Can I ask a question? How is it "proven" that the time travel creates two coexisting parallel timelines, instead of the most recent version overwriting the other, since that would seem to solve the problem? At the end of the day, there's only one date X, it just replaced a version that no longer exists.
Because that is a self-contradictory statement. It's meaningless. One version of a single moment in time cannot change into a different one, because change requires the
passage of time. It requires a "before" version and an "after" version, and as I've been trying to explain to you, a single moment in time cannot come after itself. All the words you're using -- "overwriting," "replaced," "no longer exists" -- assume that time has passed. They're referring to two
consecutive versions, to versions that occupy
different moments of time. But we are talking about two different versions of
the same moment in time. So none of those words that require duration or consecutivity are applicable here.
I don't know why it's so hard for you to understand this. If two things happen at the same moment, they are simultaneous, not consecutive. That is a very simple, basic concept. That is the literal definition of those words.
(Sorry if I'm not getting it, but just saying "if it already happened, it can't unhappen" seems to be ignoring part of the idea behind time travel, IMHO. It's also an interesting enough discussion that more explanation would be appreciated.)
It's ignoring the way time travel is usually portrayed in fiction, but -- news flash -- fiction isn't real. It deliberately portrays time travel in a physically absurd and logically contradictory way because that is more
dramatically satisfying. But you should never, ever mistake what you've been told by fiction for a legitimate grounding in how science works. Fiction routinely portrays reality unrealistically. For instance, anyone who's ever witnessed a thunderstorm knows that the sound of the thunder comes after the lightning unless it's right on top of you, but for some bizarre reason, movie sound designers always, always make the thunder simultaneous with the lightning even though virtually everyone in the world has firsthand experience telling them that's wrong. And then there are all the sci-fi movies where you can see the stars outside a spaceship window even when it's brightly lit inside, when everyone who's ever looked out a window at night when the lights are on should know that's wrong. Fiction takes license. It's not a guide for how things really work.
I think I get the part about a person's personal timeline looping back, thanks to time travel. So, you're saying that all time travel events have "already" happened, even "before" the time traveler chooses to go back? Wouldn't that affect free will, though?
No, because these things are relative. How you perceive the universe depends on your point of view. You're still trying to assume there's a single absolute interpretation of things, but Einstein blew that notion out of the water over a century ago.
Free will exists, because the decisions you make haven't been made
yet. But you only get to make them once. If you go back in time, it might look like events are happening a second time, but they aren't. You're just seeing their one and only occurrence a second time. It's like replaying a ball game on your DVR. You see the game played again, but nothing you do can change the outcome. Which can make you feel like you have no free will. But that's just because the choices were already made. Free will isn't the illusion; the absence of free will is an illusion created by time travel.
Put another way, our free will is always constrained by our circumstances. We're free to do what our situation allows us to do, and some situations are more constraining than others. The analogy I like to use is that if you're standing on an open plain, you have free will to move anywhere you want in two dimension (though not in the third), but if you then fall off a cliff, your freedom to decide your direction of movement becomes far more restricted. Time travel is like falling off a cliff. It puts far more limits on your freedom to affect outcomes than you would normally have, because it's an atypical situation.
Of course, again, fiction routinely portrays it unrealistically for dramatic effect, since it's less interesting if your characters have no power to affect events (although there have been a number of powerful time-travel stories built around the immutability of history, like the movie
12 Monkeys or Heinlein's "--All You Zombies--"). But you're still seeing those events from the perspective of the characters while they're making the choices. If you want to talk about the dynamics of time travel in broader terms, you have to step outside that subjective POV and look at the shape of the timestream more objectively, which is akin to looking back on it after all the choices have already been made.
Also, would this model still apply/look like this if the time travel wasn't "supposed" to happen? For example, in "Carpenter Street" (ENT), Daniels tells Archer that the Xindi attack on Earth wasn't part of the "original" timeline, his future faction has no records of it and the NX-01's mission to stop it happening, and the faction has no idea what the outcome is going to be like. How would such a scenario fit your model?
Again, the key is to understand that definitions are relative to your point of view. The timeline is the "original" from Archer's and Daniels's point of view, but that's relative to their own subjective experience of time. It's not a cosmic absolute. From the perspective of a different observer with a broader view of the multiverse -- which is the perspective we need to adopt if we want to analyze the dynamics of the time travel -- all those alternate paths are simply part of the graph, and characters see them as "original" or not based on their own subjective journeys and which ones they perceive first.
I was actually referring to the Picard and Guinen example from "Time's Arrow." Does your thoughts on "paradox" being the wrong term apply to that, too?
Of course. I was talking about self-consistent time loops in general.
I thought predestination paradoxes were called "paradoxes" because of the way that the effect triggers the cause, basically reversing cause and effect.
That is the exact point I already made -- that the writers using that term
assumed that the inversion of conventional cause and effect was a paradox, but they were
wrong to think that, because the scientific reality of it is that it's the opposite of a paradox. It's important to let go of our everyday preconceptions of causality, time, and space when we're talking about things like time travel, because those are situations that lie outside our everyday experience and thus our conventional intuitions don't apply. Which is why we have science and math to let us calculate what would actually happen in situations where our assumptions and expectations fall apart.
Hypothetical: say that the "many worlds" theory wasn't usable. What do you think would be the best alternative explanation?
I don't understand the question.
Wouldn't the many worlds theory also make predestination paradoxes impossible? That scenario depends on the time travelers staying in their own timeline, not going off into a new one.
Why do people always assume that every time travel has to happen in the exact same way? That is not how physics works. There are countless examples of the same physical laws producing very different outcomes when the initial conditions are different. The same cosmological processes that produce stars also produce planets and asteroids and comets. The same geological processes that create continents also create ocean basins. The same genetic and environmental mechanisms that led to the evolution of mammals also led to the evolution of birds. So why can't the same laws of time travel produce self-consistent loops in some conditions and branching timelines in others? I don't for the life of me understand why people jump to such a bizarre conclusion.
Indeed, according to one interpretation, quantum physics pretty much requires
both to happen in any time travel. Quantum physics is probabilistic, after all. So quantifying a particle's path through time requires summing all its possible paths. In short, if there's a chance that it will cause its own past and a chance that it will alter its own past, then both outcomes will happen. To put this in human terms, let's say you go back in time to kill Hitler or whatever and you have a 50/50 chance of pulling it off. So this will result in a timeline where you fail to kill Hitler and everything stays the same, and a timeline where you kill Hitler and everything is different. It's not a choice between a loop and a parallel; both of them are required to happen.
In a lot of Trek time travel shows, the timeline is shown changing around the characters (like in "Yesterday's Enterprise" [TNG]). Would that still happen in a many worlds time travel model? Because, if the time travel creates an alternate timeline, wouldn't the "original" root timeline be unaffected (except for the missing time travelers), while the new timeline is the one that the time travelers mess up?
Scientifically, this is gibberish. It wouldn't happen that way. As I've already told you before (I'm getting sick of repeating myself), what I've done in my DTI novels is to rationalize this absurd fictional conceit by positing that the parallel timelines reconverge once time catches up with the moment of the original time travel. I've discussed the physics of this in
Watching the Clock and my online notes to same, so I refer you to those.