• Welcome! The TrekBBS is the number one place to chat about Star Trek with like-minded fans.
    If you are not already a member then please register an account and join in the discussion!

Is it time to return to the gold standard?

Is it time to return to the gold standard?


  • Total voters
    36
  • Poll closed .
Given that "value" is a completely subjective concept (and so are measurements of it), anything can be considered a "store of value." Saying gold is a store of value but fiat currency isn't is flat-out wrong.

So how are your FRN's keeping up with inflation? I know my grandparents PM's have kept up nicely.

This is what annoys me, Americans and Poms have forgotten the lessons learned by your ancestors. A lesson which mainland Europeans, Chinese and Indians know all too well about.
 
Last edited:
No, I'm *exactly* right. I was talking about how gold is not better than fiat currency even though it seems more solid. I never said that gold could not be used.

Mr Awe

No, all you have demonstrated is at a fixed point in time when you have judged the 'value' of an item you will need a certain number of fiat notes, thus fiat paper appears as good as gold as will will indeed obtain your item.

What is missing in your description is the time dimension. This will mean that you will need more fiat notes for the same goods at a future point in time, as history is yet to find a fiat currency that has not died due to a hyper-inflationary or default mechanism.

This will not be generally be the case with a true form of money, as something that 'seems more solid' will generally have more confidence attributed to it.
 
The real issue is not whether a currency is fiat or not, but who controls the issuance of that currency. In the US the Federal Reserve must either be shut down or nationalized and put under the control of the Congress.
 
Yes, because congress is clearly good at running things.
^ Aren't you the one saying, "We have people watching these things"? I'm paraphrasing of course. If you truly believe Congress is bad at running things, then we are in agreement. Privateization is the key. You can privatize things as much as possible and still have consumer protection laws and anti-trust laws. I'm all for it, I love it. There must be a balance. Often times it's the "my way or the highway"attitude or the attitude that there is only one way or the other. Why can't there be a combo.
 
Congress is good at politics. The federal reserve are technocrats. Their job is to know how to do this shit. Privatization isn't good either because their motive isn't the same motive as everyone else. But leaving under firm Congressional control also has drawbacks with both fears of rent seeking and in simply screwing up (not to say the Federal Reserve doesn't screw up, I just trust them to do it less).
 
While I'm not terribly thrilled that our money supply is under the control of a private entity, it does have the advantage that it's run by people who have a vested interest in keeping the economy humming and have some idea how to make it happen. Congresscritters are not economists or bankers and I have very little faith in their ability to manage the money supply on their own.
 
"Give me control of a nation's money and I care not who makes her laws." Mayer Amschel Rothschild

Thomas Jefferson to John Taylor, 1816

“I sincerely believe ... that banking establishments are more dangerous than standing armies, and that the principle of spending money to be paid by posterity under the name of funding is but swindling futurity on a large scale.”

Just be carefull for what you wish for folks. The control of the money supply should never be taken away from a government. They are accountable to the populace, a private organisation such as the Fed Reserve is not. The decision in 1913 to allow the Fed Reserve to control the American money supply must be one of the greatest brain farts in that nations history. Just because they know how to run an economy (debatable) does not mean they will run it in your communities best interest.

I'm not up to date with how Congress works, but it would be their civil duty of each elected official to obtain the appropriate advice relevant to the field, so in their judgement, to make the best choice wether it be in economics or other topic and not outsource it.
 
Hyperinflation is not common at all, much less the inevitable outcome of fiat currency. Hyperinflation most often occurs in countries losing a war. And as I recall they have included countries on a gold standard! Not one factual assertion made by these crackpots can be trusted.

Again, all this nonsense is inspired by a desire for hard money. In a healthy economy, the growth in the amount of physical capital should be expected to lower the costs of capital. Which in money terms means a lower interest rate. Which tends to secular (long term inflation.) All this ideological claptrap aims to protect bankers and other financiers from reality, even at the expense of the mass of the population. Which is why the Federal Reserve is an essentially private institution, which routinely ignores its legal mandate to promote full employment. (Humphrey-Hawkins Act)
 
Jefferson was not exactly unbiased on this issue. In addition, banks then are not banks now. It's not a good comparison. Would Jefferson have found banks these days to be dangerous? Depends on in how a populist mood he was in. But not necessarily.
 
