Whereas, I'd almost bet real money that forty years from now, people will still recognize this:
Define "people."
There will always be a few trekkies who will recognize that prop. And there will always be a few who will recognize the new version. And then there will be the vast majority of people who would look at either of those two interchangably and say at most "that's the thing Kirk used in Star Wars to call Scotty to beam him up, isn't it?"
I wouldn't bet big money on any version of Star Trek being a particularly hot topic of conversation in another forty years.
I'm sure the same thing was said forty years ago.