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Size and scope of Starfleet

Minor commentary only:

For confirmation, see how many ships were involved in the Obsidian Order/Tal-Shiar attack in the Omarian Nebula; the loss of that fleet amounted to the total destruction of BOTH organizations.

Then again, that fleet might have numbered a lot more than 20 ships. Supposedly, each ship with a quantum singularity power source aboard would read as a single blip on Dax' screen, yet we see far more than 20 independently moving dots there before the fleet decloaks. And while only a limited number of ships is seen bombarding the planet, these do so from one side of the target; supposedly, the attack would envelop the planet, and most ships would go unseen in those scenes.

Presumably, Starfleet fleets in the war numbered in the low three digits usually; the 7th Fleet had 100+ after taking casualties in "Time to Stand", while elements of two fleets made up a 600-strong force in "Sacrifice of Angels". One would assume the fleets of Starfleet's traditional opponents to have more or less the same numbers, considering how the ship types of said opponents also tend to be rough matches to Starfleet types.

My assumption was that 8000 was simply the number of starships that have been developed since xx date. Not all of those vessels in the Dominion War are as freshly minted as Voyager, Defiant, or Enterprise-E.

Indeed, of the ships we saw in DS9, something like 98% appeared to have been prewar types, and something like 75% were from before the "Galaxy generation" of ships (which would include Galaxy, Nebula and Akira). But I'd still think the 8,000 would refer to the total... For several reasons, including the above statistics.

It had at least one five year mission with Pike, one five year mission with Kirk

There was never any reference to Pike performing a five year mission. Indeed, in ST:TMP, Kirk seems to think he is uniquely qualified for having performed a five year mission; perhaps Starfleet does those extremely seldom?

Starfleet also increased a huge amount of fleet production.

Strange, then, that we never saw the results of this increase. That is, no new ship types seemed to enter the battlefields, and the ratio of old vs. relatively new types never seemed to change in favor of the latter...

Did the theater of operations near DS9 receive all the bottom-of-the-barrel ships while the newer ones went to needier theaters?

Timo Saloniemi
 
Timo said:
There was never any reference to Pike performing a five year mission. Indeed, in ST:TMP, Kirk seems to think he is uniquely qualified for having performed a five year mission; perhaps Starfleet does those extremely seldom?

Perhaps Pike was gimped up in a talking wheelchair and hence unavailable for arduous duty. :p

Strange, then, that we never saw the results of this increase. That is, no new ship types seemed to enter the battlefields, and the ratio of old vs. relatively new types never seemed to change in favor of the latter...

Did the theater of operations near DS9 receive all the bottom-of-the-barrel ships while the newer ones went to needier theaters?

I kind of got the feeling that Galaxy production was stepped up. Akiras were presumably rather new, and could have been wartime or prewar production. And I do want to believe there were tens of Sovereigns in operation during the war, we just never saw any.:rolleyes: That's just a gut feeling, though.

Excelsiors, by contrast, are all over the place--simply expendable CAs. :D

As a comparison though, we essentially won World War II in the Pacific with the navy we had to begin with. Didn't stop us from pumping out over two dozen Essexes (Galaxies?) in anticipation of no Midway disaster for the IJN.

8-10,000 significant combatants seems like a reasonable estimate to me. Even with a tiny fleet, there's really no explaining away incidents where the Enterprise is the only ship in range (of, for example, a border with a very hostile enemy that is the primary purpose for a Starfleet existing in the first place). So I don't see why there's any good reason to assume that Starfleet is small even in TOS days.
 
The modern US Navy might only have a couple of frigates fighting pirates off Somalia, but overall they have several hundred vessels, you just dont see their forces concentrated very often.

As a comparison though, we essentially won World War II in the Pacific with the navy we had to begin with. Didn't stop us from pumping out over two dozen Essexes (Galaxies?) in anticipation of no Midway disaster for the IJN.
Prior to the attack on Pearl Harbor, the US Navy had (total) 790 ships of which 225 were warships, plus all the little stuff. By the end of the second world war, it was 6,789 ships, 833 warships. In comparison the US Navy today has 285 total ships, of which 117 are warships.

http://www.history.navy.mil/branches/org9-4.htm#2000

I kind of got the feeling that Galaxy production was stepped up. Akiras were presumably rather new, and could have been wartime or prewar production.
The tech manual stated that it took years to build a Galaxy, ones half way through construction could of been rush into service, perhap at the expense of non-combat systems. Give the shortness of the DS9 war, it's unlikely any Galaxies were started and completed during the war. Defiants on the other hand could of been mass produced, with constrution times measured in months. The larger Akiras too, at a slower schedule.


