may mutter "but most are at home and doing fine", as if they couldn't be bothered. They report that "more schools closed!!!", without stating the fact that most schools close if there's ANY kind of highly contagious outbreak.

FWIW, I have no problem with CNN or the BBC or other outlets constantly hyperventilating about Influenza A, but at least balance that with some facts that give viewers/readers a real, honest perspective on what's going on instead of just feeding them shallow hype.

As was said before, "SWEEPS". The media stopped reporting the news years ago. They now either make the news or are nothing more than entertainment media.
 
Four confirmed cases at my school and a whole bunch of suspected one (including from someone who was in my room last night and lives down the hall). University President decided to close all public events. You know, except for those pesky classes (no way 100 people meeting in one room for an hour and 15 minutes could ever spread this thing).
 
Four confirmed cases at my school and a whole bunch of suspected one (including from someone who was in my room last night and lives down the hall). University President decided to close all public events. You know, except for those pesky classes (no way 100 people meeting in one room for an hour and 15 minutes could ever spread this thing).

Maybe we should just close down EVERYTHING from November to June because that's flu season. It's just a new strain of a flu, there are new ones every year and most people don't die, they just get sick. This whole thing is insane.

When there is a real problem, lets say smallpox outbreak, people will be like "Ehhh the last thing was overdone and I had my smallpox shot 40 years ago". It's the same thing with hurricanes, they make them out to be this big huge deal caused by man made global warming and it turns out it was nothing special. So the next time one comes around no one leaves.
 
My problem isn't that they didn't close down classes, it's that they closed down fun activities (a concert yesterday and a bus ride and tickets to a baseball game tonight). There's an odd mix of hypochondria and hypocrisy going on.
 
Our kids school sent out a memo that they are not closing the school but to keep kids home if they are sick as you normally would. Sounds like reasonable, non-panicked advice.
 
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