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What will the real 22nd Century look like?

iguana_tonante said:
A interesting hypothesis is that Eastern Coalition in FC was actually an alliance of East-Coast States after a breakdown or civil war in the US.

Yeah, I always figured it was New England, possibly including the Southeast. It wasn't until it was pointed out to me that I even entertained the possibility that it was the PRC, since I can't readily imagine a situation where the PRC would or could be overly concerned with Montana following a nuclear exchange between the US and it.

For what it's worth, Brannon Braga and Ronald D. Moore noted in their audio commentary for Star Trek: First Contact that the Eastern Coalition dialogue was originally written to refer solely to China, and that the phrase "Eastern Coalition" was substituted very late in the scripting process as a substitute term for China.
 
^ Did they say *why* they changed it?

I seem to remember them deciding to change it so that the film wouldn't cause offense and/or end up unpopular in China, but I'm honestly not sure if that detail is accurate.

ETA:

Ah, here. Memory Alpha's entry:

"A coalition of nations in the Far East and/or Middle East would seem to be suggested by the name of this combatant. It would later be explained by Brannon Braga, in the film's audio commentary, that the ECON was at one time simply "China," but that it was changed in favor of political correctness."
 
The 22nd century

http://www.futuretimeline.net/22ndcentury/2100-2149.htm

Continued environmental destruction, rapid growth of transhumanism, and major developments in space travel all mark the 22nd century. Practically all the world's energy comes from either fusion or renewable sources now. Global warming shows no signs of abating however, due to positive feedback loops that were triggered in previous decades.

Artificial intelligence - having begun to merge with human intelligence in the previous century - now surpasses it, reaching whole new levels of cognitive and intellectual capability. Though lacking the raw emotions and subtle traits of organic human minds, the sheer depth and power of AI begins to profoundly transform the course of history. High-level decisions by governments and corporations now come directly from these sentient machines. There are vast swathes of virtual employees everywhere, and heavily automated systems in every industry. All of this makes for vastly improved speed, efficiency and productivity.

Science advances so rapidly that it would exceed the comprehension of 20th century observers. The most significant developments are in quantum physics - but wholly new fields also emerge that were completely untapped in previous decades. Femto-scale engineering is among the many practical applications resulting from all this.

Developments in space during this time include numerous permanent, manned settlements on the Moon and Mars; regular manned trips to the gas giants; the first asteroid mining operations; and the first probes to Alpha Centauri. Space tourism booms during this period, with trips to the Moon's surface becoming relatively commonplace for ordinary citizens.
 
iguana_tonante said:
A interesting hypothesis is that Eastern Coalition in FC was actually an alliance of East-Coast States after a breakdown or civil war in the US.

Yeah, I always figured it was New England, possibly including the Southeast. It wasn't until it was pointed out to me that I even entertained the possibility that it was the PRC, since I can't readily imagine a situation where the PRC would or could be overly concerned with Montana following a nuclear exchange between the US and it.

For what it's worth, Brannon Braga and Ronald D. Moore noted in their audio commentary for Star Trek: First Contact that the Eastern Coalition dialogue was originally written to refer solely to China, and that the phrase "Eastern Coalition" was substituted very late in the scripting process as a substitute term for China.

Yep. I just didn't realize that was supposed to be the reference until I was told that, a while back. I am rather glad they changed it, because a fractured US is more interesting, and more plausible, than Chinese seemingly able and willing to continue attacking the US even though the war was--evidently--over, and both sides had likely fallen into anarchy.

Two points here--

1)It's passing hilarious that, had it been the Chinese, they probably would have succeeded in destroying Cochrane's facility, because they would have used futuristic Delta Quadrant ultra-advanced weapons that are unaccountably much less destructive than an ICBM, even with no warhead attached to it.
2)If it had been China, and the war was ongoing, that paints a much more disturbing picture of Cochrane. Sure, he was a kind of greedy putz, but if the war with the PRC is still on, he is building a faster than light war machine for the US military. Cochrane = Oppenheimer? (Oppenheimer, is of course, a hero of humanity who helped end a brutal war and probably saved hundreds of thousands of Japanese lives otherwise lost to famine and conventional firebombing, but Trek has generally been rather ambivalent about weapons designers--see "Jetrel," and, less on-point, Generations.)