T'Girl
 
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Minor commentary only:

For confirmation, see how many ships were involved in the Obsidian Order/Tal-Shiar attack in the Omarian Nebula; the loss of that fleet amounted to the total destruction of BOTH organizations.

Then again, that fleet might have numbered a lot more than 20 ships. Supposedly, each ship with a quantum singularity power source aboard would read as a single blip on Dax' screen, yet we see far more than 20 independently moving dots there before the fleet decloaks...
Actually, I'm pretty sure that the fleet was STATED as being twenty-something in number. This would be consistent with other fleet size quotes right up until the start of the Dominion War, especially in "Way of the Warrior" where Martok's initial fleet is estimated to be somewhere in the neighborhood of 30 to 60 vessels and includes a large number of Birds of Prey.

The fleet that later attacks DS9 consists of "dozens" of warships, which could be anything from 24 to 80 but probably well in between.

This is consistent with the fleet of forty assembled at Wolf-359 to repel a full-scale alien invasion from deep space. Likewise, consistent with Kurn's having secured the loyalty of "Four squadron commanders" being tactically significant in an impending civil war; since a squadron is unlikely to be composed of more than a dozen craft, those 48 vessels would have amounted to a good-sized fleet by Klingon standards.

One would assume the fleets of Starfleet's traditional opponents to have more or less the same numbers...
I wouldn't assume that, since starfleet's traditional enemies didn't use puny cannonfodder vessels whose primary utility was as lightly armed fast attack craft. I've always believed--and still believe even now--that a significant number of those hundreds were, in fact, fighters and runabouts.

Starfleet also increased a huge amount of fleet production.

Strange, then, that we never saw the results of this increase. That is, no new ship types seemed to enter the battlefields,
Why would an increase in production result in an increase in diversity? If anything, you would see FEWER new ship types as mass production ramped up, with newer models being shelved in favor of older ones whose assembly lines are already fully tooled and for which a larger supply of spares already exists. Excelsiors and Mirandas, for example.

To put that another way: if tomorrow a wormhole opened up in Canada the United States suddenly found itself in full scale war against an alien invader flying fighter planes in gigantic numbers, you would suddenly see an explosive rush to mass produce F/A-18 Hornets and massive upgrades to the F-16 Falcons (and even returning the old F-16s to the production line). You would NOT suddenly see eight new versions of the F-22, speedier introduction of the F-35, and three new stealth fighters based on a drawing board hybrid design.

Well... I mean, you MIGHT, but only if the US was about to loose the war. This is pretty much exactly what the Germans did in WW-II, sank alot of their capital into fancy new uberweapons when they should have been mass producing better versions of the weapons they had. Arguably the Me-262 was a damn good fighter plane, but the Germans didn't need 50 new jet fighters, they needed 500 more Bf-109s.
 
In Redemption, it is telling that they can assemble such a large force (19 ships was it?) so quickly, within 24 hours. That is very fast and points to a large number of ships in total.

Assembling these ships was by no means easy; half of these ships were shorthanded, a few didn't even have captains, and some were literally pulled out of space dock with half their systems disabled.

And all this for an action on the Klingon-Romulan border after several days advanced warning of an impending Klingon civil war. Starfleet had plenty of time to mobilize its defensive forces incase the war spilled over into Federation space... and this in a region remarkably close to Romulan space as well.

As Sela put it, 20 starships isn't enough to WAGE WAR, but it's plenty enough for a solid fleet action. For confirmation, see how many ships were involved in the Obsidian Order/Tal-Shiar attack in the Omarian Nebula; the loss of that fleet amounted to the total destruction of BOTH organizations.

I don't really understand what point you're trying to make. My point was that the fleet of 8000 ships is plauisable and makes sense within the context of all the series.

In Redemption, even if they had a few days' warning, assembling that fleet that fast is impressive and points to a large fleet.

If anything the Obsidian Order/TalShiar joint task force argument you listed enforces my point. Here are two organizations who don't have any military hardware, yet they manage to build that fleet in a matter of months in ONE system in a Cardassian Union. Your argument that they were wiped out doesn't support either side in this case, it doesn't mean anything: when an intelligence agency staffs even a few ships with their own, of course they're going to be severely compromised if destroyed, they don't have staff numbering in millions and billions like the military.

