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STID "tracking" for $85-90 million opening [U.S. box office]

Ok... moving on...

How much will the movie make this weekend and next week?

It looks like it will get to 235 MM at the end of its run.

Am I right?
 
Ok... moving on...

How much will the movie make this weekend and next week?

It looks like it will get to 235 MM at the end of its run.

Am I right?
The studio estimate for this weekend is $3 million, bringing the total so far to $216.6 million. $230-235 million looks like the end point.

The updated international gross is $213.4 million, putting the worldwide gross at just under $430 million. We could be looking at a final worldwide gross of about $470-480 million.
 
Domestic: $216,611,000
+ Foreign: $213,400,000
—————————————-
= Worldwide: $430,011,000
Source: Box Office Mojo

Adjusted top ST movies:

STID: $430.011 million
STTMP: $430 million
ST09: $408 million

Yeah, the top ST movie ever really underperformed...

RAMA
 
Yeah most of these budgets are guesses anyway. It's a made up formula, using made up variables.

And not taking into account studios "paying themselves" for renting soundstages, tax breaks...

That and you cannot tell me marketing and distribution of a film equals the budget of a film. That's plain stupid math.
 
Domestic: $216,611,000
+ Foreign: $213,400,000
—————————————-
= Worldwide: $430,011,000
Source: Box Office Mojo

Adjusted top ST movies:

STID: $430.011 million
STTMP: $430 million
ST09: $408 million

Yeah, the top ST movie ever really underperformed...

RAMA

Depends on the domestic versus overseas profit margin, but yes, a third one's coming... :)
 
That and you cannot tell me marketing and distribution of a film equals the budget of a film. That's plain stupid math.
Steven Soderbergh has been talking a lot lately about the financial state of the industry and how it's impacting what gets made. Here's one of the things he said recently:

“[Studios] don’t look at the singles or the doubles as being worth the money or the man hours. Psychologically, it’s more comforting to spend $60m promoting a movie that costs 100, than it does to spend $60m for a movie that costs 10. I know what you’re thinking: If it costs 10 you’re going to be in profit sooner. Maybe not. Here’s why: Okay. $10m movie, 60m to promote it, that’s 70, so you’ve got to gross 140 to get out. Now you’ve got a $100m movie, you’re going spend 60 to promote it. You’ve got to get 320 to get out. How many $10m movies make 140 million dollars? Not many. How many $100m movies make 320? A pretty good number, and there’s this sort of domino effect that happens too. Bigger home video sales, bigger TV sales, so you can see the forces that are sort of draining in one direction in the business.”
 
I applaud the work of J. J. and the world attention he has brought to STID.
Pine, Quinto, Zoe, Pegg and Cumberbatch won the attention of many people because of their performance.
There will be more interested in Star Trek 3.
 
Worldwide box office is at 430 million now.

International gross is only about three million shy of domestic, BTW. When do you think it'll pass it - this week, next week?
 
Well it has better legs than some more recent movies like Epic, Gatsby and After Earth. I'm surprised Now You See Me is still that strong, however.
 
STID was sold to FX channel...ST09 made $30 million from it's sale, anyone want to bet STID made more?? Tack that on to the $430 million it's made already ($470-480 million)

RAMA
 
STID was sold to FX channel...ST09 made $30 million from it's sale, anyone want to bet STID made more?? Tack that on to the $430 million it's made already ($470-480 million)

RAMA
Oh, I'm sure they've also made money on Product endorsements, that haven't been backed out of the Budget number being used. And, although there aren't a lot of toys, I'm sure what licensing they have allowed has also brought them in dollars that aren't reflected in what the movie is making.
 
STID was sold to FX channel...ST09 made $30 million from it's sale, anyone want to bet STID made more?? Tack that on to the $430 million it's made already ($470-480 million)

RAMA

Pfft... are you trying to convince us that Trek isn't dead and that they're actually going to make another one ? ;)
 
The amount FX pays for the TV rights is based on a percentage of domestic box office, so STID will make a little less than Star Trek, but it'll still be a good amount. The license fee FX pays is 10-12% of the ultimate domestic gross.

Edit to add: the weekend actual is $3,166,709 for $216,777,625 so far.
 
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OK, what does someone here think of this article, says maybe Into Darkness isn't "enough of a hit" for Paramount (btw I loved STID, so do hope for another nuTrek movie, but fyi for reference in case anyone's interested): http://io9.com/whats-the-future-of-star-trek-after-into-darkness-510291083

PS BTW it's been pointed out to me that this article is from 5/29, but since we do know now that STID will not reach the domestic BO that ST2009 did (and supposedly "studios still care about domestic gross a lot"), perhaps the points brought up are still relevant, or at least something to consider.
 
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OK, what does someone here think of this article, says maybe Into Darkness isn't a "big enough hit" for Paramount (btw I loved STID, so do hope for another nuTrek movie, but fyi for reference in case anyone's interested): http://io9.com/whats-the-future-of-star-trek-after-into-darkness-510291083

I really don't think they are going to change course after gaining so much in international markets where Trek has traditionally been weak.

Could they? Sure. But it doesn't make sense not to do a third film especially when pre-orders for the Blu-ray are through the roof.

I really think the film's struggles simply come down to timing.
 
OK, what does someone here think of this article, says maybe Into Darkness isn't "enough of a hit" for Paramount (btw I loved STID, so do hope for another nuTrek movie, but fyi for reference in case anyone's interested): http://io9.com/whats-the-future-of-star-trek-after-into-darkness-510291083

PS BTW it's been pointed out to me that this article is from 5/29, but since we do know now that STID will not reach the domestic BO that ST2009 did, perhaps the points brought up are still relevant.

That author has it in for nuTrek, I wouldn't listen to her.
 
That article makes a lot of noise over nothing. The film will end up among the top ten domestic grossing films of the year and will have the highest international gross of a Star Trek film ever. In terms of overall box office, a Star Trek movie has never done better. A Bad Robot produced sequel is inevitable.

The same author also reviewed the movie with the headline "Star Trek Into Dumbness." In light of that, her latest article appears to be less analysis than wish fulfillment.
 
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