Hyperinflation is not common at all, much less the inevitable outcome of fiat currency. Hyperinflation most often occurs in countries losing a war. And as I recall they have included countries on a gold standard! Not one factual assertion made by these crackpots can be trusted.

Again, all this nonsense is inspired by a desire for hard money. In a healthy economy, the growth in the amount of physical capital should be expected to lower the costs of capital. Which in money terms means a lower interest rate. Which tends to secular (long term inflation.) All this ideological claptrap aims to protect bankers and other financiers from reality, even at the expense of the mass of the population. Which is why the Federal Reserve is an essentially private institution, which routinely ignores its legal mandate to promote full employment. (Humphrey-Hawkins Act)
Who are you calling a crackpot?
 
The people who are so deranged as to imagine countries where fiat money has led to hyperinflation. It just doesn't happen.

Calling them crackpots may be excessively nice.
They could just be common, garden variety liars.
 
Hyperinflation is not common at all, much less the inevitable outcome of fiat currency. Hyperinflation most often occurs in countries losing a war. And as I recall they have included countries on a gold standard! Not one factual assertion made by these crackpots can be trusted.

Again, all this nonsense is inspired by a desire for hard money. In a healthy economy, the growth in the amount of physical capital should be expected to lower the costs of capital. Which in money terms means a lower interest rate. Which tends to secular (long term inflation.) All this ideological claptrap aims to protect bankers and other financiers from reality, even at the expense of the mass of the population. Which is why the Federal Reserve is an essentially private institution, which routinely ignores its legal mandate to promote full employment. (Humphrey-Hawkins Act)

Wrong, wrong , wrong. A simple check which you have failed to do would have found many countries that have hyperinflated their currencies within our lifetimes, but since your an insular American anything that doesn't happen to you doesn't exist anywhere else:

Angola 1991-1995.
Argentina 1975-1991
Austria 1914 to January 1923
Belarus 1994-2002
Bolivia 1984 and 1986.
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1993
Brazil 1986-1994
Bulgaria 1996
Chile 1973 -1981
Georgia 1994.
Germany 1923-1924
Greece 1944
Hungary 1945 -1946
Israel 1971 - 1984
Japan 1948 – 1951
Madagascar 2005
Mozambique 1992
Peru 1988-1990
Poland 1989
Turkey 1995 - 2005
Ukraine 1993 - 1995
Zaire 1989 - 1996
Zimbabwe 2004-2009

Yes, hyperinflation does occur in countries after a war, but many of these moved off a gold standard to begin relentless printing to pay for these wars. Understand, wars cost money and do not generate a profit.

Yes, the time for hard money has returned. The time of soft money is over, it has screwed the world yet again.

The fiat system centred on the American dollar as the reserve currency is dying, prepare accordingly.
 
The people who are so deranged as to imagine countries where fiat money has led to hyperinflation. It just doesn't happen.

Calling them crackpots may be excessively nice.
They could just be common, garden variety liars.

Gee, people panning desperately for gold in Zimbabwe to trade for food must be doing it for fun, oh buts let not forget according to your logic Zimbabwe must be imaginary.
 
The people who are so deranged as to imagine countries where fiat money has led to hyperinflation. It just doesn't happen.

Calling them crackpots may be excessively nice.
They could just be common, garden variety liars.

Bullshit, it happened in the Confederate States of America. They printed money to pay for the war late in the war and printed it to the point that it became worthless. In the United States the Continental was printed to pay for the war, this too became worthless. Both instances of hyperinflation. Darth Picardus has shown other examples.