If Federation has similar industrial capacity, and they have shipyards in Antares, Earth, and probably a few other places, they could be pumping out ships in 100s every year.
 
In Redemption, even if they had a few days' warning, assembling that fleet that fast is impressive and points to a large fleet.
And I'm saying it points to a SMALL one, for one simple reason: if the emergency they were responding to had been, say, a sudden Romulan invasion using Klingon space as an attack point (passage provided to them by their friends the Duras family) what exactly would Starfleet's response be? Over a third of those twenty starships wouldn't be operational by the time the first warbirds crossed the border, the rest would be too far away to form up in a coherent battle line. By the time the fleet was assembled, the Romulans would already be past the gravitic sensor net, cloaked, and well on their way to Earth.

I know this is going to sound like a lightbulb joke, but many warbirds does it take to invade the Federation? Obviously, few enough that a half dozen starships constitutes THE first line of defense if something weird should happen in the neutral zone (see "Angel One"). A fleet of 8000 ships is a rather useless thing to have if your mortal enemy can blow through your defense line and knock out your capital city with two dozen ships in a blitzkrieg formation.

If anything the Obsidian Order/TalShiar joint task force argument you listed enforces my point. Here are two organizations who don't have any military hardware, yet they manage to build that fleet in a matter of months in ONE system in a Cardassian Union.
Actually, in Defiant we have indications from Tom Riker that the fleet had been under construction for a considerable amount of time. And only half of them were Cardassian; the other half were Romulan, probably the Tal'Shiar's already-built vessels.

Although, my greater point is that both organizations could be wiped out with only a few dozen starships worth of them being destroyed. Considering how ubiquitous their effects were on their respective military organizations, there is some practical upper limit to how large both militaries can be; for a fleet of even 5000 in either case, you would have Tal'Shiar outnumbered by regular military at a rate of at least 500 to one. This would make sense if the Tal'Shiar were a race of super-powered beings or ninjas or something... in reality, when military men get really pissed at some authority figure, they find ways to make that authority figure mysteriously go missing. In U.S. military parlance, this is called "fragging" and is especially common in low-morale situations, which the entire Romulan military appears to be. In such a case it would not be difficult to lynch the local Tal'Shiar member and then report back to base his having disappeared in an "accident." Or, more commonly, for some pissed off engineer to shoot him in the back, flush the body out the airlock and claim "Haven't seen him. Did you check his quarters?"

UNLESS there are so many Tal'Shiar members that you can never be totally sure you get them all. The KGB doesn't have to outnumber the Soviet Navy, after all, but they have to have a large enough presence to be everywhere at once, and twenty starships cannot police a fleet of five thousand (nor can five unpopular authority worshipping pricks police a crew of 3000 good-ole-boys).
 
Tens of thousands of ships, tens of millions of personnel, thousands of starbases, countless manufacturing facilities, 150 member worlds, hundreds of billions of citizens...

One Starfleet Academy, San Francisco, Earth.

Something doesn't add up?
 
In Redemption, even if they had a few days' warning, assembling that fleet that fast is impressive and points to a large fleet.
And I'm saying it points to a SMALL one, for one simple reason: if the emergency they were responding to had been, say, a sudden Romulan invasion using Klingon space as an attack point (passage provided to them by their friends the Duras family) what exactly would Starfleet's response be? Over a third of those twenty starships wouldn't be operational by the time the first warbirds crossed the border, the rest would be too far away to form up in a coherent battle line. By the time the fleet was assembled, the Romulans would already be past the gravitic sensor net, cloaked, and well on their way to Earth.

I know this is going to sound like a lightbulb joke, but many warbirds does it take to invade the Federation? Obviously, few enough that a half dozen starships constitutes THE first line of defense if something weird should happen in the neutral zone (see "Angel One"). A fleet of 8000 ships is a rather useless thing to have if your mortal enemy can blow through your defense line and knock out your capital city with two dozen ships in a blitzkrieg formation.

They would have known in advance if there was a large fleet buildup, and would have been able to bring in more ships. The dialogue indicates that there are others who won't arrive on time.

And the sensor nets can be deployed anywhere, there is no reason to believe they are not around the key worlds and trade routes.



If anything the Obsidian Order/TalShiar joint task force argument you listed enforces my point. Here are two organizations who don't have any military hardware, yet they manage to build that fleet in a matter of months in ONE system in a Cardassian Union.
Actually, in Defiant we have indications from Tom Riker that the fleet had been under construction for a considerable amount of time. And only half of them were Cardassian; the other half were Romulan, probably the Tal'Shiar's already-built vessels.

