As for the character of Ishan, and the captain of the Warpsite....
I can see how some people feel these characters don't make sense, especially in a society like the Federation where everybody is supposed to be enlightened.
Ah, but Ishan wasn't raised in the Federation. He was raised on Occupied Bajor, and has only been a Federate himself for ten years. It's not implausible to imagine that even some high-powered people from worlds that have been under such oppression might emerge with warped values.
And besides, the Federation has never wanted for Evil Admirals.
As for the captain of the Warspite.... He was established as a young captain, I'm guessing someone who moved up mostly because no one else was available after the massive number of officers killed during both the Dominion War and the Borg Invasion. These young officers weren't nurtured to become well-balanced commanders of starships, they were 'raised', so to speak, in an era of violence and constant vigillence. That breeds a certain type of character.
There's that, and then there's his point of view. What does he know? He knows that Bashir stole classified Federation data, and he believes that he's out to share it with a world that has seceded from the Federation and whose government is letting the Typhon Pact court them. I would no more expect him to be sympathetic to Bashir than I would anyone who lacks a full understanding of the situation.
As for the character of Ishan, and the captain of the Warpsite....
I can see how some people feel these characters don't make sense
I don't think anyone has made the argue that he
doesn't make sense? My problem isn't that - it's that he's so badly written and so obviously the villain of the piece or their dupe that there is no nuance in how he is written and the reader is chapters ahead (or even as much as a book ahead) than the characters and that's just bad writing.
I mean, I don't think anyone claimed Ishan wouldn't be the villain of
A Ceremony of Losses. The premise behind the story is clear: Bashir wants to save the Andorians, and everyone else wants to stop him because of their political agenda. This is only bad writing if you expect moral ambiguity where there really is none to be found.
And nothing about Ishan's politics is implausible or unprecedented in the real world or the world of
Star Trek. We live in a real world where the President of the world's most powerful democracy recently launched an invasion of a crippled, militarily impotent third-rate Middle Eastern country and claimed it was justified self-defense. And the world of
Star Trek is already one where the 24th Century Federation is willing to let species go extinct from natural disasters because of their Prime Directive.
So, am I the only one really hoping that the writers throw a curveball and make Ishan not the overplot villain?
Honestly, I'm hoping he's the legitimate next President and his chief of staff or something masterminded the assassination.
Even if Ishan is not the mastermind behind Bacco's assassination -- and that's an entirely plausible scenario -- I sincerely doubt that he could continue to hold office if his own chief of staff turns out to have plotted the assassination. That's just not the sort of thing a politician's career can survive.
Edited to add:
My prediction? Andorian M.P. and Progressive Party Leader Kellessar zh'Tarash will win the 2385 Special Federation Presidential Election. We'll soon be seeing Captain Picard sign off on conversations from the Palais by saying, "Thank you,
Zha President."