I think we have to watch future episodes and find out. I find it very hard to believe that Picard needs to do a penance for something that happened in 2024, when he was not even born yet.I am totally confused here.
Q did nothing until Picard blew up the Stargazer.
Q even comments on why Picard keeps saying he, (Q) did something.
FMPOV, all Q has done so is save Picard from his decision to die to take out the Queen.
Wha'd I miss?