Although, my greater point is that both organizations could be wiped out with only a few dozen starships worth of them being destroyed. Considering how ubiquitous their effects were on their respective military organizations, there is some practical upper limit to how large both militaries can be; for a fleet of even 5000 in either case, you would have Tal'Shiar outnumbered by regular military at a rate of at least 500 to one. This would make sense if the Tal'Shiar were a race of super-powered beings or ninjas or something... in reality, when military men get really pissed at some authority figure, they find ways to make that authority figure mysteriously go missing. In U.S. military parlance, this is called "fragging" and is especially common in low-morale situations, which the entire Romulan military appears to be. In such a case it would not be difficult to lynch the local Tal'Shiar member and then report back to base his having disappeared in an "accident." Or, more commonly, for some pissed off engineer to shoot him in the back, flush the body out the airlock and claim "Haven't seen him. Did you check his quarters?"

UNLESS there are so many Tal'Shiar members that you can never be totally sure you get them all. The KGB doesn't have to outnumber the Soviet Navy, after all, but they have to have a large enough presence to be everywhere at once, and twenty starships cannot police a fleet of five thousand (nor can five unpopular authority worshipping pricks police a crew of 3000 good-ole-boys).
I don't remember Riker saying that in "Defiant", they didn't even know what they were building there. In the episode where they prepare to attack, they explicitly say that it took them "months" and we don't see Tal'Shiar with their own ships, so we have to assume around 20 ships take months to build, and those are some huge ships, done undercover, in a single system.

TalShiar and Obsidian order don't operate on their own ships. If 10 of those invasion ships were TalShiar, and each had a crew of 1,000, that's 10,000 TalShiar members wiped out. In your hypothetical fleet of 5000 ships, you would have 2 Tal'Shiar for every ship, which is an acceptable average. This is especially true when you know that there are even more of them, and almost certainly not all of them would have been on those 10 ships in Gamma Quadrant. The fact that TalShiar was affect could be because most of their senior officers and planners were on those ships. Hence you have an average that is greater than 2 agents per ship which is a very good average, especially when we see how "Major Rakel" took control of a ship single-handedly.

You are taking a very contrived view of the situation. You don't have just 20 ships lying around in one sector of space if there is no danger and you have a tiny fleet. We've seen numerous times they're able to call on anywhere from 6 to 40 ships on a quick notice (Way of the Warrior, Redemption, BotBW, Endgame, Nemesis).

If you had a small fleet and large volume of space, which at one point stretches across 8000 ly of space, and even if that space is not continuous but a series of smaller core areas similar to old British Empre, you would end up with like 1 ship covering several sectors, and no way could they assemble that fleet that fast in all those instances.
 
Personally, I've always viewed Starfleet as being kind of small (a few thousand ships), with the same being true for the Klingon and Romulan navies.
 
Tens of thousands of ships, tens of millions of personnel, thousands of starbases, countless manufacturing facilities, 150 member worlds, hundreds of billions of citizens...

One Starfleet Academy, San Francisco, Earth.

Something doesn't add up?


Starfleet Academy could have 100,000+ students. If a quarter graduate every year, that's 25,000 officers, for a fleet of 8000 ships plus several hundred bases, that's enough.

They could have officer training schools around Earth, like we do today, not all officers go to West Point. That's where you would get security, technicians, medical, and scientists (those make up most of the ship). Some of them could have ranks like "ensign" -who won't get promoted any time soon, unless they are exceptional at what they do - while others are crewmen or chiefs. The main point seems to be that if you want to be on a command track, or if you want to eventually occupy an important position, like Chief of Security or Chief Engineer, then you have to go to the Academy.

The way I see it, there are three tiers at work. The senior officers are our heroes, and the junior officers are there in less important roles, apprenticing and hoping to one day reach those senior positions. Those are the ones who went to the Academy. Then you have other types who might have other education (scientists would go to a science academy of sorts, security may be no higher education at all) and then they go through a short training program and they make up the rest of the crew. The only way they can hope to become senior officers is if they are very very good, like O'Brien.
 
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So... 150 worlds, 8 000 ships. That is over 50 ships per world. Yet when disaster strikes, it is still Enterprise which is the only ship within the range. And concentrations of forty or even twenty ships seem to take a lot of effort, even when Earth is threatened? Yeah, that just doesn't add up.
 
