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12.5 Million on Friday 5/15

I understand 12.5 is decent number and a decent 2nd week drop. However, I am saying it is disappointing compared to what most people here on this site were saying. Most people were projectiong 45-50 Million, which obviously will not happen.

Also, It can be compared to Iron Man and Wolverine all day, but if Trek is below 145 Mil after this weekend, It's going to be nearly impossible to make it to 200 Mil.

Impossible?

Da Vinci Code, similar opening weekend, worse second weekend numbers. Total $217 Million

Austin Powers Goldmember, similar opening weekend, worse second weekend, Total $213 Million

The Lost World, Jurassic Park, Similar opening weekend, worse second weekend, Total $229 Million

Star Wars Episode II, Better Opening Weekend, similar second weekend, Total $302 Million

Not impossible. Not even improbable. These movies seem like the norm in this position.

They are. You can only get to Similitude's prediction by ignoring all evidence and available information about how these things work.
 
Similitude is obviously not familiar with how the box office works or can work....

Maybe she is... let's not pile on.

But I agree with Squiggy and Jeri. What are the pessimistic prognostications based on?

Whoa there buddy, whoever said I was a chick? Not that there would be anything wrong with that, but unless my wife is mistaken, I am clearly a male.

I realize I am probably/am being way too pessimistic, but 10+ years of bad ratings and Box Office Grosses have me programed this way. I'll just say I hope it crushes 200 Mil =D
 
It is still early--I'll bet that number goes up a bit.

I do think one concern will be the disappearance from IMAX and moving the film from larger screens to the secondary ones. Wish there would've been a 3-week commitment to IMAX given the long weekend.

LEGS!

that's the one thing that bothers me. still, that IMAX intake figure is what by now? opening weekend IMAX was about 11%, right? is that a lot? (remembers Kirk in TVH :p)
 
It is still early--I'll bet that number goes up a bit.

I do think one concern will be the disappearance from IMAX and moving the film from larger screens to the secondary ones. Wish there would've been a 3-week commitment to IMAX given the long weekend.

LEGS!

that's the one thing that bothers me. still, that IMAX intake figure is what by now? opening weekend IMAX was about 11%, right? is that a lot? (remembers Kirk in TVH :p)

If the people were going to go see it in IMAX and it's not there I would doubt that most of them would just not go. Some wouldn't, but most probably would just go to a regular theater.

Also, there is still a possibility that the film could remain in select IMAX locations.
 
It looks like Trek will end on the lower end of estimates for the weekend...$37-39 million. Which is still good since it will be around just a 50% drop.
 
It is still early--I'll bet that number goes up a bit.

I do think one concern will be the disappearance from IMAX and moving the film from larger screens to the secondary ones. Wish there would've been a 3-week commitment to IMAX given the long weekend.

LEGS!

that's the one thing that bothers me. still, that IMAX intake figure is what by now? opening weekend IMAX was about 11%, right? is that a lot? (remembers Kirk in TVH :p)

If the people were going to go see it in IMAX and it's not there I would doubt that most of them would just not go. Some wouldn't, but most probably would just go to a regular theater.

Also, there is still a possibility that the film could remain in select IMAX locations.

you think?! that would be great! there is a big difference, unfortunately. at least, I think so.
 
Just as I thought. Nowhere near the 40-50 Million most people thought. Star Trek will sadly not even see 180 Million let alone 200.


No, it's good. The truth is Abrams has to UNDO a lot of damage.

If this same thing was done for Trek back when Voyager ended the numbers IMO would be bigger and you would have coverted a lot of potential fans and kept more fans who stopped watching years ago.

Abrams Trek is a total success. It's pretty darn good considering the circumstances. None the less, my Thursday opener was mostly gray haired folks: qualitative evidence yes; but I think it's safe to say Trek was fading away. It's great that later shows have attracted younger people. But, it's not Abram's fault that the powers decided ten years too late.

I believe Trek will go on....but a lot of time and potential has been lost; not to mention MOVIE attendance has been steadily declining for years.
 
I believe Trek will go on....but a lot of time and potential has been lost; not to mention MOVIE attendance has been steadily declining for years.

I agree. That statement embodies why this Trek is such a success. It gave us a chance. Star Trek has been lacking marketability for nearly ten years. This movie has made the franchise viable again and will allow it to rebuild, attract new viewers, and hopefully provide it with an opportunity to be relevant in the 21st century.
 
Jesus Cross Christ!!!!

And look at that Avatar with Spock grabbing Uhura's ta-tas!

That is called the Vulcan Breast Pinch in the new timeline.

__________________

"You will feel a strange euphoria...we move together... we are one..."
 
I think ST'09 will break the $200 million mark, but it may not go far beyond that. Nevertheless, I think Paramount will be quite happy with the film's performance. We should be, too. This film is doing what no other Trek has done before.
 
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