"Printing money to pay unaffordable bills dates at least to Emperor Diocletian, who ran what may be the nastiest case of hyperinflation in world history. In the last century two dozen countries hyperinflated, the most famous (although hardly the worst) example being Germany during the 1920s. Reducing real spending this way is ugly, but it works, provided nominal spending isn't indexed to price levels. In the U.S., over the past 20 years most federal expenditures have been indexed. Hence, using inflation here to cut real spending requires outpacing indexation, which accelerates price increases even more."
Authors:Kotlikoff, LaurenceSource:Fortune; 5/17/2004, Vol. 149 Issue 10, p84-84, 1p, 1 Black and White Photograph
From the same article:
"Hyperinflation is a real and present danger for the simple reason that the U.S. government is effectively bankrupt. Its fiscal gap is $51 trillion, when measured as a present value. That's 11.6 times official debt, 4.5 times GDP, and 1.2 times private net wealth. Coming up with $51 trillion without a printing press would require, immediately and permanently, either hiking federal income taxes 78%, cutting Social Security and Medicare benefits 51%, or eliminating more than 100% of federal discretionary spending, which ain't easy. And waiting only makes matters worse."

Alink about the Zimbanwae Hyperinflation:

http://www.cato.org/zimbabwe
 
Bullshit, it happened in the Confederate States of America. They printed money to pay for the war late in the war and printed it to the point that it became worthless. In the United States the Continental was printed to pay for the war, this too became worthless.

Hence the term "Not worth a Continental"
 
I said, "Hyperinflation is not common at all, much less the inevitable outcome of fiat currency. Hyperinflation most often occurs in countries losing a war." Against this, with great personal indignation, is listed:

A simple check which you have failed to do would have found many countries that have hyperinflated their currencies within our lifetimes, but since your an insular American anything that doesn't happen to you doesn't exist anywhere else:

Angola 1991-1995.
Argentina 1975-1991
Austria 1914 to January 1923
Belarus 1994-2002
Bolivia 1984 and 1986.
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1993
Brazil 1986-1994
Bulgaria 1996
Chile 1973 -1981
Georgia 1994.
Germany 1923-1924
Greece 1944
Hungary 1945 -1946
Israel 1971 - 1984
Japan 1948 – 1951
Madagascar 2005
Mozambique 1992
Peru 1988-1990
Poland 1989
Turkey 1995 - 2005
Ukraine 1993 - 1995
Zaire 1989 - 1996
Zimbabwe 2004-2009

Yes, hyperinflation does occur in countries after a war, but many of these moved off a gold standard to begin relentless printing to pay for these wars...The fiat system centred on the American dollar as the reserve currency is dying, prepare accordingly.

The idea that nations should die lest they debase the currency, i.e., "cheat" debt-holders seems appropriate only to the most debased worshippers of Mammon. The whole thread is based on the idea that fiat currency leads to inflation leads to hyperinflation. The fact that hyperinflation is not found in nations that are winning the wars really should force itself even upon such mentalities.

Removing from the list the countries that were undergoing a losing war, had lost a major war or had been ripped away from a functional socialist economy (which, really, is equivalent to losing the Cold War,) or internecine domestic violence, aka civil war, the relevant list is:





Bolivia 1984 and 1986.

Brazil 1986-1994
Bulgaria 1996
Chile 1973 -1981




Israel 1971 - 1984

Madagascar 2005



Turkey 1995 - 2005




Yes, Zimbabwe should be removed because its hyperinflation is not endogenous, much less due to its use of fiat money. Zimbabwe has for years been targeted by economic warfare over the plantation seizures conducted by the government. (The racist press always talks about "white farmers" but those were commercial plantations dependent largely upon hired laborers, not family farms.) As seen above, the real list is rather spotty.

Very likely Bolivia should be excluded because of the role of political instability (an European origin ethnic oligarchy has destabilized the country for decades, resulting in alternating periods of military rule.) Israel also is a doubtful case, being pretty much an army at perpetual war rather than a nation as normally understood.

Given the universality of fiat money without hyperinflation, the lonely examples of Brazil, Bulgaria, Madagascar and Turkey don't constitute even a prima facie case for fiat money leading to hyperinflation. Indeed, it may just be my personal ignorance of the histories of those countries that doesn't remove them from the list as well.

In an inadvertently revealing error, the dates for Chile's bout with hyperinflation are incorrect. Economic warfare against the Allende regime ended in the bloody coup. The dates for 1973-1981 are really the dates for the prolonged decline in living standards due to the hard money policies instituted by the dictator Pinochet's government.:guffaw:The Argentine bout was terminated with a hard money scheme based on the dollar. That period came to an end when starvation reappeared in the supposedly modern, developed country of Argentina.

