Re: Some thoughts on Losing the Peace (spoilers for the book obviously
The United States government has known for years that there is a serious risk of nuclear weapons from the former Soviet Union or other states falling into the hands of terrorist organizations such as al Qaeda, for whom such a weapon would be a holy grail. Yet if you read up on what the government has been doing about it -- a good book dealing with the issue would be The Way of the World by Ron Suskind -- the U.S. has virtually no plan on how to stop it and is doing comparatively little to prevent it.
The U.S. government knew for years that the levees protecting New Orleans were weakening and badly in need of repair from the Army Corps of Engineers, and that a Category 5 hurricane could overwhelm the levees. That didn't stop the government from decreasing funding for levee maintenance and for the A.C.E. in the year prior to Hurricane Katrina.
Knowing something is likely doesn't mean that governments actually put together plans to deal with them. Unfortunately, putting their heads in the sand and hoping it goes away is just as probable of a response.
And, while it may be easy to imagine that our real-life, honest-to-gosh governments have plans for "any conceivable scenario," from an armed alien invasion to a giant prehistoric lizard attack to a replica of the Titanic crashing into Buckingham Palace... y'know, I rather doubt it.
Okay, that's not the best analogy. The Federation knew the Borg were real. They knew the Borg Collective was more than large and powerful enough to wipe out the Federation easily if it chose to. They knew they'd proven themselves a serious threat to the Collective once they knocked out their transwarp hub. They knew they'd almost been destroyed by the Dominion, so they knew they weren't indestructible.
So from their perspective, "the Borg invade en masse and wipe us all out" was not a remote threat to the degree that "Godzilla rampages through New York" or "the Moon splits in two and rains down meteors" would be, but was more on the level of "Russia launches all its nuclear missiles toward us" -- not a pie-in-the-sky threat, but a very solid, realistic worst-case scenario. It's just not credible to suggest that they never even thought about the possibility.
The United States government has known for years that there is a serious risk of nuclear weapons from the former Soviet Union or other states falling into the hands of terrorist organizations such as al Qaeda, for whom such a weapon would be a holy grail. Yet if you read up on what the government has been doing about it -- a good book dealing with the issue would be The Way of the World by Ron Suskind -- the U.S. has virtually no plan on how to stop it and is doing comparatively little to prevent it.
The U.S. government knew for years that the levees protecting New Orleans were weakening and badly in need of repair from the Army Corps of Engineers, and that a Category 5 hurricane could overwhelm the levees. That didn't stop the government from decreasing funding for levee maintenance and for the A.C.E. in the year prior to Hurricane Katrina.
Knowing something is likely doesn't mean that governments actually put together plans to deal with them. Unfortunately, putting their heads in the sand and hoping it goes away is just as probable of a response.