In between we have Galaxies, Ambassadors, Nebulas, Steamrunners and Akiras, a certain number of Constellations still running around, and probably a handful of Intrepids and Novas. Maybe four hundred ships right before the Dominion War after months of feverish mothball-pulling.
Complete and utter nonsense. I've already established a minimum fleet of
thousands elsewhere just to cover the volume of Federation demarcated space
We've been through this before. There is ZERO evidence for a "volume" of demarcated space that actually needs to be "covered" by anything. The core Federation worlds are all within about 20 light years of Earth and the space between them is patrolled sparsely enough that the arrival of the whale probe put them completely out of position (so maybe 5 or 6 ships in inter-system patrol in a "Coast Guard" functionality).
Omega Leonis -- now canonically identified as the location of the Klingon Homeworld -- is about 112 light years from Earth. If other Federation members are spaced out about that far or slightly closer, then the 23rd century Federation is "spread out" over about 5500 cubic light years. The 24th century Federation is almost certainly larger and has expanded to include some members farther out than Kronos. But even then, the Federation has never claimed to control every cubic inch of space within that sphere, because that claim would be laughable on its face.
if they only had that many ships, they'd've been forced to surrender within just a few battles if not after the first one because of the catastrophic losses they were taking.
Yes, in fact they WERE on the verge of surrender, which is exactly why the operation to take back Deep Space Nine so was crucial: they were ALREADY getting their asses kicked, and their small and dwindling possibility of victory depended on their keeping the Dominion from reopening the wormhole. And even after they accomplished this, and even with the full commitment of Klingon and later Romulan fleets, they were STILL getting their asses kicked up to a year later.
Even with that, though, you're overselling their situation by a fairly wide margin. The first battle was the battle for Deep Space Nine. They lost one station and no ships. Immdiately after this, Sisko joins a task force that is a combination of Federation and Klingon warships. In "Time to Stand" what's left of that same task force is shown in retreat, having just had the shit kicked out of it for three consecutive months. Elsehwere, the ninth fleet is also retreating, but it's in even worse shape, with 98 of its ships destroyed and only 14 surviving.
These losses are appalling and cringeworthy for a combined Federation/Klingon fleet that maxes out at around 1200 between the two of them. If the Federation had those kinds of numbers ON ITS OWN, loosing 98 ships in 3 months would be called "spring break."
On the other hand, the tallies for fleet numbers also include fighters and small craft of various designs (Jem'hadar bugs, Cardassian Hidekis, Starfleet Peregrines and Ju'days) and pretty much always have, going all the way back to "The Die is Cast" when the combined Cardassian/Romulan fleet got jumped by 150 "Jem'hadar fighters." Or even earlier, when the computer Rio Grande's computer tells Jake "Three ships coming out of orbit." Those three ships being a Galaxy-class starship and two runabouts.
Elements of two fleets = over 600 ships (627 to be precise, which Bashir would be).
A tally which evidently includes nine waves of attack fighters on the Federation side. If we assume some of those "waves" are fighters that regrouped, then that's a minimum of four separate groups of the little bastards (third and fourth being on hot standby). Which also means there's an upper limit to how many Cardassian ships can be in the opposing fleet before this tactic completely stops making sense, e.g. "Let's try to lure one hundred of their destroyers out of position so we can dive right through the other six hundred ships that don't bother to move at all."
OTOH, the Dominion ratio of attack ships to cap ships is usually in the neighborhood of 100 to 1. If they brought 800 battle bugs, then they have between 60 and 80 cap ships in that formation. That's about the size of the fleet that took Deep Space Nine the first time; close enough in size that it's probably the SAME fleet combined with Cardassian reinforcements.
That's 30 thousand Dominion, Cardassian, and Breen ships.
Of which, if Dominion building practices remain consistent, around 28,000 of them are Jem'hadar attack ships. The Cardassians sure as hell never had anything like those kinds of numbers, especially after the thumping they got during the Klingon invasion.
But considering that Martok is referring to the number of ships that can quickly make a small adjustment to their warp engines to compensate for the Breen zapper weapon, he's inadvertently given us a solid figure for the size of the Klingon fleet. 1500 ships, around two thirds of which are
birds of prey. The bird of prey which is shown in most cases to be equivalent to the Jem'hadar battlebug in terms of size and firepower but slightly superior in overall capabilities.
The Federation, which never got around to mass-producing the Defiant, doesn't have anything equivalent to the bird of prey or the battlebug it can crank out in those numbers. They'd be lucky to have half that at their peak.
10 fleets minimum tthat equals 6,260 ships.
Realistically, it's closer to a tenth of that. We've already seen in all previous conflicts that groups of 20 to 40 ships is seen as strategically significant in most conventional engagements, to the point that Admiral Hansen once referred to his fleet at Wolf-359 as an "armada." Those normal conventions get tossed out the window in the face of the Jem'hadar Zerg Rush (as the Obsidian Order found out the hard way), but that also means that PRIOR to the Dominion War, it was those conventions that informed Starfleet's (and everyone else's) procurement policy.
Vreenak's point clearly went over your head: a large portion -- as much as half -- of Starfleet has been destroyed by this point of the war and isn't going to be replaced any time soon. They DEFINITELY don't have more ships than the Klingons do, and the Klingons have at least 1500 available.
6200, though? The
human race hasn't produced that many naval vessels in two centuries of building. You think the Federation was going to build them in a year and a half?
Let's take a high, but more reasonable estimate of each contribution equalling 1/3 of a fleet.
Actually he was probably pulling SPECIFIC elements from those fleets that had what he wanted for his plan. Namely, the fighters and their support ships (the Akiras) and the heavy Galaxy class starships. The rest of his fleet is probably drawn from his original task force in "Call to Arms" except that the Klingon portion of that unit didn't arrive until later.
I'm not sure what forces Sisko was pulling in from the 9th fleet, but considering we never saw another Defiant class during the war until Starfleet bought them a replacement, I think we finally have an answer for what kind of ships those fourteen die-hards actually were.
And before you start jumping up and down yelling about "only" 114 ships in the 7th Fleet, I will point out AGAIN that such small numbers would see Starfleet wiped out with only a few encounters
Well, no, it sees the 9th fleet wiped out over the course of three months. Sisko's task force didn't take those kinds of losses and probably neither did any of the others.
The ninth fleet SPECIFICALLY had it the worst, which is probably why Bashir went out of his way to break the news to Sisko: everyone in the Federation was watching for them, hoping for good news.
For the record: there's nothing to suggest that any OTHER fleets besides Sisko's group were even engaged at that point. For all we know, the 9th fleet was THE frontline unit on the Cardassian border and Sisko's force -- arguably, the same joint Federation/Klingon task force that had just won the battle of Torros -- was just a support unit.