Sure, but the actual probability of winning is so mindbogglingly low that you are much more likely to catch that money running around with a butterfly net.So what? If you win, you get a big chunk of money, and you come out ahead.The actual win money is always less than the price of the ticked compounded with the probability of winning.
Let's take JW's example. 5 bucks a week for 5 years are around 1,250 dollars. For 20 years, it's 5,000 dollars. And since probability resets itself for every draw, it's 5,000 dollars for a probability of winning of at least 1 to 100 million.
That's like taking it in the ass week after week after week for the remote possibility that maybe, one day, if you are incredibly lucky, you may be given a reacharound.
Worthwhile investment? I guess it depends on your judgment.
Oh, I get it. Knowing you (well, a bit), I'm quite sure you play for the thrill much more than the money. But there are many people out there that doesn't even realize this, and I hate to see people ruined because they don't understand math. I guess it's the statistician in me!![]()
Is playing the lottery any different from, say, getting drunk? You have nothing to show for it by the time it's over, after all, except maybe some vomit stains.
Rarely. Usually when my dad prompts me to because it's a big jackpot. I did once win £40,000 on a scratch card, but threw it away after misreading the rules on it, by the time I realised the bins had been emptied.
Rarely. Usually when my dad prompts me to because it's a big jackpot. I did once win £40,000 on a scratch card, but threw it away after misreading the rules on it, by the time I realised the bins had been emptied.
For real? Damn. I would have been kicking myself for weeks. Just. Damn.
So what? If you win, you get a big chunk of money, and you come out ahead.
And if you never win, you come out a chunk of money behind.
What fun is life in general without risk?
Nah. Four bucks a week would evaporate anyway. And people do win. All I'd need at this point is that minimum half million jackpot and I could retire.Actually, it's not. The actual win money is always less than the price of the ticked compounded with the probability of winning. This is 100% true. That's the way lotteries make money. And they make a shitload of that.It's a worthwhile investment, since it's just a couple of bucks that would have gone to potato chips or cookies anyway.![]()
On the other hand, most of the earning from lotteries goes to state, so I'm more than happy with people giving their money freely instead of having the state raising the taxes on everybody.
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