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First movie of 2008 to reach $300M or even $400M???

First movie to make US domestic $300M in 2008

  • Iron Man

    Votes: 37 41.1%
  • Indiana Jones & the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull

    Votes: 22 24.4%
  • The Dark Knight

    Votes: 24 26.7%
  • Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince

    Votes: 6 6.7%
  • Other - please specify in your post

    Votes: 1 1.1%

  • Total voters
    90
  • Poll closed .
I also think that due to the unfair advantage of having 3&6am showings that not other film had it was destined to set records. Spidey3 and PotC didn't have those showings and PotC was just as long a film.

It's definitely not the first time a movie has had 3&6 am showings. Phantom Menace definitely did, and I think Revenge of the Sith did too. Anyway, I doubt those early morning showings accounted for *that* large a percentage of the opening day gross, as there were plenty of theaters with the movie that didn't have such showings. And most people going to 3/6am showings were going to find a theater where they could watch it opening day somewhere anyway.
 
I think the $64,000 question now is: "How quickly will The Dark Knight hit the $300M mark?" Will it hit it in a shorter amount of time than Indy 4?
 
If it has reasonable legs from the weekend, it ought to be able to get to $300 million a lot sooner -- maybe PoTC: DMC speed.
 
Deadline Hollywood is reporting that TDK had such a strong Sunday that the opening is set to be even bigger than the initial estimates: $158.3 million. :techman:

Even if it's as uber-frontloaded as Spider-Man 3 it would still make $350 million domestic. If, as seems likely, it holds up better then it would have a real shot at $400 million.
 
Deadline Hollywood is reporting that TDK had such a strong Sunday that the opening is set to be even bigger than the initial estimates: $158.3 million. :techman:
My son and I caught it Sunday night at 7:30pm, so count us as well as the rest of the theater for being responsible for the updated numbers. Believe me, the theater was almost filled to capacity.
 
What, if any, major competition does TDK still have to deal with? I don't expect the X-Files move to be able to compete...is there anything big enough left before school starts back?
 
The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor. Highly anticipated, and has a fanbase from the first two films. It should be interesting to see if The Dark Knight can hold the top spot that week. While I love the X-Files, The Dark Knight will still be number one.
 
The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor. Highly anticipated, and has a fanbase from the first two films. It should be interesting to see if The Dark Knight can hold the top spot that week. While I love the X-Files, The Dark Knight will still be number one.

I doubt The Dark Knight's 3rd weekend will be able to beat Mummy's opening weekend. But Dark Knight might be able to reclaim the #1 spot the following weekend (Aug. 8-10) if The Mummy drops hard enough.
 
The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor. Highly anticipated, and has a fanbase from the first two films. It should be interesting to see if The Dark Knight can hold the top spot that week. While I love the X-Files, The Dark Knight will still be number one.

I have no *tingly* interest in the X-Files. I absolutely loved the show from the first episode onward, but I'm just *meh* about this installment. I will be surprised if it places higher than The Dark Knight on its opening weekend, meaning if The Dark Knight is at #3 then X-Files opens at #2.
 
The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor. Highly anticipated, and has a fanbase from the first two films. It should be interesting to see if The Dark Knight can hold the top spot that week. While I love the X-Files, The Dark Knight will still be number one.

I have no *tingly* interest in the X-Files. I absolutely loved the show from the first episode onward, but I'm just *meh* about this installment. I will be surprised if it places higher than The Dark Knight on its opening weekend, meaning if The Dark Knight is at #3 then X-Files opens at #2.

X-Files is opening this coming weekend, July 25. No way it opens higher than Dark Knight. Dark Knight will be #1 on July 25-27. It's the weekend after that that Dark Knight will likely fall to The Mummy.
 
TDK will easily - very easily! - hold #1 against The X-Files and Step Brothers next weekend. The Mummy 3 should then take the #1 spot the following weekend, although it's a case of a sequel where I think they've waited a little too long. It'll do well, but not as well as the last Mummy film.

Pineapple Express could take #1 the weekend after that, or it could disappoint - hard to say. That'll be a test of Seth Rogen's drawing power. Then you've got Star Wars: The Clone Wars and Tropic Thunder battling it out.
 
The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor. Highly anticipated, and has a fanbase from the first two films. It should be interesting to see if The Dark Knight can hold the top spot that week. While I love the X-Files, The Dark Knight will still be number one.

I have no *tingly* interest in the X-Files. I absolutely loved the show from the first episode onward, but I'm just *meh* about this installment. I will be surprised if it places higher than The Dark Knight on its opening weekend, meaning if The Dark Knight is at #3 then X-Files opens at #2.

