It's a reach for sure. It'll get to $185-190m no doubt.So it's not actually going to get to 200 million.
Depends on if Paramount wants to stretch it out. Which it could do if it gets a 100+ days in release.
It's yet to have a 60% weekend to weekend drop.
It made $15m last weekend for the typical 3-day.
So it could roughly break down like this over the next few weeks
Memorial Day 4-day: $10m = $160m
Tue-Thur: $3m = $163
Weekend: $6m = $169/170m (X-Men First Class weekend 6/3)
Mon-Thur: $3m = $173m
Weekend: $4m = $177m (this assumes it stays under 60% drops)
Mon-Thur: $2m = $179/180m
Weekend: $2m = $182m (Green Lantern weekend 6/17)
So by mid-June this is about where it'll likely be give or take for it's 40 or so days in release.
This is before it even hits $1 theaters. It'll have one last *big* run at $$$ for the July 4th holiday before it gets under 1,000 theaters and begins the move to $theaters post 60 day in release. How long does the studio keep it out, at least 100 days I say.