Re: This is why there will be no new TV Trek for the forseeable future
Bottom line is there is no one who can take the franchise to the next level. Now, JJ is good, but he is just regurgiating what he has already seen. He knows how to fly the plane but has no idea where to take it.
We need a navigator.
We need to get Trek back to what worked for 40 years.
Many Coto deserves his chance to show us what Trek can really be with a GOOD showrunner at the helm.
The TV business has changed too much, so don't look to the past for ideas. Space opera has simply died as a genre because the general audience has splintered into smaller and smaller niches. There's still a space opera audience out there, but it's simply too small to support the expensive production now.
Instead of looking to the past, look to the future. There's a large number of new players trying to get into producing digital series - Netflix, Yahoo, Amazon, YouTube, DirecTV, etc.
There will be a chaotic shakedown period where everyone experiments and figures out what works and what doesn't, but I think the answer is clear: focus on what broadcast and cable TV can't provide, that is, ultra-niche programming (of which space opera is just one example) with an audience too small for the cost of production to support under current business models.
Solve the money problem by advertising, premium subscriptions and selling virtual goods. Each of these have significant problems: online ads provide only a pittance; it takes unusually compelling content to induce people to subscribe; and only a small percentage (1%-5%) could be expected to purchase virtual goods. So the final factor is global reach. Increase the base number from millions to hundreds of millions, eventually even billions, and even a very small percentage can add up to real money.
The global market is coming. Netflix is expanding its reach all the time, and there's no theoretical barrier to Netflix selling its own content wherever it pleases. Ditto for Amazon, YouTube, et al. The geographic limitations of current online content stem from the fact that Hollywood needs to go through a distribution system that changes from country to country, because of the historic importance of local theaters, TV broadcasters/cable companies and video stores that they didn't want to piss off by circumventing them.
Netflix has no theaters, broadcasters or video stores to worry about. They might need to be a bit careful since they still need to keep in Hollywood's good graces for content they don't produce, but the larger issue - that Netflix is becoming a competitor to Hollywood - is inevitable in any case. Amazon and Yahoo don't have that problem, to the extent it is a problem at all. YouTube is kissing up to Hollywood a little in their professional channels but so far it sounds like they're going the cheap talk show/gossip/comedy route.
Ironically, I can't think of a better test case for the above than
Star Trek. It's got built-in global awareness, a fanatical audience that is likely to pay for new content, and a longstanding tradition of selling real-world merchandise, so the demand for virtual goods would simply be a natural extension of that.
The one huge barrier is that
Star Trek is owned by a Hollywood dinosaur, CBS, which like all the other dinosaurs has no motive to help Netflix become a stronger competitor.
Anything that cares deeply satisfying its target audience, anything that is influences too much by marketing folks, has to be crap.
If that were true, everything on TV would be crap, and that's far from being the case. Audiences sometimes demand quality; satisfying them can result in very good content. That's how HBO, Showtime and AMC built up businesses from scratch.
HBO would not have kept
The Wire on, season after season, if the ratings sucked. All its shows must prove their worth in attracting and retaining subscribers. HBO may like to say differently in their press releases, but it's marketing spin. It makes sense if they want to project a brand image that "we only care about quality," but don't confuse a branding campaign with the truth.
Other audiences demand crap, and they also get what they want. Audiences vary a great deal. The only commonality is that all of TV is always concerned with giving some audience what they want (as long as the costs aren't too high to be worthwhile).