X-Files is opening this coming weekend, July 25. No way it opens higher than Dark Knight. Dark Knight will be #1 on July 25-27. It's the weekend after that that Dark Knight will likely fall to The Mummy.

Do you think that The Mummy will displace The Dark Knight?
 
I have no *tingly* interest in the X-Files. I absolutely loved the show from the first episode onward, but I'm just *meh* about this installment. I will be surprised if it places higher than The Dark Knight on its opening weekend, meaning if The Dark Knight is at #3 then X-Files opens at #2.

X-Files is opening this coming weekend, July 25. No way it opens higher than Dark Knight. Dark Knight will be #1 on July 25-27. It's the weekend after that that Dark Knight will likely fall to The Mummy.

Do you think that The Mummy will displace The Dark Knight?

Of course I do. That's why, in the very message you just quoted, I wrote "It's the weekend after that that Dark Knight will likely fall to The Mummy." And why, in an earlier message in this thread, I wrote "I doubt The Dark Knight's 3rd weekend will be able to beat Mummy's opening weekend."
 
I have no *tingly* interest in the X-Files. I absolutely loved the show from the first episode onward, but I'm just *meh* about this installment. I will be surprised if it places higher than The Dark Knight on its opening weekend, meaning if The Dark Knight is at #3 then X-Files opens at #2.

X-Files is opening this coming weekend, July 25. No way it opens higher than Dark Knight. Dark Knight will be #1 on July 25-27. It's the weekend after that that Dark Knight will likely fall to The Mummy.

Do you think that The Mummy will displace The Dark Knight?
By its 3rd weekend sure it will. Mummy has a fanbase and TDK will have, like IM or Indy, had the repeat viewers that were giving it those two weekends of high holdover. Mummy 3 reigns easily on that weekend.
 
Again, though, I do think Dark Knight would have an outside chance at taking back the #1 spot in its 4th weekend (Mummy's 2nd weekend). Suppose Mummy opens to $60 million, and then drops 60% to $24 million in its 2nd weekend. I don't think it's impossible for Dark Knight to beat that in its 4th weekend (and Pineapple Express might not beat that either).
 
^^^
I do. Its legs will not be that strong after weekend 3.

-Massively front loaded due to many variables
-Its gotten the repeat viewings.
-Additional late summer competition is strong enough to compensate
-Theater count by 4th weekend drops
-Its now mid-August by 4th Weekend and some teens and colleges are back in session.
 
Deadline Hollywood is reporting that TDK had such a strong Sunday that the opening is set to be even bigger than the initial estimates: $158.3 million. :techman:
My son and I caught it Sunday night at 7:30pm, so count us as well as the rest of the theater for being responsible for the updated numbers. Believe me, the theater was almost filled to capacity.
The 7:00 and 8:00 shows at all my local theatres were sold out last night -- I tried to get tickets after work with hours to spare and failed. I've actually never seen these theatres so busy on a Sunday. Anecdotally, this makes me think that TDK will be notably front-loaded.
 
Past Batman films have done respectable but not massive box office in foreign territories, but it looks like TDK will turn that around. Variety reports that it made $40 million in just 20 territories, and it has yet to open in most of the major markets. Batman Begins made $166 million international; TDK looks set to top that by a very substantial margin. TDK opened to $13.1 million in Australia. That's more than Batman Begins made in its entire run Australian run ($12.2 million). No doubt Heath Ledger proved to be a major draw in Australia in particular, but TDK also scored very impressive openings in other territories, too. It looks like it's a lock for $600 million worldwide, and could possibly go over $700 million.
 
Deadline Hollywood is reporting that TDK had such a strong Sunday that the opening is set to be even bigger than the initial estimates: $158.3 million. :techman:
My son and I caught it Sunday night at 7:30pm, so count us as well as the rest of the theater for being responsible for the updated numbers. Believe me, the theater was almost filled to capacity.
The 7:00 and 8:00 shows at all my local theatres were sold out last night -- I tried to get tickets after work with hours to spare and failed. I've actually never seen these theatres so busy on a Sunday. Anecdotally, this makes me think that TDK will be notably front-loaded.
I don't know what it's like in Nova Scotia, but here in Oklahoma City I was counting on a lot of people attending Sunday night services :cool: I'd estimate there were approximately 75-120 people (more towards the latter) and there were two screens showing at this particular theater. I bought our tickets an hour before showtime and the auditorium was opened 20 minutes before the start of the film due to the amount of cleanup from the previous show's audience.
 
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