Starship Polaris said:
Samuel T. Cogley said:
Well, the original spoiler was by a guy who claimed to have some knowledge about the plot, and then he personally speculated on other things based on that plot. And it was very difficult to tell what was his speculation and what came from the (alleged) plot.
But I think he speculated that the Romulans accidentally ended up back in time and decided to take the newfound opportunity to kill Kirk's father, thereby eliminating Kirk, etc.
Sounds ridiculous to me, but then so do many other Star Trek episodes/movies when reduced to a synopsis.
There's a sort of a rule in storytelling - I forget where and when I first saw someone explicitly formulate it - that the audience will generally forgive you one huge coincidence or happenstance in order to get a story started. Only one, and it better come real early.
Like conveniently finding two whales -- humpbacks, of course -- in captivity (and wearing tracking devices in case they are released).

IF the plot rumor from AICN is true, I'd hope it's coincidence that finds the Romulans in a time when preventing Kirk from being born is the nastiest thing they can do.
Rationalizations for "no Kirk" are more convoluted and would require more backstory to make sense to a non-Trek audience than the mere coincidence of finding themselves with a golden opportunity to probably change the future in their favor.
That said, it isn't so much about how "de-Kirking" the galaxy gives the Romulans an overt advantage. Basically, finding oneself with a chance to prevent Kirk from being born is a lot like giving yourself a good chance at destroying the Earth. Literally remove Kirk from time, and you've created several future scenarios that might end in the Earth being destroyed. Some of these events may still have been resolved so the "good guys" win, but the chances are not all will be. And, you only need one hit.
They wouldn't be events that were precipated by Kirk's Enterprise in the first place (in other words "City" probably wouldn't happen if there were no Kirk). But, there are other events that will happen Kirk or no Kirk. Those are the ones where the Romulans can role the dice and hope that someone else doesn't save the day. For instance, just from the movies:
-- V-ger shows up and is not appeased = Earth destroyed.
-- The probe shows up to no whales = Earth destroyed.
-- Praxis blows up and the conspiracy to prevent a detente isn't uncovered = Federation-Klingon war.
There are probably other examples. Dire things that will happen whether Kirk exists or not, but Kirk was crucial to having them turn out okay for the Feds. The Romulans would be playing the probabilities.