They don't stay in orbit around each world. As for Earth being threatened and Ent being the only ship there, how many times has that happened in 200 years?
 
So... 150 worlds, 8 000 ships. That is over 50 ships per world. Yet when disaster strikes, it is still Enterprise which is the only ship within the range. And concentrations of forty or even twenty ships seem to take a lot of effort, even when Earth is threatened? Yeah, that just doesn't add up.

I always interpreted that 150 as member worlds, no doubt with colonies because 100 years earlier:

"We're a thousand planets and spreading out. We cross fantastic distances, and everything's alive, Cochrane. Life everywhere. We estimate there are millions of planets with intelligent life. We haven't begun to map them."
--Kirk, Metamorphosis

Even allowing for a little hyperbole by Kirk, a few hundred ships does not seem up to the task.
 
As Sela put it, 20 starships isn't enough to WAGE WAR, but it's plenty enough for a solid fleet action. For confirmation, see how many ships were involved in the Obsidian Order/Tal-Shiar attack in the Omarian Nebula; the loss of that fleet amounted to the total destruction of BOTH organizations.

One minor comment: the Obsidian Order was destroyed, but I thought the Tal Shiar as a group survived that fiasco? After all, a couple years later, they commandeered the Prometheus.
 
They would have known in advance if there was a large fleet buildup, and would have been able to bring in more ships.
They knew in advance that there was a Klingon Civil War brewing. The "more ships" they brought in numbered about a dozen.

I don't remember Riker saying that in "Defiant", they didn't even know what they were building there.
Riker believed the Cardassians were arming for an invasion and his mission was to get into the Orias system and find proof of this. Ironically, he probably DID find this proof, but his assumption about what that military buildup was originally for turned out to be wrong.

fIn the episode where they prepare to attack, they explicitly say that it took them "months" and we don't see Tal'Shiar with their own ships, so we have to assume around 20 ships take months to build
Not to build, just to acquire. The Keldon class is a totally new starship design, and it's doubtful the Obsidian Order designed it themselves; as this is a ship class normally used by the Cardassian military (probably as a troop transport) the "months" was probably spent assembling that fleet from existing stocks and hiding those transfers in the bureaucratic shuffle. The Tal'Shiar wouldn't have this problem--simply commandeering entire starships for some operation is well within the scope of their authority--but it would also take a while to integrate cloaking devices with Cardassian vessels.

In any case, if it was possible to build a fleet this size in a matter of months, much of what happens during the Dominion War would make very little sense. The Dominion might be able to sustain that kind of outfit because their ships are manned by testtube spawn who grow to maturity in even less time than this; Starfleet doesn't have that option.

TalShiar and Obsidian order don't operate on their own ships.
We only know this of the Obsidian Order. We do not know this of the Tal'Shiar.

In your hypothetical fleet of 5000 ships, you would have 2 Tal'Shiar for every ship, which is an acceptable average.
But not sustainable, since everyone HATES the Tal'Shiar and they spend a huge amount of their time bullying people in the streets of Romulus.

Hence you have an average that is greater than 2 agents per ship which is a very good average, especially when we see how "Major Rakel" took control of a ship single-handedly.
And we also saw how easily she was removed once their commanding officer got fed up. And "Rakel" had the virtue of being in cahoots with the ship's first officer, without whose support and influence she may well have been lynched by the crew.

You are taking a very contrived view of the situation. You don't have just 20 ships lying around in one sector of space if there is no danger and you have a tiny fleet.
Actually, you do. The U.S. Navy has about 20 ships "lying around" in Yokosuka, Japan and the surrounding area. And even apart from support vessels for the Iraq occupation, we keep about 20 ships "lying around" in the Persian Gulf just in case Iran tries something.

And this from a navy with only 200 operational warships.

It is wise to keep a number of vessels "lying around" in areas of interest just in case something does happen; if you wait until something's going on before you move any ships into the area, your response time is too slow to matter.

We've seen numerous times they're able to call on anywhere from 6 to 40 ships on a quick notice (Way of the Warrior, Redemption, BotBW, Endgame, Nemesis).
Yep. And "Way of the Warrior" interpreted those six ships as a respectable starfleet task force, otherwise the Klingons wouldn't have pulled out like they did. OTOH, it's very telling that Starfleet only keeps six starships within response range of what is--by WOTW--one of the most strategically valuable outposts in the entire sector. This would be like the Governor of Hawaii mobilizing the National Guard and then watching sixty riflemen and a couple of clerks assemble on his lawn.