"A coalition of nations in the Far East and/or Middle East would seem to be suggested by the name of this combatant. It would later be explained by Brannon Braga, in the film's audio commentary, that the ECON was at one time simply "China," but that it was changed in favor of political correctness."
Kinda weird, that. Is it really more politically correct to simply code the enemy? I mean, I guess "Central Powers" is somewhat more PC than "the Hun," but if the reference is to China, then it's still "offensive" to China.

Of course, a putative war between the two of the world's great powers, who have fought a devastating war once already, were uneasy enemies-of-enemies until they became uneasy major trading partners, is not (imo) likely to be really offensive to anyone. Would anyone in 1905 get bent out of shape about a novel that made passing reference to a future war between France and Germany? (Well, maybe, I guess--iirc, the big thing in speculative fiction then was to postulate a Western alliance against the vast power of the Russian Empire, and in execution they were in many respects offensive. Interestingly, they were eventually proven right, at least about the geopolitics. However, as long as Zefram didn't pull out World War II-era terminology for Asians, I don't really see the effrontery.)
 
I think the point re: coalition/china is that the current chinese government still controls which movies are allowed to be seen. Why piss them off and lose the revenue?
 
While I'd like to be optimistic and say that the 22nd century will be a good one, led by the ever innovating and leading USA... I do not think this will happen, based on what I've witnessed over the past few decades.

We are in an environmental quandary, whereby people too heavily vested in continuing the large profit streams won't listen to reason about the need to protect the environment. It's already "too late" in a number of respects, whereby we will see an erosion to the ecosystem that we will be unable to stop... it will erode to a point where it will eventually level off, but the toll taken on human civilization will be great. The numerous dead zones forming in the oceans is just one example. You think we've got hunger problems now? Just wait a few more decades.

The economic problems we will face due to an eroding environment will put a major stop to the scientific innovations we've been making in a number of areas, most definitely where space exploration is concerned. And the quality of life will suffer due to the scarcity of luxuries that were once commonplace. There will be a greater disparity between the wealthy and the non-wealthy.

How long it will take to recover from this is way too difficult to speculate on. There are so many factors, the bulk of which will be dependent upon how much warfare and subjugation takes place. The terrorists living in the Middle East subsist on very little... and when our defenses weaken enough, they will take advantage of it. They have a neurotic passion against our way of life, and they will take every opportunity to continue hurting us. That will exacerbate the problems we're facing.

China is fast becoming the next superpower. Can they maintain it? Possibly. There are inherent flaws in their society, especially where quality control is concerned, which might interfere with progress. But their differing beliefs on human rights laws and intellectual property will jeopardize fairness in the rest of the world, if they succeed in financial domination. If no one can provide a sufficient threat to them from taking over Hong Kong and Taiwan, they will walk right in because they believe that capability without sufficient threat is entitlement. This trend of subjugation will continue as long as they've got the resources to do it. A large ocean helps stifle the threat, but it's not impossible to overcome. Who knows how far they could go...


In the 22nd century, I will not be surprised to see many people keeping old tech alive, struggling to make ends meet, and longing for the lush days of prosperity we all once had. I really, really wish that would not happen, but unless there is some tremendous enlightenment that befalls our society, the edicts of "greed is good" will continue to dominate and bring much strife/chaos. We have got to change our ways and quick. Every year that goes by without any shift of mindset in our society takes us further and further into a more difficult recovery, if we ever do make it.

If no one can provide a sufficient threat to them from taking over Hong Kong

Ah...

:lol:

Thank you....! You caught that....

hahahaha


(One reason I don't want to work in the film business over there; things have changed since China 'took over.')
 
Yep. I just didn't realize that was supposed to be the reference until I was told that, a while back. I am rather glad they changed it, because a fractured US is more interesting, and more plausible, than Chinese seemingly able and willing to continue attacking the US even though the war was--evidently--over,

*shrugs* When Lily thinks it's the Eastern Coalition, she mentions something about how weird it was that they'd broken the cease-fire. So I don't think we really know enough about the geopolitical situation of 2063 Earth to say that that's implausible.

