Here ya go. All the back issues of The Atlantic.
Have at it.
ETA: I can't really blame you for not being able to find it. Atlantic's website is very difficult to navigate
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If only they had a well-labeled archive!
Thanks.
The July/August 2007 issue has the article referring to the likely success of a U.S. first strike.
I had thought it was in 2005, but a 2005 issue had an article "How We Would Fight China" which refers to a conventional conflict with the Chinese.