So how come TNG was highly successful with a non-US lead?
It wasn't Picard, it was the nature of the TV industry at the time.
TNG was lucky to catch the tail end of an era when sci fi could get decent mass market ratings because the DVD and cable TV explosion had not quite happened.
TNG would never get those ratings today because the genre audience has fragmented as entertainment options have exploded and the only the most mass market of shows (cop shows, reality TV) can get big numbers anymore.
A new
Star Trek series needs to acknowledge that reality. The
TNG mass-ish-market approach with bland, unchallenging characters and easy to digest episodic adventures would be suicide now. The mass market isn't going to watch, so the only way to survive is to really cater to the tastes of the core audience. And get on cable, where "successful" ratings can be signficantly lower - that means Showtime since the franchise TV rights are owned by CBS. But forget CBS itself because the demographic is wrong and
Star Trek will never get the audience levels that CBS expects from any show it airs.
I don't care if the captain is non-American because nations don't matter in
Star Trek. So why bother about that? The next captain should not be from
Earth. Since the non-genre audience is not going to tune in anyway, we might as well start pushing the envelope a little harder.
25th Century? How about "Federation: Decline and Fall." Founded on high ideals, the Federation has become greedy and stagnant, held in thrall to corporate and military interests and the endless warfare they promote.
Please, no.
How about the Enterprise just boldly going?
You're right, the next
Star Trek series needs to create lively and fun characters like
TOS, set in the 23rd C and the JJ-verse (if only for simplicity's sake) and go back to the original template of space soldier/space cop with occasional personal stories and exploration.
Premises about the Federation falling or being corrupt or having a civil war always founder on the same problem - the Federation is just a big, black hole that has no detail or definition, so building a story on it is like building a house on sand - you'd have to lay a lot of foundation first, and that's boring, so why bother?
Star Trek isn't about the Federation. It's essentially a Western, set on the frontier, where all the action happens. The Federation is a big, bland, peaceful, sleepy place. It's paradise, which means it's a bore. Starfleet protects the Federation by intercepting threats at the border, fighting wars on the border, and exploring beyond the border.
Star Trek can be visualized as a bright ring of excitement and thrills surrounding a big black hole of who-cares.
You have to appeal to the mainstream if you want Trek made again that is anywhere close to the production standards of prior Trek projects.
I think the mainstream is gone for good, and the best template for success is
The Walking Dead on AMC - highly acclaimed, daring, quality production, and a big fat hit at a mere 5M viewers. If the show were on CBS, it wouldn't be safe from cancellation at twice that level, which just goes to show the difference in finances for all-ad-supported TV vs even basic cable that gets some amount of subscription support.
It certainly looks like a few bucks are being spent on it. Granted, there is no need for spaceships or alien worlds, but I can only hope that CGI advances can mitigate the costs somewhat because I don't think
Star Trek will ever get a network TV budget again. There's no space opera and very little sci fi of any sort on network TV and what there is, is dumbed down depressingly for the mass audience.
I think
Lost is the swan song of anything interesting on network TV. From now on, we'll have to look to cable for the good stuff, including the good sci fi, and we'll never see anything as outlandish as space opera on network TV.
As ST 2009 showed, what a mainstream audience wants is Kirk, Spock, et al, and a big space adventure. That's where the bucks are and that's what the studio is going to gamble it's bucks on.
Movies and TV are such different businesses that you can't extrapolate from one to the other. The
ST 2009 approach is the best idea as a basis for a TV series, with more in-depth characterization and sophisticate plotlines, because that's what the cable audience expects and
Star Trek can do that well, as we've seen from
DS9. But we won't get Spock and Kirk on TV because the actors will stick with movies. We need Spock- and Kirk-like characters invented for a new TV series.
So why did DS9, Voyager and Enterprise get poor ratings? I can't think of many sci-fi shows in recent times that had high ratings, apart from perhaps Lost (if that classifies as sci-fi). I think it's a matter of promotion personally, that's all there is to it.
No amount of marketing will never make
Star Trek appealing to the mainstream TV audience again. Advertising is not some magic wand that can overcome cold, hard reality. The problem is far more fundamental, down to the business model of TV. With a proliferation of entertainment venues, what used to be the
Star Trek audience for TV has been stolen away by entertainments that are ever more particular to their tastes.
Star Trek needs to adjust to a world where it will get an audience of 4-5M max. Whether that is good news or bad news depends entirely on whether you are on network or cable. A
Star Trek series made for network TV would be even blander than
TNG ever was, so it's a good thing that that's not even an option.