My guess is Starfleet Academy gets revealed in the next few months, First Contact Day 2023 at the latest, and drops early 2024.
Assuming zero overlap and zero weeks off, which we already know is by no means a given but this is why I don’t make the big bucks etc, here is my mental estimate on how things go down from next week’s Lower Decks season premiere forward.
LD3: 25 August - 27 October
PRO1.5: 3 November - 5 January
PIC3: 12 January - 16 March
SNW2: 23 March - 25 May
DIS5: 1 June - 3 August
LD4: 10 August - 12 October
PRO2.0: 19 October - 21 December
Totally pie-in-the-sky, and with obvious sequential guesswork, but I guess my point is that we could see the next new show in early 2024 and only really get a handle on what the heck it is a year or so off from launch.
(Someone feel free to fact-check my dates; I’m running on fumes IRL right now,)