Weekend Number 2 Box Office

[Cyrus]

ENT forum used to have a guessing game for the ratings (whatever happened to Volpone? haven't seen that dude around lately). Seems like we are having a box office guessing game here. My guess: a 50% drop, $37.6 million.

 

[chrisspringob]

I think ST is going to have one of best summer 2nd week drop off rates (probably transformers will have best of summer season). I will take anything over $35 million as good sign Trek will make a close to or over $200 million domestic.

Honestly, I think it's already pretty much a lock for $200 million+. $200 million would only be a multiplier of what? 2.7? Movies that tend to have multipliers of 2.7 or worse are movies like Spider-Man 3 and X-Men 3, where the word of mouth is mediocre at best. Seems likely that Trek will have a multiplier better than that.

 

[Garrovick]

Think it will come close to a Billion like Return of the King and Titanic?

 

[St. Squigolas]

Think it will come close to a Billion like Return of the King and Titanic?

No.

Both those movies had the advantage of being opened without any real competition for several months. Trek only has one maybe two weeks of that.

 

[Jax]

This movie has assured one thing...

assuming we get similar WOM and fanbase support for the sequel we are looking at a huge summer hit, which will make this look average but not TDK numbers but still bigger than XI.

 

[MvRojo]

Think it will come close to a Billion like Return of the King and Titanic?

No. Those were powered by international numbers, which accounted for over 66% of the total worldwide gross. Trek will probably get 2/3rd of its money domestically and have a small international take.

 

[chrisspringob]

Steve Mason (a journalist who has leaked early box office numbers in past weeks) has preliminary estimates for Friday on his Twitter feed:

http://twitter.com/LAMase

Angels & Demons $16 million
Star Trek $12.25 million

 

[Norrin Radd]

Steve Mason (a journalist who has leaked early box office numbers in past weeks) has preliminary estimates for Friday on his Twitter feed:

http://twitter.com/LAMase

Angels & Demons $16 million
Star Trek $12.25 million

And how does he know? What makes him so special?

 

[Phily B]

If it hits 40-50 million second week, thats really great.

 

[chrisspringob]

Steve Mason (a journalist who has leaked early box office numbers in past weeks) has preliminary estimates for Friday on his Twitter feed:

http://twitter.com/LAMase

Angels & Demons $16 million
Star Trek $12.25 million

And how does he know? What makes him so special?

People in the know who are compiling the numbers leak numbers to him. Same way Nikki Finke of Deadline Hollywood knows.

 

[chrisspringob]

For reference, Steve Mason was basically dead on with the Friday numbers last week:

http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/smason/2009/05/08/star-trek-estimates/

He said that Star Trek made $26 million on Friday, and the actual number turned out to be something like $27 million.

 

[Borgminister]

Steve Mason (a journalist who has leaked early box office numbers in past weeks) has preliminary estimates for Friday on his Twitter feed:

http://twitter.com/LAMase

Angels & Demons $16 million
Star Trek $12.25 million

Good or bad then?

 

[Norrin Radd]

Seems weird to me that both movies would be that low.

 

[Borgminister]

Well the guess could be on the low side... I'm hoping.

 

[Norrin Radd]

I was thinking that if AD was that low, ST would be higher and vice versa.

 

[Flavius]

Well the guess could be on the low side... I'm hoping.

Given the reviews and money made already, Trek is going to get another shot, meaning there's going to be another movie. So, who cares.

 

[chrisspringob]

If it is $12.25 million or thereabouts for Friday, then that would probably mean a total weekend take in the high 30s, or about a 50% drop from last weekend. That's more or less in line with what most people were expecting.

 

[Cyrus]

$12.25M Friday/ $39M weekend estimate he has is pretty good if it happens. Wolverine did $8.3M in its 2nd Friday.

 

[MvRojo]

Seems weird to me that both movies would be that low.

Well, both are appealing towards older audiences, especially A&D. Older people aren't rushing out Friday nights to watch movies...they'll go Saturday and Sunday. So a low Friday is to be expected for A&D.

As for Trek, this might be a sign that it is still leaning more towards older audiences.

 

[chrisspringob]

Nikki's sources are giving her similar numbers:

http://www.deadlinehollywooddaily.c...ised-down-to-40sm-star-trek-on-track-for-36m/

Angels & Demons $17 million
Star Trek $12.5 million