Batman Begns and X-Men: First Class is not a good comparison. BB opened on a Wednesday and essentially had a 5 day weekend, which it why it made 73 million. FC only made 55 million in its first weekend which is much worse.
Batman Begins made $45 million from Friday to Sunday, which was my point. I understand it opened on a Wednesday, but the $73 million total was taking into account the money earned on Wednesday and Thursday. If
X-Men: First Class had opened on a Wednesday as well, I'm pretty sure it would have made an additional $20 million or so similar to
Batman Begins.
Word of mouth has never been a factor for the X-Men films. X2, which is considered the best X-men film by fans, still dropped over 50% in its second and third weekends.
FC isn't magically going to make $200 Domestic like some fans are hoping.
X2 still earned over $200 million, though. Perhaps a better comparison would be the first
X-Men, which opened similarly to
First Class and ended up earning nearly $160 million.
People need to realize that
First Class is opening in the wake of two lackluster and disappointing
X-Men films. It is also the first X-Men film not to star Hugh Jackman. It's also not a traditional X-Men story in the typical sense. It's not the type of X-Men movie audiences are familiar with; at the very least with
X-Men Origins: Wolverine it had something audiences were accustomed to... Hugh Jackman.
X-Men: First Class has a lot against it, which is why the opening was the lowest of the X-Men films so far. It's nothing indicative of quality. Now, if the film drops hard next week, and doesn't make at least $150 million then you might begin to worry, but that might have to do with a ton of other factors not due to audiences' opinion of the film.
I find it hard to believe that a crappy film like
X-Men Origins: Wolverine can make $170 million domestic and a quality film like
X-Men: First Class can't. While
First Class might not earn $200 million, I'm sure it will leave theaters somewhere between $150-$170 million. Good word-of-mouth might not extend it to $200 million, but it will keep the film afloat.