Oh please, that scenario is as likely as them airing S&W season 5 immediately after they air season 4.. <--- There's another sure prediction of yours that didn't come to pass.
Star Trek Strange New Worlds is a very successful streaming series. If it wasn't it wouldn't have gotten 4 Seasons with Paramount Plus, much less a six episode 5th season.
And the cancellation of
Star Fleet Academy doesn't mean that the new leadership at Paramount wants to kill Star Trek on Paramount Plus.
Star Fleet Academy was a victim of two things;
- Low Sreaming viewership for a very expensive series.
- The Skydance purchase of Paramount; and now the pending Paramount Warner Brothers purchase and merge.
Had SFA gotten huge streaming viewership ratings, they would have approved a Season 3.
I will say that while much of it was not to my particular taste, Alex kurtzman was more creative in his 10 years at the home of the Star Trek franchise, then Rick Berman and Brandon Braga were in their 18 years at the helm.