I've worked in professional theatre most of my life, wrote the original script for a successful feature film, wrote the script for a very long running Off-Broadway show that has had 4 national tours, and, while working in theatre, have worked with actors, directors and designers who also worked in film. I know about the decision makers from first hand experience and by talking directly with others who have had first hand experience with decision makers. I can tell you that in Equity theatre, film and television the big mistakes are often made by not correctly forecasting the profit margins. It is not a sin, but it happens often, and the good ones learn from those mistakes.
I never said anything close to claiming that anybody's decisions always work, including my own. I talked about probabilities and mentioned that even with the 3 indicators of STARSHIP being successful, there were also at least 3 read flags, and the possibility of other problems that we don't know about. None of this sounds remotely like "pretending that my decisions would always work."
It is the studio execs, not the network execs, who decide which properties will be made into pilots. Network execs decide which pilots to option and then order episodes to be produced by studios. In some cases the networks have owned their own studios, but the decision making still follows that pattern as the studios and the network division execs are semi-autonomous.
The earliest version of STAR TREK: PHASE 2 (which to be 6 MOWs per year) was prompted by the very high syndication ratings of TOS from 72-74. This told Paramount that there was more life in the Star Trek franchise, and they were certainly right. It was the studio, not network execs, who started early development on that concept. They then decided that a medium budget movie might be a better risk and would give them more control than a TV project. It was still the syndication ratings that were driving the Paramount (not network) desire to do more with Trek.
You are right, Maurice, that Paramount had to make some sweet deals to get TNG into first run syndication. But, TNG was a very high budget syndicated show. STARSHIP, on the other hand, seems to have been a lessons learned concept. (lessons learned from TOS. ST: Phase 2 version 1 was also a lessons learned concept). If STARSHIP really had been a lessons learned concept (as I suspect it was), then it would have been less expensive per episode than TOS had been. If the network ratings had been higher for STARSHIP in the 70s than TOS had been in the 60s, then the profit margin would have been higher. Add to that developments that might have made post production less expensive, plus avoiding expensive post production pitfalls (again, lessons learned) then the profit margin is even healthier.
However, while Paramount was relatively confident that there was more life in Trek by the syndication indicators, the networks might still have been highly cautious about going to series, and that is understandable. My point earlier was that the indicators at that time, and soon after, shows that there was potential for STARSHIP being a better bet for a series than the 4 pilots that were produced. Nobody is saying that anybody's decisions would always work, and I'm not criticizing any network execs because there was no STARSHIP pilot to purchase or to pass. I'm saying that the studio might have been more successful in launching a successful series had they produced a pilot for STARSHIP than for the other 4. I'm only talking about probabilities based on 3 indicators. And, I'm talking as somebody who has used indicators to create live theatre shows with healthy profit margins for the past 15 years.
Yes, Christopher, "It's easy to criticize how professionals do their job if you've never actually had to do it yourself. It's easy to pretend in your head that your decisions would always work, but if you actually have to do a job in real life." But, I AM a professional who has done my job successfully. I have not had to pretend in my decisions in the entertainment industry have worked, because I have seen them work for years. I actually have done the job in real life. Not in TV, but partly in film and extensively in theatre. All in the entertainment industry.
Maurice, I think you make a very good point about Questor and GR. I, for one, would greatly appreciate it if you found out more. I think you are on to something.