I didn't take any kind of nasty tone with you so I don't appreciate your insults.
All right, that probably was a bit harsher than I really intended. I'll offer apologies.
My point, put less confrontation-ally, is that in every thread about technology I've heard you chime in on, your thesis seems to be "technology uber alles". You never met a tech that you didn't like, no matter it's implications.
I think you mistake acknowledgement of reality for advocacy. While I do, in general, support the advancement of technology, I'm also smart enough to realize it is a march impossible to stop. It is a losing battle to try to put the reins on our technology and slow down its development. Instead, we have to try to stay ahead of it and deal with its growing implications.
I thought my point was clear: technology itself is neutral. How it is used is driven by the needs of end-users, the wishes of the corporations involved in the infrastructure, and the policy decisions of the government. Those things are all interrelated and have very little to do with the technology itself.
Exactly what I would expect a technocrat (descriptive usage of the term ONLY) to say. Myself (an a lot of others) cannot evaluate a technology without considering it's implications and outcomes. Some technology would be better off left UNdeveloped because of it's likely uses.
That's where you make your mistake, in thinking I
don't consider the implications of technology. I deal with those implications every day. You are not going to get anywhere saying, "we should not develop this technology because of how it might be used!" Yeah, you could probably do that for really obvious things like biological weapons, human cloning, and the like, but you're not going to shut down development of something as generalized as a network protocol, which could be used for virtually
any purpose. I think that's the distinction you have to make: we're talking about technologies that are, in and of themselves, neutral. This isn't like talking about nuclear weapons, which can only be used to kill and destroy.
But by slowing or stopping the development of certain kinds of technology, we can stop or at least limit the negative effects of same.
And I'm saying this is an utterly unrealistic position. You can come back and say it isn't, but you'd be wrong. Unless you're going to convince basically the whole world to embrace Luddism, this battle is lost before it's even begun.
And for now you have that option. What happens when the industry forces a paradigm shift towards the Cloud by stopping making stand-alone desktops?
This is not going to happen in the foreseeable future. Power on the desktop is cheap and getting cheaper. The only people who favor going entirely to the Cloud are those who stand to make money from it. Everybody else knows better.
Many Cloud applications are adequate, but barely so. Specialized, expert applications--think Photoshop, 3D modeling software, CAD, simulation software, etc.--cannot be done to any level of satisfaction with Cloud-based services. Hell, I find Google Docs inadequate for mundane spreadsheet editing. The quality of service just isn't there.
In addition, we lack the bandwidth to make most applications function well on the Cloud. US bandwidth growth is stunted, for the moment, and that's going to seriously hamper the deployment of complex Cloud services.
Thirdly, while I'm sure companies like Microsoft and Google just salivate over the idea of people storing all their critical documents (photos, budgets, music, etc.) out on the Cloud, the vast majority of people are not ready to make that leap, and I don't blame them. I would never use a third-party service as the
only repository for my documents. That's insanity and most people know it.
You seem to be envisioning a hypothetical future in which no one manufactures hard drives or local operating systems. That is, to put it bluntly, a baseless fantasy.
Don't think it can't happen? Look at Hi Def TV. Only took off after the industry used it's lobbyists to FORCE networks to go digital/hi-def.
Which was a matter of opening up spectrum bandwidth, not some conspiracy to put analog TV manufacturers out of business.
You pretty much can't buy a CRT monitor anymore--everything is LCD, plasma, etc. Do you think that's the result of some kind of conspiracy, too? It isn't. It's the result of LCDs reaching the point where they're cheaper, more efficient, and more convenient than CRTs, and so people bought them and the market moved in that direction.
Digital TV was a policy issue only because of the EM spectrum.
Whether you'll admit it or not, technology is empowering.
The question is WHO is empowered.
Whomever is willing to educate themselves on how to use it to its fullest potential.
I'm serious, if you are worried about this stuff,
educate yourself. This is a unique time in history: the power is in your hands. We still have this vast, open Internet where
anyone can setup a website, make social connections, organize and get active. Joe Blogger is on equal footing with the New York Times--and he probably gets more traffic.
You seem to think the Internet has become a tool whereby the haves can oppress the have-nots. It has not--not yet. It might in the future, but not if people stick up for the Internet as we have it now, and fight to preserve the features that make it so vital and useful for the common person.
The way computers work right now, the power is in your hands if you are willing to educate yourself and take advantage of it. If you'd rather be scared and proclaim that the sky is falling, be my guest, but the people who know better will ignore you.
And when the sky DOES fall?
I think this is the crux of our disagreement.
You are worried about what will happen when the sky falls, and I am more concerned with keeping it from falling in the first place. You'll never go wrong predicting disaster--someday, somewhere, you'll be vindicated when the shit hits the fan. It takes a lot more effort to take in the full aspect of a problem, work out its advantages and disadvantages, and try to set a course that avoids disaster.