If you had a small fleet and large volume of space, which at one point stretches across 8000 ly of space, and even if that space is not continuous but a series of smaller core areas similar to old British Empre, you would end up with like 1 ship covering several sectors, and no way could they assemble that fleet that fast in all those instances.
Which is exactly why areas of interest would be heavily patrolled by rear-line vessels at least, just in case. Rear-line patrol forces typically number between 6 and 12 ships, which seems consistent with a regular fleet of three to five hundred at most.

But the other thing to consider is that all we have ever seen in Trek is the human-dominated branch of the star fleet. It's entirely conceivable that THIS branch consists of only three hundred vessels, while every other Federation member has several hundred of their own ships that patrol totally different areas of interest from the Earth vessels. You could even go so far as to speculate that the massacred "Seventh Fleet" was an all-Andorian unit using Andorian ships and designs (which might explain the lack of Andorian vessels in later actions).
 
Tens of thousands of ships, tens of millions of personnel, thousands of starbases, countless manufacturing facilities, 150 member worlds, hundreds of billions of citizens...

One Starfleet Academy, San Francisco, Earth.

Something doesn't add up?

Easily solved, Starfleet Academy isn't the ONLY place where officers come from. (Just like the US Navy doesn't have ALL it's officers graduate at Annapolis). It's just that for spots as prestigious as a 'Top Shelf' starship command, that little spot on the resume helps.
 
Yeah, I agree. Defending over 150 memberworlds (say at least one homeworld each, with possibly dozens of colonies each, and yet more colonies after unification) each memberworld with populations from the hundreds-of-millions to, say, scores of billions, spread out over countless thousands of lightyears (for intelligent life to naturally evolve separately and then find naturally/artificially habitable locales to expand into) ...yeah, they portray Starfleet far too small.
 
Actually, I'm pretty sure that the fleet was STATED as being twenty-something in number.

Our DS9 heroes called it an "entire fleet"; the Cardassians or the Romulans never specified a number. Admiral Toddman later said that Tain commanded "a fleet of twenty ships manned by combat veterans"; we just have to decide whether this means a fleet of twenty ships total, or a fleet that matches the number of singularities on Dax' screen, and includes twenty ships under Tain's command with veteran crews, plus some more with different attributes.

I wouldn't assume that, since starfleet's traditional enemies didn't use puny cannonfodder vessels whose primary utility was as lightly armed fast attack craft.

I meant one would assume that Starfleet's opponents would have roughly the same numbers as Starfleet. After all, unlike Dominion, the other villains tend to operate ships in the same size spectrum as Starfleet. If there was a marked imbalance in numbers, those "conventional" enemies wouldn't be threatening enough, for the dramatic purposes of the show. Drama is probably best served if the Klingons and Romulans put together will badly outnumber the UFP, but either one operating separately is a slight underdog...

Why would an increase in production result in an increase in diversity?

I was really hoping for the opposite: that if there was significant new production, then new types would come to predominate and we'd finally get rid of 23rd century hardware. However, there is no decrease in diversity, so there's probably little in the way of production.

To put that another way: if tomorrow a wormhole opened up in Canada the United States suddenly found itself in full scale war against an alien invader flying fighter planes in gigantic numbers, you would suddenly see an explosive rush to mass produce F/A-18 Hornets and massive upgrades to the F-16 Falcons (and even returning the old F-16s to the production line). You would NOT suddenly see eight new versions of the F-22, speedier introduction of the F-35, and three new stealth fighters based on a drawing board hybrid design.

The thing is, though, there'd be no F/A-18s - the tooling for those is gone, and none could be manufactured any longer. There would be some F/A-18E/F types, which are a different aircraft altogether.

Similarly, one wouldn't assume any further Excelsiors let alone Mirandas to be built, so the numbers of those would dwindle - and rapidly, in the case of the latter type which is shown to suffer quite a bit of attrition. A bit like how most of the prewar destroyers quickly disappeared from Royal Navy inventory during the first two years of the war, and types of the most modern standards (more expensive than the old ones, but also more cost-effective) replaced them.

Starfleet is shown to be very diversely equipped, so perhaps it maintains the full ability to support ancient ship types. Perhaps it even maintains the ability to build those types. But if so, it then by definition also maintains the ability to build new types, which it should, given that they are likely to be more effective.

