And Maxwell? He was LUCKY, not right. If you walk out your front door, shoot a random person in cold blood, and it turns out they were a serial killer, are you "right"? No? Then neither was Maxwell.
He wasn't shooting randomly. He was using the vast resources of a Starship & crew to conduct a mission to track Cardassian arms shipments that were being shipped with high energy, sensor jamming subspace fields, (So no one could ever figure out what they were transporting) en route to what they claim was a science research station, that just happened to be of no real use except to be near 3 Federation sectors, in what could potentially be a highly effective launching point for an offensive against the UFP.
Now, no one would dispute that
how Maxwell responded, by destroying the station and a cargo freighter, and anyone else that tried to stop him from that, those were wrongs, and probably fueled by some PTSD impaired judgement, & a sprinkling of bureaucratic cowardice or indifference about his findings from above, when he tried to get them to act,
BUT his
findings were almost certainly correct, even if not openly proved in the episode, as is made perfectly clear by Picard to Macet at the end of the episode, when he outright warns Macet.
What Maxwell was telling them was right. What he was doing about it was wrong, & because no one wanted to go to war over it, they damned him for it, to keep the peace. Picard deliberately chose to NOT investigate Maxwell's claims because no matter what he'd find, his primary order was to preserve the peace, & therein only chose to issue a warning.
So a better analogy imho would be if my neighbor, who is a recently released registered sex offender, starts clocking my movements when I pick my kid up from school, but I'm the only one noticing him, and my pleas to law enforcement go unanswered, and it's become clear to me from his actions that he's prepping material and equipment for what looks like an attempt to abduct my kid, & I just decide to go over there & bludgeon him into raw hamburger before that happens, then I am 100% wrong for doing that, but I'm not wrong about
him & what he's up to, or for thinking it, & trying to prevent it, least of all if there's evidence, & I can prove it, but for one reason or another no one wants look at it.
That's Ben Maxwell