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Anyone care to make a prediction?

Short of having cheap 3D Holography in your house projected so that you can watch the show from any angle.

That I don't see happening any time soon, so I'm thinking it's not going to happen until we have Non-Interactive 3D Volumetric Holographics that you can walk around.
yep, that will be a big thing with early adapters and as usual the x-rated stuff will be driving it
 
"Television" could be defined as shows that have been written by professional writers, made in a studio/location, and/or animated. I'm not sure what the inference was in Trek, but could they have meant the medium as opposed to the technology?
I think that television as a mass medium-television as we have known it-might persist for awhile longer. I imagine it becoming consolidated into a few channels. Besides endless reruns, we would see news, weather, and sports.

Lots of sports!

With the possible exception of news programs, I think the material would be relatively cheap to produce: Reality shows. Talk shows. Games. Cooking shows.
 
I think that television as a mass medium-television as we have known it-might persist for awhile longer. I imagine it becoming consolidated into a few channels. Besides endless reruns, we would see news, weather, and sports.

Lots of sports!

With the possible exception of news programs, I think the material would be relatively cheap to produce: Reality shows. Talk shows. Games. Cooking shows.
BroadCast TV will become a "Niche" Medium like BroadCast Radio has become.

It'll have it's small core of fans, but it won't be anything like it's "Hey-Days".

"New Media" with it's VOD (Video On-Demand) has become the dominant form of "New Media".

Live-Streaming over the Internet + VOD has basically won the "Format Wars" more or less with the new generation of Consumers.

The Big Long-Term Question is the Financial Model & I don't think Streaming VOD is Long-Term sustainable.

The original pitch for IPTV PPV style for each Shows (Episode/Season/Franchise) is FAR more Sustainable with certain episodes being "Free for View" with heavy Commercial Interruptions at pre-marked times along the Video Stream will become the norm.

The current model is killing too many Streaming Companies.
The general global consumer base is INCREDIBLY sick of "Subscriptions".

The only sustain-able future is PPV style for VOD's by making it cheap enough to watch with tiered pricing on:
- Per Episode Viewing
- Per Season Viewing
- Per Series Viewing
With "(Buy/Rent) the (Ep/Season/Series)" as a more long-term sustainable Option with different pricing models for each.

And Physical Media needs to be pushed as a option so people who fear "Digital DL's" will always have a 'Permanent License' option compared to the more 'Temporary Long Lease' option that is going "Full Digital" & being tied to the existence of the service.

This way you can easily Satisfy Both Customer bases by being Up-Front & Honest with the customer base.
 
BroadCast TV will become a "Niche" Medium like BroadCast Radio has become.

It'll have it's small core of fans, but it won't be anything like it's "Hey-Days".
Yes, that is basically how I see things.

In the mean time, the old style ink-on-paper print media is contracting. Newspapers are a dying industry. Magazines seem to be fading. Perhaps old fashioned books will survive?
 
Yes, that is basically how I see things.

In the mean time, the old style ink-on-paper print media is contracting. Newspapers are a dying industry. Magazines seem to be fading. Perhaps old fashioned books will survive?

Reminds me of that old quote "Print is dead"

Hasn't quite happened yet
 
I expect that through AI and Moore's law (which isn't dead yet), we will eventually be able to create whatever entertainment show we desire on a whim. We will be able to view it using AR/VR contact lenses and eventually by direct neural stimulation. If it sucks, we'll only have ourselves to blame and we'll have no cause to moan about it endlessly here.

It also solves the Fermi Paradox - the aliens are all stuck on their homeworlds jerking off to porn.
 
I expect that through AI and Moore's law (which isn't dead yet), we will eventually be able to create whatever entertainment show we desire on a whim. We will be able to view it using AR/VR contact lenses and eventually by direct neural stimulation. If it sucks, we'll only have ourselves to blame and we'll have no cause to moan about it endlessly here.

It also solves the Fermi Paradox - the aliens are all stuck on their homeworlds jerking off to porn.

Maybe aliens jerk off to porn of humans, that's why they like probing so much
 
In the mean time, the old style ink-on-paper print media is contracting. Newspapers are a dying industry. Magazines seem to be fading. Perhaps old fashioned books will survive?
Magazines & Books will become a Niche as well.

eBooks + eReaders are slowly taking their place.

