Where will Star Trek 3 Rank in 2016 Blockbuster Films

[Dales]

I spend some of my free time on many film forums and everyone seemed so geared up for and excited about the films of 2016, especially in the superhero genre or just summer films in general.

Batman v Superman, XMEN Apocalypse, Captain America Civil War, Suicide Squad, Deadpool, star wars spin off and so on. its like no one is talking of star trek 3 or even remembers a trek film is coming out next year, which is why I am hoping this film is great because if it isnt , it will just get swallowed up by the rest of the films in 2016.

I also hope it makes the top 5 highest grossing summer films of that next year but I know the chances are low but I can still hope.

 

[M'Sharak]

Where will Star Trek 3 Rank in 2016 Blockbuster Films

I don't think there's any way to tell, for a movie which hasn't started filming yet.

Take a wild guess - yours stands as much chance of being right as the next person's does.

 

[Smellmet]

As much as it pains me I think it's gonna struggle a bit. I don't think we can expect a significant jump over Into Darkness. Batman v Superman, X-MEN Apocalypse, Captain America Civil War, will all do better, no question. There's potentially Independence Day 2, Ghostbusters 3, The Incredibles 2, Finding Nemo 2, Tarzan and another blasted Transformers movie to contend with too. It's a very crowded marketplace. I think the very best we can expect is a $90 million opening weekend, $270 million domestic and $550-600 million worldwide, tops. Just my opinion of course, we haven't even started filming, let alone a teaser trailer, but I still stand by those numbers. I just can't possibly see it going much further than that.

If you go on IMDB, and look at the page for 2016 blockbuster movies, ST3 is at number eleven...

 

[Dales]

Where will Star Trek 3 Rank in 2016 Blockbuster Films

I don't think there's any way to tell, for a movie which hasn't started filming yet.

Take a wild guess - yours stands as much chance of being right as the next person's does.

I really dont know anymore. I remember back in 2013, box office report predicted that Star Trek Into Darkness will have a 125 million dollar weekend and earn 325 million in USA and 700 worldwide but my gosh where they wrong....far wrong.

I cant predict trek after how STID went but it is easy to predict films like Marvel civil war or dawn of justice, they will easily earn billions but guessing trek's box office earning is hard but at least we can try, its good fun.

As much as it pains me I think it's gonna struggle a bit. I don't think we can expect a significant jump over Into Darkness. Batman v Superman, X-MEN Apocalypse, Captain America Civil War, will all do better, no question. There's potentially Independence Day 2, Ghostbusters 3, The Incredibles 2, Finding Nemo 2, Tarzan and another blasted Transformers movie to contend with too. It's a very crowded marketplace. I think the very best we can expect is a $90 million opening weekend, $270 million domestic and $550-600 million worldwide, tops. Just my opinion of course, we haven't even started filming, let alone a teaser trailer, but I still stand by those numbers. I just can't possibly see it going much further than that.

If you go on IMDB, and look at the page for 2016 blockbuster movies, ST3 is at number eleven...

Wow, you really think 270 million in USA and 500 million worldwide is possible. All I can say is Amen to that. I hope our dreams come true, that the film does well.

2016 is more crowded than I thought and it us not just the never ending superhero films. maybe star trek been space sci fi will give it an advantage over all the superhero films.

 

[Melakon]

If film professionals can't even predict how their film will do at the box office, I don't think we can either. Despite whether it's good or bad, there are always outside influences-- reviews, natural or man-made disasters, famous death in the news, etc.

 

[M'Sharak]

Where will Star Trek 3 Rank in 2016 Blockbuster Films

I don't think there's any way to tell, for a movie which hasn't started filming yet.

Take a wild guess - yours stands as much chance of being right as the next person's does.

I really dont know anymore. I remember back in 2013, box office report predicted that Star Trek Into Darkness will have a 125 million dollar weekend and earn 325 million in USA and 700 worldwide but my gosh where they wrong....far wrong.

That prediction was made only a week or two before the film's release, and it came as a sharp change. Up until that point, forecasts had all been calling for the $70 million which the movie in fact ended up taking in on opening weekend.

Whatever voodoo that $120-125 million figure was based on, it had absolutely nothing to do with realistic expectations. No sane person thought STID was going to take in that much.

 

[Nerys Myk]

Don't care . All I want is to have a good time for two or so hours. It will make what ever I pay for a ticket.

 

[Smellmet]

Wow, you really think 270 million in USA and 500 million worldwide is possible. All I can say is Amen to that. I hope our dream come true, that the film does well.and I hope our dreams come true that the film does well.

2016 is more crowded than I thought and it us not just the never ending superhero films. maybe star trek been space sci fi will give it an advantage over all the superhero films.

Yeah, absolutely, STO9 took $257 million (roughly $286 million adjusted for inflation) domestic, STID took $467 million worldwide, well over ST09's $385 million, so 500 million has to be a minimum target for the studio surely. I think these are realistic numbers, albeit at the top of expectations. STID's $228 million domestic, whilst not quite as good as it's predecessor is still a reasonable haul, and on a par with the likes of X-men Days of Future Past.

