I'm just afraid that if the show fails it will just feed into the general consensus that sci fi shows are too niche to generate a mass audience, and too expensive to justify the small audience they get. Then we just get more cop shows and the token sci fi show is really just a winy vampire.
True. But maybe it's reality - the four big broadcast networks can't support sci fi shows, unless they have a modern day setting and heavy cop show elements, and even then you better schedule it for Friday and not expect much. If that is the situation, then all interesting sci fi will be henceforth relegated to cable, but since there are more cable channels than broadcast networks, that's not a terrible thing.
I gotta give FOX credit for making a serious test of whether sci fi can work on broadcast: glitzy visuals of the sort that we're used to only in the movies, and making it (presumably) family-friendly so the whole family can watch. If sci fi is going to work on broadcast, that should do it. By contrast ABC and NBC's tests seem to be mimicking
Mad Men, which isn't even a ratings hit on cable - if they fail, then I don't think we've learned anything useful.
It will be an even better test if most of the
Terra Nova characters are (as I've heard) kind of cardboard, because then if it's a success, we'll know the lesson is Expensive Eye Candy is All You Need. And that would bode very well for
Star Trek or other space opera shows on TV. Now all CBS needs to do is spend $20M on the pilot and throw insane looking space monsters on the screen every week. They could certainly be more varied and interesting than dinosaurs, and don't people love freaky aliens as much as dinos?
And if the formula can work even if the characters and stories suck, so much the better. it's always a crap shoot whether a show is going to be good in those areas, but the SFX department being able to do crazy-looking monsters is a predictable thing. They can show sample monsters to the bean counters in advance, with a estimate of the budget per new monster. Bean counters love that kind of predictability, which is why they keep greenlighting cop shows.
Star Trek (and other space opera shows) needs to have a formula for success, and preferably that formula should not involve characters or plots.