Once Color eReaders gets good enough & cheap enough, physical books will be truly between a rock & hard place.
 
Magazines & Books will become a Niche as well.

eBooks + eReaders are slowly taking their place.

Once Color eReaders gets good enough & cheap enough, physical books will be truly between a rock & hard place.

Why is it taking longer for colour e-readers to happen? Can't they just use non glare lcd panels?
 
Why is it taking longer for colour e-readers to happen? Can't they just use non glare lcd panels?
The battery life for Regular LCD & OLED Panels are WAY worse than eINK panels.

There's a reason why people like eINK, there's no strain on the eyes.

Color eInk is a different beast, it's very low color bit-depth right now.

But it'll improve over time.
 
The battery life for Regular LCD & OLED Panels are WAY worse than eINK panels.

There's a reason why people like eINK, there's no strain on the eyes.

Color eInk is a different beast, it's very low color bit-depth right now.

But it'll improve over time.


I hope so. If a decent colour reader happens I would definitely get one
 
I hope so. If a decent colour reader happens I would definitely get one
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The OS running the Color eReader is decent.
It ain't cheap, but that's Norwegian Quality for you.

It can render only 20,000 colors. The "Canvas Color Display" tech uses a modified eInk panel tech.

That's slightly less fidelity than 15-bit color 32,768 colors. Yes you read that right, I wasn't talking about 16-bit color with 65,536 colors
It's early tech. The Canvas Color Display tech is still considered early eInk Color ePaper tech.

reMarkable Paper Pro 'Canvas Color' chose rendering speed over Color Depth, which is probably the right choice.

For reference:
- Standard SDR TV using 24-bit color has __ 16,777,216 color levels.
- Standard HDR TV using 30-bit color has 1,073,741,824 color levels.


eInk's ACEP Gallery 3 Color ePaper tech can display > 50,000 colors. But the Refresh Rate is SLOW if you want the maximum Color Fidelity.
In Gallery 3, the black and white update time has been improved to 350 milliseconds (ms), the fast color mode is 500 ms, standard color mode is 750-1000 ms and best color is achieved at 1500 ms. This is a substantial improvement over the first generation of E Ink Gallery, which had a black and white update time of two seconds and color updates of ten seconds. In addition, Gallery 3 will have an improved resolution of 300 pixels per inch (ppi) versus the earlier 150 ppi and an operating temperature of 0-50 degrees Celsius, on par with black and white e-readers. To increase the speed of the color transition, there can be tradeoffs in the intensity of the colors. Therefore “best color” has the longest transition time to move the pigments as close to the surface as possible. In contrast, “fast mode” may be slightly more muted as the pigment’s movements are constrained by the time of the update.

I'm pretty sure reMarkable intentionally clamped the Color Reproduction Capability to 20,000 colors given the current limitation of the tech.
This way it's fast enough & responsive enough. But your Color fidelity is between 14-bit & 15-bit levels of color fidelity.

That's the current trade-off, if you're okay with that, by all means.
 
The reMarkable devices are very cool for what they do but they seem pretty fixed in that you have to have used them for specific needs to get the best value out of them. The tech is great though.

As for colour fidelity what levels can the human eye perceive? Would most people notice anyway?
 
I'd maybe give it 20 years? It's a little hard to tell since it could go in any direction. I think we may be nearing the peak TV size + Resolution. The higher we go in resolution, the more it becomes unsustainable with fewer content being produced due to the expense behind them.

One trend that we're already starting to see emerge that I could see only getting more popular are mixed-reality glasses. These just look like normal everyday glasses, except they have functionality to run apps and stream movies and TV shows, thus the future of content could turn out to be more persona indvidual experiences, where each person in a household could be watching their own things on their own screens, but looking like it's right in front of you like a big theatre screen. And with these, you can also invite others to watch with you and you don't even have to be in the same location.
 
The reMarkable devices are very cool for what they do but they seem pretty fixed in that you have to have used them for specific needs to get the best value out of them. The tech is great though.

As for colour fidelity what levels can the human eye perceive? Would most people notice anyway?
Some-where between 10-100 Million colors depending on the person.
 
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