Yeah, I love it how they targetted that area and voyager received the message, even though it supposedly had 30,000+ light years of "jumps."
To be exact, after the last position fix from "Message in a Bottle", there had been four "jumps". In "Hope and Fear", it's just 300 ly. In "Night", it's about 2,500 ly. In "Timeless", it's ten years, supposedly out of 70, and thus supposedly corresponding to about 10,000 ly. In "The
Voyager Conspiracy", it's thirty sectors, three years, perhaps 3,000 ly.
Out of all these, only the jump in "Timeless" was perfectly along a course chosen by our heroes. In "Hope and Fear" and "The
Voyager Conspiracy", it was more or less in such a direction, but the hardware used set some limitations on where to aim. In "Night", it was in a random direction dictated by natural phenomena.
Now, Barclay and Harkins must have made a statistical analysis of some sort on how many jumps the heroes would be likely to do in the intervening two years. But surely such an analysis would produce a wide range of possible answers, not just three "reasonably sure" sectors. Basically, then, we're left to think that Project Pathfinder made a number of assumptions that were utterly wrong, but happened to cancel out each other, so that the end result was utterly right after all!
It is of course also possible that the Pathfinder folks had gotten additional positional fixes after "Message in a Bottle", preferably after the long "Timeless" jump - but Harkins explicitly claims that their guesstimate is based on the original fix.
Then again, "Pathfinder" has no stardate. So we could easily argue that the events there actually take place before "The
Voyager Conspiracy", eliminating that 3,000 ly jump. There is no mention of the communications established in "Pathfinder" in the immediately preceding or following episodes, so we can move the stardate-free episode back and forth rather freely. Not so freely, though, as to eliminate the huge jump in "Timeless"...
Timo Saloniemi