Keeping to the gold standard, or some other hard money scheme, is very often equivalent to insisting the the common people pay the price, even if the price is their lives. That's the whole point to hard money. The proponents of this vicious morality can pretend that soft money hurts people but deflation, which is hard money, hurts people worse.

Up in the thread above, they even tried to pretend soft money drove US farmers off the land, when it was in fact the very opposite. (They could have argued that society as a whole was better off with less people engaged in agriculture, but that's not populist. Lots of this drivel is designed as faux-populism, fake indignation about the hard life of people they plan to exploit.)

The last remark in the quote cited above, about the end of the US dollar as reserve currency, hints at the idea that the US is in effect going to be like post-war Austria, bereft of its empire, and therefore ripe for hyperinflation. That idea, unlike the lunatic assertion that fiat money leads to hyperinflation, may be worth examining. IF it were made. It is no accident that it is merely a parenthetical aside.

There is actually no indication whatsoever that any nation will dare to pull the plug on the US dollar in such a fashion as to induce hyperinflation, however. The US government has determined upon a policy of endless war. The US dollar's reserve role depends upon military violence, not US economic strength. The need to sacrifice everything to the wars is so far unquestioned, but the toll on the US population's living standards is so far unquestioned. And, while people spout witless drivel about fiat money, never will be, which is why the loyal professors of finance will happily earn their salaries by witlessly driveling. The rest of the world will suffer from an empire even more degenerate than the late Roman Empire, which at least brought peace.
 
I said, "Hyperinflation is not common at all, much less the inevitable outcome of fiat currency. Hyperinflation most often occurs in countries losing a war." Against this, with great personal indignation, is listed:

A simple check which you have failed to do would have found many countries that have hyperinflated their currencies within our lifetimes, but since your an insular American anything that doesn't happen to you doesn't exist anywhere else:

Angola 1991-1995.
Argentina 1975-1991
Austria 1914 to January 1923
Belarus 1994-2002
Bolivia 1984 and 1986.
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1993
Brazil 1986-1994
Bulgaria 1996
Chile 1973 -1981
Georgia 1994.
Germany 1923-1924
Greece 1944
Hungary 1945 -1946
Israel 1971 - 1984
Japan 1948 – 1951
Madagascar 2005
Mozambique 1992
Peru 1988-1990
Poland 1989
Turkey 1995 - 2005
Ukraine 1993 - 1995
Zaire 1989 - 1996
Zimbabwe 2004-2009

Yes, hyperinflation does occur in countries after a war, but many of these moved off a gold standard to begin relentless printing to pay for these wars...The fiat system centred on the American dollar as the reserve currency is dying, prepare accordingly.

The idea that nations should die lest they debase the currency, i.e., "cheat" debt-holders seems appropriate only to the most debased worshippers of Mammon. The whole thread is based on the idea that fiat currency leads to inflation leads to hyperinflation. The fact that hyperinflation is not found in nations that are winning the wars really should force itself even upon such mentalities.

Removing from the list the countries that were undergoing a losing war, had lost a major war or had been ripped away from a functional socialist economy (which, really, is equivalent to losing the Cold War,) or internecine domestic violence, aka civil war, the relevant list is:





Bolivia 1984 and 1986.

Brazil 1986-1994
Bulgaria 1996
Chile 1973 -1981




Israel 1971 - 1984

Madagascar 2005



Turkey 1995 - 2005




Yes, Zimbabwe should be removed because its hyperinflation is not endogenous, much less due to its use of fiat money. Zimbabwe has for years been targeted by economic warfare over the plantation seizures conducted by the government. (The racist press always talks about "white farmers" but those were commercial plantations dependent largely upon hired laborers, not family farms.) As seen above, the real list is rather spotty.

Very likely Bolivia should be excluded because of the role of political instability (an European origin ethnic oligarchy has destabilized the country for decades, resulting in alternating periods of military rule.) Israel also is a doubtful case, being pretty much an army at perpetual war rather than a nation as normally understood.

Given the universality of fiat money without hyperinflation, the lonely examples of Brazil, Bulgaria, Madagascar and Turkey don't constitute even a prima facie case for fiat money leading to hyperinflation. Indeed, it may just be my personal ignorance of the histories of those countries that doesn't remove them from the list as well.

