12.5 Million on Friday 5/15

[Jax]

This number could still increase in actual finals...

I think we will see 15 million minimum saturday & 10 million+ on sunday so that would be $37.5 million mimimum but I think we could do a little better.

I think aything 50% or lower keeps us on track for good end total because I think in memorial weekend (4 day weekend) we will make $20 million minimum plus at least $8-10 million during the midweek before the 3rd weekend...

so all of that is 65.5-67.5 between now and Monday 25th May, which would take us past $170 milliom domestic after 3 weeks and a good chance to crawl/sneak over $200 million.

 

[Lumen]

Similitude, your pessimism isn't borne out by the facts. It's not that difficult for films to continue to increase their gross after the second weekend.

Low 40s are still a possibility at this point, but I think $37-38 million is probably the most we'll get now.

 

[urbandk]

I mean, heck, Superman Returns, far worse opening weekend, considerably worse second weekend, Total $200 Million

 

[Norrin Radd]

Please don't bring Returns into this.

Bad omen.

 

[Squiggy]

Also, It can be compared to Iron Man and Wolverine all day, but if Trek is below 145 Mil after this weekend, It's going to be nearly impossible to make it to 200 Mil.

Seriously. You don't know what you're talking about. After two weekends Ironman made $177,825,02, or just 55% of it's domestic take of 318,412,101.

As of now, Star Trek has an "official" domestic take of 104,610,837. Let's be conservative and give trek 30 mil this weekend. That puts us at 137 and change going into the 3rd week. If we make Iron man our comparison putting 137 at 55% then Star Trek is going to make just over 249 million domestic. (177,825,024/318,412,101=55%, 1/.55=1.8181, 137*1.8181=249)

 

[Lumen]

Superman Returns opened on a Wednesday, so that's not the best comparison. But most of the films in your previous post were Friday openers, and The Da Vinci Code is probably a good benchmark. This film is better reviewed and should have broader appeal, too.

 

[Jeri]

Similitude, just curious: what is your stance based on? I would have called it "conservative," but your dogmatic approach suggests some other aspect.

 

[Devon]

Similitude is obviously not familiar with how the box office works or can work....

 

[Norrin Radd]

He/she is a downer.

 

[Aike]

What about the fanboy effect for the opening weekend? As far as I know, trekkies come out in big numbers and many see the movie several times. Won´t this affect the legs of the movie?

 

[urbandk]

Similitude is obviously not familiar with how the box office works or can work....

Maybe she is... let's not pile on.

But I agree with Squiggy and Jeri. What are the pessimistic prognostications based on?

 

[The Transformed Man]

Just as I thought. Nowhere near the 40-50 Million most people thought. Star Trek will sadly not even see 180 Million let alone 200.

Well first off Nikki Finke (Deadline Hollywood) was waaaayyy off with her initial numbers last weekend. Her insiders initially projected a $65 million dollar weekend for Star Trek and later revised them up, heck the final studio estimates for Trek were off even on Sunday. So I really wouldn't read too much into these early numbers.


Yancy

 

[Scotty]

Good news, especially if you compare it to Angels&Demons opening figures, which are just dreadfull for such a high profile, big budget movie.

Star Trek could be a grower. A movie that has a long and steady release. Certainly here in Holland not many people are yet aware of the movie, but the news of how good it is is quickly spreading.

 

[Jeri]

Good news, especially if you compare it to Angels&Demons opening figures, which are just dreadfull for such a high profile, big budget movie...

What are they, please? I missed them.

 

[Squiggy]

Good news, especially if you compare it to Angels&Demons opening figures, which are just dreadfull for such a high profile, big budget movie...

What are they, please? I missed them.

17 mil.

 

[Borgminister]

It is still early--I'll bet that number goes up a bit.

I do think one concern will be the disappearance from IMAX and moving the film from larger screens to the secondary ones. Wish there would've been a 3-week commitment to IMAX given the long weekend.

LEGS!

 

[Scotty]

I was convinced Angels and Demons would be a hit. It seems it might not make it past the 50 mil. mark.

 

[Jax]

Yahoo, box office mojo and paramount are still to say what the numbers were so my guess she is wrong.

 

[Borgminister]

Hey, NASA's astronauts liked the movie, Squiggs!

Oh, and it says Friday PM/Saturday AM in the report. Way too early for even definitive estimates IMO.

 

[Squiggy]

Hey, NASA's astronauts liked the movie, Squiggs!

I'm still working my sources to get a copy...for official record keeping purposes of course.