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STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

DarthTom said:
BTW, does anyone think the movie will come even close to $500 million at this point as many predicted?
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I think it'll end up with $230-240 million domestic. Foreign numbers are harder to predict since it hasn't been released in quite a lot of territories yet. My guess is it'll end up somewhere between $430 million and $450 million worldwide, but it could go higher if it performs well in its upcoming international releases.
 
DarthTom said:
The only sad part about that IMO is this film is probably the last big budget hurrah for M Night Shyamalan. Too bad really. The Sixth Sense& Signs was such great flicks.
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The Sixth Sense was one of the great films of all time.

Signs was one of the funniest movies I've ever seen, absolutely hilarious. Unfortunately I think Shyamalan was attempting to be serious. Sooooo . . . in that case . . . maybe this being his final big budget flop isn't such a bad thing after all. Its a shame he will be relegated to making low budget flops henceforth.
 
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DarthTom said:
I think you're putting a little bit of a a happy face on the numbers - but what ever.

Iron Man still held onto #4 in week #4 at $19 million with the same level of, "competition."

As an aside, I just don't see the draw for Fast and Furious and this is the 6th movie. But apparently I'm in the minority among the general film going audience.
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I'm pretty sure that Epic was at #4 with $33.5 million and Iron Man 3 at #5 with $19 million.
 
Is there any good buzz about that "Now You See Me" movie opening Friday? Wondering how much competition that film will bring.
 
According to posters in China on the BoxOffice.com forum STiD has opened to an estimated $3.2 million there (that's just for its opening day). That's 60% of G.I. Joe 2's opening day. If STiD ended up with a gross in China 60% of G.I. Joe 2's it would result in a $30-35 million take. Star Trek made $8.5 million in China.
 
Plus I look at STiD's #3 spot like this. It was only just barely #3. Hangover III did a mere 4 million more in business which in big movie release terms means that they were more or less tied.
 
Cinema Geekly said:
Plus I look at STiD's #3 spot like this. It was only just barely #3. Hangover III did a mere 4 million more in business which in big movie release terms means that they were more or less tied.
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Considering that STID opened at a huge number of IMAX locations and that it was in 3-D at a higher ticket price than the previous film + that Paramount make a big effort to promote and even release the film overseas first - coupled with the fact that they hired an international film star, Cumberbatch and it didn't, 'hit it out of the park,' with over $100 million opening weekend - I'd wager that the beancounters at Paramount are disappointed.

But, go right ahead an put the happy face on the numbers.

We shall see.

As an aside, I wonder if Paramount is worried about their next big release in June, World War Z, which they've also put a subsantial financial stake into?

I'm sure that Iron Man however has pleased everyone at Paramount this summer however.
 
DarthTom said:
I'm sure that Iron Man however has pleased everyone at Paramount this summer however.
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Paramount didn't distribute Iron Man 3. When Disney acquired Marvel they bought out Paramount's distribution deal with Marvel. Paramount is getting a cut of Iron Man 3's box office, as they did with The Avengers, as a result of that buyout, but most of the money is flowing to Disney/Marvel.
 
DarthTom said:
Cinema Geekly said:
Plus I look at STiD's #3 spot like this. It was only just barely #3. Hangover III did a mere 4 million more in business which in big movie release terms means that they were more or less tied.
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Considering that STID opened at a huge number of IMAX locations and that it was in 3-D at a higher ticket price than the previous film + that Paramount make a big effort to promote and even release the film overseas first - coupled with the fact that they hired an international film star, Cumberbatch and it didn't, 'hit it out of the park,' with over $100 million opening weekend - I'd wager that the beancounters at Paramount are disappointed.

But, go right ahead an put the happy face on the numbers.

We shall see.

As an aside, I wonder if Paramount is worried about their next big release in June, World War Z, which they've also put a subsantial financial stake into?

I'm sure that Iron Man however has pleased everyone at Paramount this summer however.
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We shall see what, exactly? There's going to be a third film by the same production company featuring the same cast.
 
No doubt Paramount will do more research into why this film didn't hit the numbers they wanted. Maybe they'll knock at least a year off the turnaround time for the next one. Or if they have a villain the general audience is well aware of, they could consider not keeping him a secret.

Seems to me that Into Darkness was geared more toward fans than 2009. See, I thought 2009 was "meh" but really loved STID. I'm an old, cranky die-hard fan. I'm not the guy they should be pleasing. There was a lot of fan service here, much more than in ST 09. Methinks they need to go back to making movies I think are "meh" and get their money back in earnest.
 
The next movie will probably attempt to back to 09 more adventure light hearted theme instead of the dark angle. Paramount marketing seemed more focus worldwide than domestic so they need to just find the right balance and hope 2016 summer is less busy May-June.
 
ssosmcin said:
No doubt Paramount will do more research into why this film didn't hit the numbers they wanted. Maybe they'll knock at least a year off the turnaround time for the next one. Or if they have a villain the general audience is well aware of, they could consider not keeping him a secret.

Seems to me that Into Darkness was geared more toward fans than 2009. See, I thought 2009 was "meh" but really loved STID. I'm an old, cranky die-hard fan. I'm not the guy they should be pleasing. There was a lot of fan service here, much more than in ST 09. Methinks they need to go back to making movies I think are "meh" and get their money back in earnest.
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I hate to interrupt, but STID has made more money to date than Trek '09 did, by about 55 million dollars. The foreign take is double what it was at this point in the first movie's run.

STID is going to make more money than Trek '09. Hiring an international star like Cumberbatch did wonders for the film in overseas markets, along with a much larger marketing push. This sets the stage nicely for an even stronger foreign performance for the next Bad Robot Trek production.
 
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