Two points here--

1)It's passing hilarious that, had it been the Chinese, they probably would have succeeded in destroying Cochrane's facility, because they would have used futuristic Delta Quadrant ultra-advanced weapons that are unaccountably much less destructive than an ICBM, even with no warhead attached to it.

I think it's pretty clear that Lily had no idea what kind of weapon they used.

2)If it had been China, and the war was ongoing, that paints a much more disturbing picture of Cochrane. Sure, he was a kind of greedy putz, but if the war with the PRC is still on, he is building a faster than light war machine for the US military.

I don't agree at all. None of the people working in the silo were wearing military uniforms, and Lily, who is explicitly identified as Cochrane's primary materials supplier ("It took me six months just to scrounge up enough titanium for a two-meter cockpit"), is obviously not military or military contractor. And on top of that, apparently Cochrane was always going to be piloting the thing, even before the Borg attack -- and in real life, engineers simply do not double as test pilots. The film seems to be making it pretty clear that the silo in Montana had been abandoned by the U.S. military (presuming the military or government even still existed) and that Cochrane was working by himself, using abandoned federal property, in order to create a warp-drive that would make him wealthy.

"A coalition of nations in the Far East and/or Middle East would seem to be suggested by the name of this combatant. It would later be explained by Brannon Braga, in the film's audio commentary, that the ECON was at one time simply "China," but that it was changed in favor of political correctness."

Kinda weird, that. Is it really more politically correct to simply code the enemy? I mean, I guess "Central Powers" is somewhat more PC than "the Hun," but if the reference is to China, then it's still "offensive" to China.

I think the idea was that by giving it an ambiguous name, they could just avoid having to identify the Eastern Coalition with any real-life political actor. Thus, in their minds, it could remain China -- and indeed, the Trek novel The Lost Era: The Sundered depicts the Eastern Coalition as an Asian alliance of states hostile to the United States and European Union -- while to anyone else, it could mean whatever they wanted it to mean. A prime example being you, who took it to be a faction of a divided America.
 
Yep. I just didn't realize that was supposed to be the reference until I was told that, a while back. I am rather glad they changed it, because a fractured US is more interesting, and more plausible, than Chinese seemingly able and willing to continue attacking the US even though the war was--evidently--over,

*shrugs* When Lily thinks it's the Eastern Coalition, she mentions something about how weird it was that they'd broken the cease-fire. So I don't think we really know enough about the geopolitical situation of 2063 Earth to say that that's implausible.

Two points here--

1)It's passing hilarious that, had it been the Chinese, they probably would have succeeded in destroying Cochrane's facility, because they would have used futuristic Delta Quadrant ultra-advanced weapons that are unaccountably much less destructive than an ICBM, even with no warhead attached to it.
I think it's pretty clear that Lily had no idea what kind of weapon they used.

Crap, I meant would not have used. Ruined the joke, it did.

I don't agree at all. None of the people working in the silo were wearing military uniforms, and Lily, who is explicitly identified as Cochrane's primary materials supplier ("It took me six months just to scrounge up enough titanium for a two-meter cockpit"), is obviously not military or military contractor. And on top of that, apparently Cochrane was always going to be piloting the thing, even before the Borg attack -- and in real life, engineers simply do not double as test pilots. The film seems to be making it pretty clear that the silo in Montana had been abandoned by the U.S. military (presuming the military or government even still existed) and that Cochrane was working by himself, using abandoned federal property, in order to create a warp-drive that would make him wealthy.
I suppose his intended market might have been "the unaccountably wealthy who still exist After The Rain, and who want to leave Earth." There's definitely room for interpretation, although it'd have been nice if they'd explained how one expects to make money from an expensive high-technology item in a post-nuclear armageddon economy.

Apropos of not much, why is "armageddon" not recognized by the board spellcheck software? It's a ridiculously common English word.