That being said... (I love using that phrase since STID) I can see it doing the same or even less than STID, there just doesn't seem to be the hype or momentum of the big super hero blockbusters.

 

[Amaris]

Eleventy-Jillion dollars.

 

[Cyke101]

If film professionals can't even predict how their film will do at the box office, I don't think we can either. Despite whether it's good or bad, there are always outside influences-- reviews, natural or man-made disasters, famous death in the news, etc.

Also, film professionals in the form of studios have market forecasters whose job it is to gauge the playing field and essentially predict how much money the film will bring in, and that impacts certain decisions by the studio; but as we all know, they're often wrong. It's by no means an exact science. And if an entire team of forecasters can't do it, then neither can we.

 

[Khan 2.0]

Looking at the release schedule for 2016 its not that bad. The real big dogs - CA3, BvS, XM:A, SuicideSquad, Rogue1, ID2 (Transformers5 is 2017) are no where near Treks July date and those surrounding it shouldn't be much of a threat (BFG? Tarzan? female Ghostbusters? King Arthur remake?) In fact Trek should dominant July - especially since its the only big SF film of the month and its anniversary

http://boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?view=bydate&release=theatrical&yr=2016&p=.htm

 

[Mage]

Don't care . All I want is to have a good time for two or so hours. It will make what ever I pay for a ticket.

Same here. I honestly couldn't care about how much it makes and if it's profitable. I just want to be entertained. If I am, it's a good movie to me. If I'm not, I don't consider it a good movie.

 

[Smellmet]

Looking at the release schedule for 2016 its not that bad. The real big dogs - CA3, BvS, XM:A, SuicideSquad, Rogue1, ID2 (Transformers5 is 2017) are no where near Treks July date and those surrounding it shouldn't be much of a threat (BFG? Tarzan? female Ghostbusters? King Arthur remake?) In fact Trek should dominant July - especially since its the only big SF film of the month and its anniversary

http://boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?view=bydate&release=theatrical&yr=2016&p=.htm

That's the saving grace here, if it was getting released in May like the last two or even June, I think it would have got murdered. It's got a fighting chance with the July date to do good business.

 

[Khan 2.0]

based on the previous 2 BO figures id hazard a guess at another 70-80m wkend, total domestic 250-300m(as its the 50th), foreign 250m = 500-550m ww

 

[F. King Daniel]

I said this before ID was released - even if the film is a massive flop, I get another Trek movie which I'm likely to enjoy again and again, and that's all that really matters to me.

It would, however, be awesome if it made a shit-ton of money and secured the future for a load more similar movies.

 

[eyeresist]

Looking at the release schedule for 2016 its not that bad. The real big dogs - CA3, BvS, XM:A, SuicideSquad, Rogue1, ID2 (Transformers5 is 2017) are no where near Treks July date and those surrounding it shouldn't be much of a threat (BFG? Tarzan? female Ghostbusters? King Arthur remake?)

I dunno, Ghostbusters could be very big - if it's good.

 

[Ovation]

800 million quatloos, of course.

 

[Smellmet]

Looking at the release schedule for 2016 its not that bad. The real big dogs - CA3, BvS, XM:A, SuicideSquad, Rogue1, ID2 (Transformers5 is 2017) are no where near Treks July date and those surrounding it shouldn't be much of a threat (BFG? Tarzan? female Ghostbusters? King Arthur remake?)

I dunno, Ghostbusters could be very big - if it's good.

Yeah but it's not going to be $1.2billion Iron Man 3 and probably not $788 million Fast and Furious 6 good though is it? That was what STID was up against among others in 2013. I can't see any two of ST3's competition making those numbers.

 

[Cyke101]

Looking at the release schedule for 2016 its not that bad. The real big dogs - CA3, BvS, XM:A, SuicideSquad, Rogue1, ID2 (Transformers5 is 2017) are no where near Treks July date and those surrounding it shouldn't be much of a threat (BFG? Tarzan? female Ghostbusters? King Arthur remake?)

I dunno, Ghostbusters could be very big - if it's good.

Yeah but it's not going to be $1.2billion Iron Man 3 and probably not $788 million Fast and Furious 6 good though is it? That was what STID was up against among others in 2013. I can't see any two of ST3's competition making those numbers.

To add, it's also that Iron Man 3 and FF6 were very much outliers when we take all the other big ginormous special effects movies of the year altogether. It'd be nice if ST3 (or Ghostbusters, for that matter) make those numbers, but even if it doesn't, they can still be financial successes without being at the top.

 

[2takesfrakes]

Not basing this on anything other than the good things I've heard so far, I'm confident that ST3 will be in the top 3 and no lower than that. I'm definitely of the opinion that being without J.J. Abrams has put this project in a position to have to prove itself and, in that sense, it's like getting to do the first one, all over again. And we know how successful that was ...