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So when does S4 start?

My suspicion is that they will stretch it into 2027 - so this year we will get SNW S4 towards the back end, and then next year SFA S2 and SNW S5. That gives P+ content for two years on a similiar roll-out as this time round. This would give the new team at Paramount time to get their ducks in a row and decide WTF is next.

A warning sign will certainly be if they decide to merge both to get them out the way this year.

There is still of course the possibility they will try to do a Prodigy on this (e.g. withold SFA S2, or even SNW S5) - but tbh, I don't think any current ST iteration is so desperately unpopular they would rather can it for a tax rebate than air it. Even with Prodigy, it was decided licensing it to Netflix was a more cost-effective strategy, and I can't see long-running show like SNW going that way (if anything dare I say, it would be SFA S2)
 
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I am still wondering if they’re going to show S4 and S5 back-to-back, since both seasons have finished filming, and then show SFA S2 at the end of the year, to finish off Kurtzman CBSTrek in 2026 before Skydance does their own thing.

The VFX for S5 takes 6-9 months to do.
 
Reaching the end of a contract is not getting fired.

Oh, I know that. But some people believe that with the regime change to Skydance, they will want to replace him once his contract expires, which is usually what happens when one company buys out another company: the employees of the former company get fired and replaced by employees of the new company. Sometimes the new company retains some employees, but that’s usually the exception, not the norm.

Is that what’s going on here? Beats me. But suppose we’ll find out by the end of the year.
 
Oh, I know that. But some people believe that with the regime change to Skydance, they will want to replace him once his contract expires, which is usually what happens when one company buys out another company: the employees of the former company get fired and replaced by employees of the new company. Sometimes the new company retains some employees, but that’s usually the exception, not the norm.

Is that what’s going on here? Beats me. But suppose we’ll find out by the end of the year.
Except Alex Kutzman worked for/with Skydance on the Kelvin Star Trek films so they may be amenable to negotiating a extention or new contract.
 
Except Alex Kutzman worked for/with Skydance on the Kelvin Star Trek films so they may be amenable to negotiating a extention or new contract.
Not if they intend to change the direction of Trek or P+ in general.

He'll be reporting to new people. As a general rule, new managers don't get credit for projects developed under the last regime. You don't climb the ladder that way. And in that business, people prefer to manage their own hires - if someone owes you their job, they're more likely to show some loyalty.
 
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