I know this is going to sound like a lightbulb joke, but many warbirds does it take to invade the Federation? Obviously, few enough that a half dozen starships constitutes THE first line of defense if something weird should happen in the neutral zone (see "Angel One").

I'd argue that defending the borders is hopeless to begin with, regardless of whether you have 80 ships or 80,000 or perhaps eight million. Space is too vast for that type of "first line" defense; the forces at the border won't be defensive ones, but reverse-offensive ones. Defenses will be mounted deep within star systems, relying heavily on fixed fortifications - or at least this would best explain how a single starship can be a planet-boiling strategic weapon but a thousand is barely enough to attack a defended star system.

There were no first-line defenses in the Dominion war, even though the warring sides were fairly "conventional". Cloaks, or fast or invincible penetrators such as Borg Cubes or Whale Probes or ancient probes running amok, apparently make it more sensible to invest in point defenses and point ambushes...

Actually, in Defiant we have indications from Tom Riker that the fleet had been under construction for a considerable amount of time. And only half of them were Cardassian; the other half were Romulan, probably the Tal'Shiar's already-built vessels.

True. Although I'd assume the Tal'Shiar simply commandeered regular Romulan military vessels, as this organization did have the capability while the Obsidian Order explicitly did not. And I might contest an exact fifty-fifty mix...

On the issue of Dax' tetryon signature screen with dozens upon dozens of dots on it, it would seem logical to assume the Obsidian Order ships also had quantum singularities aboard, presumably because those and the cloaks were donated by Romulus, either in a longterm, ongoing plan of cooperation, or then in a crash program. Tain and the fake Lovok were in cahoots over the anti-Dominion raid for an unknown length of time, but Tain said his fleet had been under construction for "months". But I guess it's plausible that the OO had already been building secret ships for other nefarious purposes - and that the Romulans and Cardassians had been cooperating long before the Dominion crisis, perhaps in the name of anti-Klingon cooperation. Remember how Dax found Romulan tech on Terok Nor in the teaser for "Dax"?

Although, my greater point is that both organizations could be wiped out with only a few dozen starships worth of them being destroyed.

I'd think loss of face would be the crucial thing. It's not as if either organization explicitly pulled in its field agents or analysts for this operation; the Romulans at least may have used regular soldiers. Most of the traditional intelligence assets would remain in place even after loss of the fleets (and the ships, which never were part of the organizations originally, so supposedly their loss would merely be a return to status quo).

Yet a show of incompetence would negate the value of an intelligence agency. Competing agencies would emerge; Dukat seemed to have little faith in Central Command's intelligence services, but those did seem to exist, and might have taken the place of OO essentially overnight. Loss of charismatic leaders would also be felt the most keenly at the interface between the intel agency and the government. The agency might continue to exist, but it would lose its lobbyists and supporters and become irrelevant.

Tens of thousands of ships, tens of millions of personnel, thousands of starbases, countless manufacturing facilities, 150 member worlds, hundreds of billions of citizens...
One Starfleet Academy, San Francisco, Earth.
Something doesn't add up?

I never had a problem with this. San Francisco is a city with a population of millions today. Quite possibly it is a university campus with a population of millions tomorrow. There already exist universities with seven-digit student lists...

It would also be a good idea to force all the diverse military students from all the different planets to come to a single place to swear allegiance.

The only real probem I see is that year classes would probably be four digits in size. That makes Riker quite a superman for his eighth place; OTOH, it improves the odds of Riker meeting an old classmate of his! However, we must always consider that "class" can refer to year class or to the class attending a specific course (and also to a classroom if need be); perhaps Riker only excelled in a specific class of classes, so to say?

Of course, somebody always has to be the best, or the eighth...

But not sustainable, since everyone HATES the Tal'Shiar and they spend a huge amount of their time bullying people in the streets of Romulus.

I don't really believe this argument. If a few dozen ships decide to frag their politruks, so what? That's merely fifty thousand executions of sailors and their families, perhaps an increase in the number of daily lashes for the next few months ("and you know whose fault it is you get these - hating us will get you nowhere, so hate your fellow sailors instead"), and then matters return to normal. Tal'Shiar has a mandate, and it was in somebody's interest to give that mandate, and to sustain it. It's not as if Tal'Shiar is some sort of a flimsy military junta waiting to be overthrown. It's a well-organized terror machine that couldn't exist in the first place unless had assurances it could go on existing after minor rebellions.

this is a ship class normally used by the Cardassian military (probably as a troop transport)

Love that idea - the barracks on the back of the ship do look the part. Although I think most of the Cardassian ships are principally troop transports, monitors and bombs, as they have been built for the specific needs of an empire that invades militarily weak neighbors to get to their resources...

