Well this thread is off to a rollicking start.
I loved this movie, overall. Great performances by Hanks, Roberts and especially everyone's favorite scene stealer, Phillip Seymour Hoffman (I'd have given him the Oscar that Javier Bardem got). I don't know what the proportion of truth to invention is here, but the story has all the complexity and irony of real life, which gives it the ring of truth.
Favorite scene: Hanks in his office with his harem of assistants, trying to keep Rudy Guiliani's morality police at bay while he meets with Hoffman, who hands him a bottle of whiskey and then procedes to tell him its bugged. Not standard CIA procedure, I'd assume. That scene honestly reminded me of some of the great old screwball comedies - a rare example of that style being attempted successfully today.
This movie conforms to one of my suspicions about the way things work, that it's not just some grand conspiracy by oil companies or what have you, but a lot of the reason things happen is based on the individual personalities, prejudices, hobby horses and arbitrariness of actual human beings, who - if they have enough power - can shape the direction of history in unpredictable ways that pundits later come along and try to make sense of, regardless of whether their neat little boxes have any relationship to reality.
This movie doesn't fall into that trap. It depicts historical events as what they so often are: a combination of self-interest and good intentions that never have the results anyone involved expects. Very mature storytelling. This theme is underscored (actually far too directly for my tastes) by Hoffman's little fable about the Zen master. By then I had sort of got the message, but I guess director Mike Nichols didn't want to leave anything to chance.
I wasn't quite convinced that Wilson turned out to be the lone voice in the wilderness worrying about the impact of not funding Afghan schools and keeping the nutjobs out of Kabul...I can remember current events circa the late 1980s and while there was little worry about the nutjobs of Afghanistan, there was a lot of very justifiable worry about what the Russians might do with their nukes in their crumbling empire. Back then, there were a lot of nutjobs to worry about, all over the world (still are). Shouldn't the ones with the big-ass nuclear arsenal get the most attention?
What I'm saying is hindsight is 20/20. If Wilson just wanted money for schools because he cared about the Afghan children (and humanitarianism did seem to be a big motivating factor), then okay. But Nichols seemed to be implying that Wilson was more prescient than that, without providing evidence that Wilson realized the Taliban posed a serious threat to America, morseo than all the other nutjobs he could have pointed a finger at, while everyone else's attention was occupied by other serious threats, which may or may not have materialized, but would have diverted a lot of effort and attention nonetheless.
You guys don't head into TNZ much I gather?
...scary...scary...scary...
The "we fucked up the end game" tag was nice, I suppose. At least it reminds people why the world is the way it is and, at the very least, will shut up people who just want to leave Afghanistan.
See, that's the part I didn't buy. Was Wilson, who was just some guy from Texas, really so prescient that he realized Afghanistan was an important part of the geopolitical stage? Was he thinking of this as a "game" that even had an "end"? Or did he just see a pathetic third-world country that needed some help, that he had taken a particular interest in because some right-wing chick with crazy hair he was boffing was interested in it, for God only know what reason, and he was pissed off he couldn't get it, because after all, he didn't ask for much?
I guess I should go read the book on which this movie was based. I'm curious now that Wilson was such a genius he saw what everyone else missed. I'm not convinced there was enough evidence at the time to make it anything more of a lucky guess. Why couldn't the next big threat to America have come from, say, Angola? Paraguay? Honduras? I'm just typing names at random, but what evidence did anyone have to make a better bet?