I disagree. The more I think about it, it's not a plot hole.
We don't need to have tracked all the movements of all players to know it's not a plot hole.
We know Pike was being interrogated for codes. There is a ready explanation available for why Nero would pause before going to Earth. He doesn't believe he needs to evade anyone, so going on an evasive course is unnecessary.
Adding one more scene:
would have fixed everything. Its absence doesn't constitute a hole. The fact that its inclusion, it being consistent with everything else, would have eliminated all questionable aspects of this issue proves that this issue is not a plot hole.Flunky: Nero, we have the codes!
Nero: Move into the Solar System!!!
However, again, in my opinion, this has been the most worthy candidate.
Why would Nero assume that Starfleet would not change the codes if the Enterprise had time to warn them? In TWok Spock acknowledged this as a possibility.