"For all we know Johnson has been fired and it's just not been announced" are reckless in their speculation because they lack evidence
there is no evidence to suggest its been cancelled
Let's review the facts, shall we?
- Lucasfilm has replaced/fired numerous directors well into production, and cancelled even more projects in pre-production/development that we know of.
- The RJ trilogy was announced before
TLJ came out, i.e., before the ticket-buying public had
any kind of say in whether they wanted more
SW movies from him. The movie then came out, and two years later is regarded as probably the most divisive
SW movie to date, certainly from the Disney era.
- Shortly after
TLJ came out,
Solo underperformed, and Bob Iger announced a
SW movie slowdown.
- Meanwhile, Kennedy's contract was extended for a mere three years, during which LFL would only release one more
SW film - the one that was already announced. Since then, the only other big release from
SW has been
The Mandalorian, which is overseen by Jon Favreau, the Marvel/
Jungle Book/
Lion King director who is one of the few at Disney to have clout on the level of Kennedy.
- In the 2+ years since the announcement of the RJ trilogy, news reports and interviews have consistently stated that the RJ project is still in development.
-
However, Kennedy just recently said the future of the movie franchise is likely not in trilogies, and neither she nor Iger have been explicitly saying that the RJ trilogy is absolutely still happening. Kennedy specifically
just said in an interview she'd be making big decisions about the
SW future in the coming months.
- Reviews for
TROS are overwhelmingly concluding that Abrams has attempted a course correction from
TLJ.
- Benioff and Weiss were hired to oversee a trilogy... and they were fired this year, with reporting suggesting that negative fan reaction to the
GoT finale was a factor.
If you can look at all this and honestly conclude that there is
zero evidence to so much as
doubt that the
RJ trilogy is still a go... well, I think that's bonkers. I'd personally estimate the odds of RJ making another
SW film to be about 50-50, and a full trilogy, say, 33/66% against.
/two cents