In an inadvertently revealing error, the dates for Chile's bout with hyperinflation are incorrect. Economic warfare against the Allende regime ended in the bloody coup. The dates for 1973-1981 are really the dates for the prolonged decline in living standards due to the hard money policies instituted by the dictator Pinochet's government.:guffaw:The Argentine bout was terminated with a hard money scheme based on the dollar. That period came to an end when starvation reappeared in the supposedly modern, developed country of Argentina.

Keeping to the gold standard, or some other hard money scheme, is very often equivalent to insisting the the common people pay the price, even if the price is their lives. That's the whole point to hard money. The proponents of this vicious morality can pretend that soft money hurts people but deflation, which is hard money, hurts people worse.

Up in the thread above, they even tried to pretend soft money drove US farmers off the land, when it was in fact the very opposite. (They could have argued that society as a whole was better off with less people engaged in agriculture, but that's not populist. Lots of this drivel is designed as faux-populism, fake indignation about the hard life of people they plan to exploit.)

The last remark in the quote cited above, about the end of the US dollar as reserve currency, hints at the idea that the US is in effect going to be like post-war Austria, bereft of its empire, and therefore ripe for hyperinflation. That idea, unlike the lunatic assertion that fiat money leads to hyperinflation, may be worth examining. IF it were made. It is no accident that it is merely a parenthetical aside.

There is actually no indication whatsoever that any nation will dare to pull the plug on the US dollar in such a fashion as to induce hyperinflation, however. The US government has determined upon a policy of endless war. The US dollar's reserve role depends upon military violence, not US economic strength. The need to sacrifice everything to the wars is so far unquestioned, but the toll on the US population's living standards is so far unquestioned. And, while people spout witless drivel about fiat money, never will be, which is why the loyal professors of finance will happily earn their salaries by witlessly driveling. The rest of the world will suffer from an empire even more degenerate than the late Roman Empire, which at least brought peace.

STJ, you can't pick and choose which countries have failed by simply removing those countries have been at war in the past, was once part of a socialist regime or falls prey to a douchbag like Mugabe. You state this is not a prima facie case for fiat hyperflation. I counter argue, please name me one fiat currency that has lasted more than 50 years off a gold standard, be that a full or partial gold standard.

You quote that countries that win wars don't hyperinflate. Well Israel has won all of its wars, so what is their problem? Why have they hyperinflated?

The question is "Is it time to return to a gold standard". By asking to remove those currencies that have led to hyperinflation you are purposely obscuring a weakness that a fiat system entails, i.e. when the going gets tough they fall to bits and become worthless. The key question is who survived and prospered after these hyperinflations? Those who held assets outside the fiat system.

And to quote you have no evidence that any country will pull the plug on the US dollar. You realise China and Russia are now trading with each other without the US dollar? Ever hear of the Shanghai Cooperation? What are they buying and obtaining mineral rights to? You say Americas military strength will keep everyone in line, well the armies of the USSR did not stop its collapse and eventual monetary default. Eventually all of these US dollars created will eventually return home and result in hyperinflation.

You quote that using hard money, the people must pay for it, even with their lives. So the upcoming austerity measures in Europe aren't being payed by the people then?

And don't think the US is the entire world either, there are 2 billion people across the ocean from you that are developing well and the American consumer will no longer be required in the future to support their economies.
 
Last edited:
Would you like an example of countries that were on the gold standard and still had hyper inflation? I have two off the top of my head. There's quite a long history, so we know the downfalls of the system.
 
Would you like an example of countries that were on the gold standard and still had hyper inflation? I have two off the top of my head. There's quite a long history, so we know the downfalls of the system.

OK Jinglebell, what monetary system can we have that both savers and spenders are treated equally, but the fruits of your labor are not diluted away by reckless printing by government stupidity.

Lets not forget I listed those fiat currencies that failed in the last half of the 20C. I could have a list as long as my arm if we go back in time.

Please list your gold standard hyperinflation for educational purposes. Note: Do not list Weimar as Germany dropped its gold standard the moment WW1 started.
 
If you are not already a member then please register an account and join in the discussion!

Sign up / Register


Back
Top