So a Clinton is elected because of an eccentric billionaire siphoning votes from Republican side? Seems like old times...
I doubt 19 million people would vote for Donald Trump which is the amount Perot took nationwide.However I do see it playing more like Nader in 2000 who siphoned enough votes in Florida from the Democrats which helped elect Bush.
Doesn't need to be that much. Hillary getting 400 EVs is just her flipping GA, NC, SC, IN, MT, MO, and AZ who all went for Romney by less than 5%. You only need 2 or 3 million Trump voters in those states to throw the election. Romney's margin of victory in those states ran from 98,000 in North Carolina to 270,000 in Indiana.
Excited women (who generally vote Dem anyway), depressed mainstream Republicans (facing the inevitiablty of a GOP defeat) and enough crazies actually voting for Trump would be the perfect storm.
You're assuming that the electorate stays the same as it did when Obama was on the ticket. Doesn't usually work that way. If 1992, 2000 and 2008 are any indication there will be some shifts and changes. Recent polling shows Hillary losing to Jeb, Marco and Scott Walker in key battleground states.
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