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Funny Earth day predictions of the 70's

"I predict that within 100 years, computers will be twice as powerful, ten thousand times larger, and so expensive that only the five richest kings of Europe will own them."



;)
 
Actually most of those predictions are not absurd, and not even necessarily wrong, although a bit alarmist. For example:

“Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make. The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“It is already too late to avoid mass starvation,”
• Denis Hayes, chief organizer for Earth Day

“Air pollution…is certainly going to take hundreds of thousands of lives in the next few years alone.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“We are prospecting for the very last of our resources and using up the nonrenewable things many times faster than we are finding new ones.”
• Martin Litton, Sierra Club director

“Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.”
• Sen. Gaylord Nelson

How can you deny any of that?
 
Actually most of those predictions are not absurd, and not even necessarily wrong, although a bit alarmist. For example:

“Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make. The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“It is already too late to avoid mass starvation,”
• Denis Hayes, chief organizer for Earth Day

“Air pollution…is certainly going to take hundreds of thousands of lives in the next few years alone.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“We are prospecting for the very last of our resources and using up the nonrenewable things many times faster than we are finding new ones.”
• Martin Litton, Sierra Club director

“Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.”
• Sen. Gaylord Nelson
How can you deny any of that?

Because they are alarmist BS propaganda that ignores history as well as man's ability to persevere.
 
“The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years. If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist


Someone get Al Gore on the phone.. :wtf:
 
“The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years. If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist


Someone get Al Gore on the phone.. :wtf:
Yep. It seems like every decade I've been alive there's been some kind of life-threatening event just about to happen. You can only cry "Wolf" so many times until people just start ignoring you.
 
"I predict that within 100 years, computers will be twice as powerful, ten thousand times larger, and so expensive that only the five richest kings of Europe will own them."
Depending on one's definition of "computer", this was actually nowhere nearly as silly as you're making it out to be. Ever hear of cloud computing?

Maybe not the five richest kings of Europe - more like five of the wealthiest companies in the world.
 
"I predict that within 100 years, computers will be twice as powerful, ten thousand times larger, and so expensive that only the five richest kings of Europe will own them."
Depending on one's definition of "computer", this was actually nowhere nearly as silly as you're making it out to be. Ever hear of cloud computing?

Maybe not the five richest kings of Europe - more like five of the wealthiest companies in the world.

Ever heard of Professor Frink?
 
It does remind me of this quote that I saw a while ago and had to look up, "Where a computer like the ENIAC is equipped with 18,000 vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons, computers in the future may have only 1,000 vacuum tubes and weigh only 1 1/2 tons." - March 1948 Popular Mechanics.
 
“The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years. If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist


Someone get Al Gore on the phone.. :wtf:

I thought this one was hilarious.
 
“The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years. If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist


Someone get Al Gore on the phone.. :wtf:

Well, the world *has* been chillin' for quite a while... ;)
 
Um, you do realize that a great deal of environmental protection legislation was passed and extensive clean-up work did in fact take place following 1970, yes?

“We have about five more years at the outside to do something.”
~ Kenneth Watt, ecologist
They did do something. In 1970, rivers were catching on fire. Then, within 5 years, they did something called the clean water and clean air acts, among others, which gave us more time to maneuver.

“Civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.”
~George Wald, Harvard Biologist
Virtually immediate action was, in fact taken. Who knows what would have happened if water had continued burning.

“Scientists have solid experimental and theoretical evidence to support…the following predictions: In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution…by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half….”
~ Life Magazine, January 1970

“Air pollution…is certainly going to take hundreds of thousands of lives in the next few years alone.”
~ Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist
But for the Clean Air Act and emissions standards on cars, who knows?
“By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate…that there won’t be any more crude oil. You’ll drive up to the pump and say, `Fill ‘er up, buddy,’ and he’ll say, `I am very sorry, there isn’t any.’”
~ Kenneth Watt, Ecologist
Present trends did not continue. CAFE standards were established and the fuel crisis led to the introduction of much smaller and more efficient cars, at least for a good long while.

In other words, these idiots at that website are looking at these statements as if both the and the present happened in a vacuum. They did not. Shit changed between then and now that mitigated some of the things people saw as possible then. I see this list as testimony to the efficacy of environmental legislation and motivation to campaign harder for more. Thanks for posting it. :)
 
There are a few eye-rollers in that list, but an awful lot of them seem to be on target. The famine predictions, for example, are pretty much correct, though exaggerated for effect.
 
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