I think the idea was that by giving it an ambiguous name, they could just avoid having to identify the Eastern Coalition with any real-life political actor. Thus, in their minds, it could remain China -- and indeed, the Trek novel The Lost Era: The Sundered depicts the Eastern Coalition as an Asian alliance of states hostile to the United States and European Union -- while to anyone else, it could mean whatever they wanted it to mean. A prime example being you, who took it to be a faction of a divided America.
Well, sure, in that regard, it works. :)

Joel_Kirk said:
Thank you....! You caught that....

Next they'll set their sights on Macau! Even Tsingtao and Port Arthur may not be safe! Man the barricades!
 
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All things considered, my guess is this is what the 22nd century will look like -- if we're lucky...

3025241279_3d3bd491e8_o.jpg

If we're lucky? What if we're unlucky?
 
And on top of that, apparently Cochrane was always going to be piloting the thing, even before the Borg attack -- and in real life, engineers simply do not double as test pilots.
Civilian test pilots (military one's too) are usually engineers. And civilian test pilot normally get first crack at military aircraft.

It's ridiculous that the Phoenix would be considered a FTL war machine. However if the "Eastern Coalition" were also building a FTL ship of their own, then Lily's supposition about who was attacking them could have been based upon that, and also from Cochrane's statement, the Econ might have attacked Cockrane's project years before.

I suppose his intended market might have been "the unaccountably wealthy who still exist After The Rain, and who want to leave Earth." There's definitely room for interpretation, although it'd have been nice if they'd explained how one expects to make money from an expensive high-technology item in a post-nuclear armageddon economy.
A nuclear war a half century from now wouldn't automatically involve America. Although there would likely be a economic drop , maybe a depression, if other nations were in such a war. Neither of the previous world wars actual involved the entire world. In a strange turn of events, the war might have created millionaires/billionaires all over the Earth. The war was after all about a decade in the past. The post atomic horror spoken of the TNG pilot easily could have existed only in certain areas, but not the majority of the planet.

:)
 
A nuclear war a half century from now wouldn't automatically involve America. Although there would likely be a economic drop , maybe a depression, if other nations were in such a war. Neither of the previous world wars actual involved the entire world. In a strange turn of events, the war might have created millionaires/billionaires all over the Earth. The war was after all about a decade in the past. The post atomic horror spoken of the TNG pilot easily could have existed only in certain areas, but not the majority of the planet.

Agreed. And even though sci-fi stories often allude to a 3rd world war that involved atomic weaponry, it's of course just fiction. We could very well not see any more atomic weaponry used in world wars ever again. I think the odds are greater that either a terrorist group or unstable middle eastern country will be the first to use an atomic bomb, post WWII.

My speculation is that this century will be fraught with conflicts of religious ideals, struggles with having to shrink industrial production, and the continued instabilities of 3rd world nations. Because of this, we're going to witness a significant shrinking of extracurricular activities like space exploration. Before we can even think about moving forward into space, our societies must mature much more. Poverty and conflict need to be reduced significantly. And... we've got to find a way to reduce our footprint on the environment. Natural energy breakthroughs. All of this will take us well into the 22nd century, perhaps even the 23rd. Believe me, I wish it would take much less time... but seeing how things have been going and historical tendencies of humanity, my estimates may yet be conservative.
 
I dont think at the rate in which we humans abuse our own world that we really need to be stuck on what will the 22nd century will be like. Between use overfishing, our dependence on oil, coal, etc. that create co2 which increases the natural rate of global warming. Not to mention how easy it is to obtain a nuclear weapon or learn how to build one on the web and the increase of voilence in terriosts attacks. So I can easily tell you what the world will be like in 22nd century, a dieing world with no hope of escaping it for humans or we killed each other off to the point of no return for us, in which case the earth would be better off.
Now I am not a depressed person, I would love for us to one day roam around the stars in ships like the enterprise and for earth to be healthy becuase we turned to cleaner energy sources, but when the world itself can't even come together and work together on one thing, it just doesn't look hopeful.
 
Yeah that is one possibilty certainly, but the good thing is that after a while all that will disappear back to earth.
 
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