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Reasons why Aliens ignore us?

Imagine two speeding supersonic jets randomly flying through the air, around the world, with two passengers (one on each) blindfolded and told to, at any random point, remove their blindfolds and look for the other jet. How likely is it that both passengers would remove their blindfolds at exactly the moment necessary to see each other at the same time? Indeed, how likely are they to even see the other at all, even if one or the other was blindfolded?

This is what I believe to be the #1 dilemma of the whole alien contact paradox. Our one Universe is roughly 13.5 billion years old. Humans as a species have only existed for about an infinitesimally brief period in that time. Human civilization? In cosmic terms, that's about a split second.

So, in following the above analogy, how likely is it that, across the vast distances of even our own galaxy, let alone the entire universe, that another civilization would just happen to evolve as a species, attain civilization and advance to the point where they could (or would want to) contact us within that tiny window of time?

It's almost statistically impossible.

We're likely dealing with, as an extremely liberal estimate, margins of millions of years. Every human on Earth is more likely to win the lottery several times over than we are to be visited by these aliens with extremely convenient timing. Such calculations are based on nothing more than basic logic and rational analysis. Believing that we have been contacted or that there are aliens observing us then enters the realm of speculative, unsubstantiated certitude, or faith.
 
Imagine two speeding supersonic jets randomly flying through the air, around the world, with two passengers (one on each) blindfolded and told to, at any random point, remove their blindfolds and look for the other jet. How likely is it that both passengers would remove their blindfolds at exactly the moment necessary to see each other at the same time? Indeed, how likely are they to even see the other at all, even if one or the other was blindfolded?

This is what I believe to be the #1 dilemma of the whole alien contact paradox. Our one Universe is roughly 13.5 billion years old. Humans as a species have only existed for about an infinitesimally brief period in that time. Human civilization? In cosmic terms, that's about a split second.

So, in following the above analogy, how likely is it that, across the vast distances of even our own galaxy, let alone the entire universe, that another civilization would just happen to evolve as a species, attain civilization and advance to the point where they could (or would want to) contact us within that tiny window of time?

It's almost statistically impossible.

We're likely dealing with, as an extremely liberal estimate, margins of millions of years. Every human on Earth is more likely to win the lottery several times over than we are to be visited by these aliens with extremely convenient timing. Such calculations are based on nothing more than basic logic and rational analysis. Believing that we have been contacted or that there are aliens observing us then enters the realm of speculative, unsubstantiated certitude, or faith.

You are missing the entire scope of the universe.

Right now it is estimated that there are billions of galaxies in the universe, some going so far as claiming about 500 billion galaxies.

Our galaxy contains at least 200 billion stars (estimates range to up to 400 billion).

I'm no statistics expert but my (insane) mind tells me that somehow the odds are there with such gigantic numbers. If FTL travel is possible at all, be it by "just" travelling faster than light or bending space so one can instantenously jump between two points i'm pretty sure that there are civilizations out there roaming the space exploring it.

Even with this tiny miniscule chance that we are roughly within the same historical timeframe (only they are moe advanced) i'm not ruling it out.

Now why they haven't made themselves known.. who knows? Maybe we are not worth it because their calculations show that we'd destroy our habitat within a few hundred years, we're to prejudiced/xenophobic (and that's even within our own race just because someone has a different skin color.. imagine someone with a whole different genetic makeup)/violent or we just don't have anything to offer to them.

Or maybe we already have contact but governments decided we can't handle that as a race yet and kept it secret in unison with the visitors wishes... who knows.

All i know is that mathematical probabilty tells me there should be alien sentient life.. it however tells me jack shit about their technological level or their society.
That's why we have Hollywood and movies like Independence Day (and maybe the Aliens are ramping up their military to see who's got the bigger balls.. those giant motherships can't be built within a week you know).
 
Reasons why Aliens ignore us?

We are not ripe yet.

If all the claims and evidence of UFO activity are actually alien ships then a logical conclusion would be they are not ignoring us all, just not making contact.

(If they do exist,) why not make contact with us? Would you try actually communicating with an obviously inferior species? No, you'd study it; just as it appears they are doing with us.
 
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