Hmm...never noticed that, I guess I have to re-watch those episodes. But your theory may be right. The only thing I did notice is that in "Worst Case Scenario" she has the short hairstyle but she's not wearing the Ocampa ears.
Specificaly, Scorpion Part 1, i watched I the other day and noticed it. I will see if i can pull a screencap.
Watching 'The Gift' right now and after the Doctor shows Janeway Seven's new eye implant they talk to Kes and the ocampan ear is clearly visable. Also later when Janeway is talking to kes in her quarters.
			
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 Anyhow, it's not like she is 300 lbs or anything! Geesh! But she DOES look like she's put on about 30 or more. She looks a lot more different than her Kes years on the show though! But hey if you're happy with what you look like, then more power to ya!