And "Way of the Warrior" interpreted those six ships as a respectable starfleet task force, otherwise the Klingons wouldn't have pulled out like they did.

One does have to consider the political aspect of this: the mere gesture of not abandoning this distant and only partially Starfleetish outpost to its fate should tell Gowron that he was in more trouble than he had planned. Note that he didn't go to war with the UFP in "WotW" or its immediate aftermath. He only did that in "Apocalypse Rising". When his tentative little act of war was met with an official Starfleet response, he'd have withdrawn and collected his political victory (and ignored the associated defeats).

OTOH, it's very telling that Starfleet only keeps six starships within response range of what is--by WOTW--one of the most strategically valuable outposts in the entire sector.

I'd argue this is because it is incapable of doing anything else. Supposedly, Bajor is quite a distance away from the Federation's outer borders (SB375, presumably), and previously was a strategic backwater. It is still impossible as of "WotW" for Starfleet to expand in that direction and establish permanent bases: Bajor doesn't dare grant them, and everybody else there appears to be openly hostile to the UFP and sometimes also friends with the Cardassian Union.

This would be like the Governor of Hawaii mobilizing the National Guard and then watching sixty riflemen and a couple of clerks assemble on his lawn.

Heh. Then again, that's what one would expect if the US Ambassador in East Berlin (or insert a comparable convoluted situation to match the DS9 political mess) mobilized his immediate forces...

You could even go so far as to speculate that the massacred "Seventh Fleet" was an all-Andorian unit using Andorian ships and designs (which might explain the lack of Andorian vessels in later actions).

That's a valid line of speculation as such - but it's remarkable that we never get any direct evidence of "nation-specific" military forces in the TNG era. Or the TOS era, for that matter. It smacks of implausible segregation if our human hero-ship only meets other human ships and never an Andorian or Tellarite vessel. And what about Vulcans using very human ships? Are Vulcans the odd men-analogues out, when everybody else has national forces with national ships?

The complete lack of references to national military fleets is too suggestive IMHO. Local fortifications may exist, yes. And local "policing" forces - but even there the Starfleet we see (the "human" one) seems to handle all police work, on the frontier, the human homeworld, or alien member planets alike.

Easily solved, Starfleet Academy isn't the ONLY place where officers come from. (Just like the US Navy doesn't have ALL it's officers graduate at Annapolis). It's just that for spots as prestigious as a 'Top Shelf' starship command, that little spot on the resume helps.

That'd work - but it's still a tad too convenient that we never meet a guy, gal or BEM who'd come from somewhere else. That is, if we know somebody's place of graduation, it appears to be San Francisco.

Is there perhaps a really sharp divide there, so that only nobodies like the people on that (dream-only!) roster in "Eye of the Beholder" graduate outside San Francisco?

Timo Saloniemi
 
Prior to the attack on Pearl Harbor, the US Navy had (total) 790 ships of which 225 were warships, plus all the little stuff. By the end of the second world war, it was 6,789 ships, 833 warships. In comparison the US Navy today has 285 total ships, of which 117 are warships.

Interestingly of course many of the US Navy's wartime builds were pretty useless in peacetime, consisting of many escort and light carriers, destroyer escorts and so on that were quickly decommissioned at war's end.

Of course a truly fantastic number of fleet carriers were built, as well as huge battleships, cruisers and full blown destroyers in fair numbers. US wartime production was clearly pretty stunning.

I'm actually of the opinion that Starfleet produced massively during the Dominion war, as otherwise the figure for Domnion strength (30,000 ships) would be totally insurmountable. Taking into account every full combatant they must have put 20,000 ships into the fight by the end of the war.

The tech manual stated that it took years to build a Galaxy, ones half way through construction could of been rush into service, perhap at the expense of non-combat systems. Give the shortness of the DS9 war, it's unlikely any Galaxies were started and completed during the war. Defiants on the other hand could of been mass produced, with constrution times measured in months. The larger Akiras too, at a slower schedule.

I have to admit I've always thought the TNG tech manual had an element of guff to it when it came to shipbuilding. Of course the initial Galaxy class could have taken years to build, but whacking a few together with basic combat systems would be possible in two years, you'd hope so anyway.
 
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