Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldwide

[Captain Fine]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

I'm glad we're adding theatres, though I not sure how much more money we're gonna make on those added screens.

 

[donners22]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

25 million predicted for Trek over the 4-day weekend...

I think that 25m 4-day prediction is too low a grab for uber Trek at this point.

Trek for this weekend could easily perform identical to Prince Caspian from May 08 memorial weekend, which was roughly $29m 4-day. I have a feeling Trek's word of mouth will cut through some of A&D and NATMII audiences, bringing in some of their older and family crowds to boost Trek's Saturday and Sunday numbers, so it might even reach 32m over 4-day.

My prediction;

Fri - 7.1
Sat - 9.3
Sun - 8.2
Mon - 7.4

4-day 32m

And it will do 2m+ per weekday next week.

Iron Man in its second Wednesday - $3,082,988.
Star Trek in its second Wednesday - $3,117,839.

Iron Man in its third weekend:

Friday - $8,659,239
Saturday - $13,431,355
Sunday - $9,748,402

Obviously it partly depends on the competition, but that's a promising sign. Iron Man was against the opening of Chronicles of Narnia in that weekend.

 

[Elysion]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

25 million predicted for Trek over the 4-day weekend...

I think that 25m 4-day prediction is too low a grab for uber Trek at this point.

Trek for this weekend could easily perform identical to Prince Caspian from May 08 memorial weekend, which was roughly $29m 4-day. I have a feeling Trek's word of mouth will cut through some of A&D and NATMII audiences, bringing in some of their older and family crowds to boost Trek's Saturday and Sunday numbers, so it might even reach 32m over 4-day.

My prediction;

Fri - 7.1
Sat - 9.3
Sun - 8.2
Mon - 7.4

4-day 32m

And it will do 2m+ per weekday next week.

Iron Man in its second Wednesday - $3,082,988.
Star Trek in its second Wednesday - $3,117,839.

Iron Man in its third weekend:

Friday - $8,659,239
Saturday - $13,431,355
Sunday - $9,748,402

Obviously it partly depends on the competition, but that's a promising sign. Iron Man was against the opening of Chronicles of Narnia in that weekend.

A promising sign indeed, because Trek has been showing IM like legs in comparison to its weekday numbers, even tracking ahead of them which is damn surprising for a Star Trek film. Unlike the IM's soft competition in its third weekend, Star Trek now faces (T4, NATMII, A&D and to a lesser extent Wolverine); quite an uphill battle for Trek.

Given IM's wider demographic appeal and stronger weekend totals, I think Trek will definitely track under with about 6m short in the third weekend comparison. But one could still hope otherwise...

Wkn 1
Iron Man - 102m
Star Trek - 75.2m

Wkn 2
Iron man - 51.1
Star Trek - 43.0m

 

[TheMadCloner]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

I saw T4, and it was pretty abysmal. I was pretty disappointed in the film actually. McG pretty much destroyed the whole thing, and Bale was particularly underwhelming.

Anyway, on topic: I don't think T4 will have very long legs at all. It's destined for a one and out based on WOM.

 

[MvRojo]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

I saw T4, and it was pretty abysmal. I was pretty disappointed in the film actually. McG pretty much destroyed the whole thing, and Bale was particularly underwhelming.

Anyway, on topic: I don't think T4 will have very long legs at all. It's destined for a one and out based on WOM.

Yeah, I'd agree with that sentiment. I saw T4 today too. It was entertaining, but nothing spectacular. Better than T3 and Wolverine, if that really is praise.

 

[CommanderRaytas]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

w00t!

Party like its 2 thou-sand-and-9!

I will if you will.

 

[Jeri]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

They are raving about it opening strong:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20090522/en_nm/us_terminator

"...in 3,450 theaters Thursday, with thousands of the venues programing midnight Wednesday performances for the Sam Worthington/Christian Bale-starring film.

Data on the picture's total Thursday coin won't be in until Friday, but early estimates suggested that "Salvation" midnight performances alone fetched more than $3 million domestically..."

 

[optimus1]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

Salvation and that Museum comedy will fight it out for 1 and 2 obviously but if Star Trek is still able to gather 25 -30 million or so then I am good with that.

 

[Admiral Buzzkill]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

I won't be shocked if Trek falls below 20 million this weekend (Friday-Sunday). It'll be nice if it does better than that, obviously.

 

[Franklin]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

Batman Begins made only $19.3 million its third weekend, which happened to be the four-day Fourth of July weekend. The Memorial Day weekend was the fourth week out for Iron Man, and it did $26 million over the four days.
So, maybe $25 million for Trek is more realistic over the four days instead of anything in the 30's. You gotta think T4 is bound to bleed off a fair number of potential Trek movie-goers this weekend. Of course, because T4 isn't apparently that good, it might drop like a rock next weekend. That could lead Trek to a better than expected fourth weekend.

I'd guess it will be above $185 million after this weekend, so it will almost certainly go over $200 million by the end of its fourth weekend. It seems to have a very good chance of exceeding its expectations. The Incredibles numbers, maybe ($260 million).

 

[Borgminister]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

I won't be shocked if Trek falls below 20 million this weekend (Friday-Sunday). It'll be nice if it does better than that, obviously.

Hand wringing has begun. On my end too, I admit. Gonna be very interesting, and a true test of legs.

 

[Admiral Buzzkill]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

I won't be shocked if Trek falls below 20 million this weekend (Friday-Sunday). It'll be nice if it does better than that, obviously.

Hand wringing has begun. On my end too, I admit. Gonna be very interesting, and a true test of legs.

Oh, I'm not hand wringing - I think a drop-off is a reasonable expectation, and the movie will finish out just fine regardless. We are not far, though, from the point at which the money slows to a relative dribble and we see significant accumulations over weeks rather than days for the next three months.

 

[Borgminister]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

I won't be shocked if Trek falls below 20 million this weekend (Friday-Sunday). It'll be nice if it does better than that, obviously.

Hand wringing has begun. On my end too, I admit. Gonna be very interesting, and a true test of legs.

Oh, I'm not hand wringing - I think a drop-off is a reasonable expectation, and the movie will finish out just fine regardless. We are not far, though, from the point at which the money slows to a relative dribble and we see significant accumulations over weeks rather than days for the next three months.

I agree--just kidding. It would be interesting if Star Trek made the same the weekend following this one, as people tire of T4.

Wishful thinking.... let's hope it has a month or two left in the theaters.

 

[Norrin Radd]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

Believe it or not, I think Dance Flick is a wildcard. Those stupid spoof movies inexplicably seem to do very well sometimes.

 

[FordSVT]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

FYI, Star Trek is adding 193 theatres this weekend, to 4053.

Wow. Given the steady erosion in earnings, why? I suppose they are banking on those seats being filled...

it is starting to go into some of the secondary markets i suspect.
a lot of small towns still only have one or two screens.
so sometimes some films have to wait before they start in them.

hmm it would be cool seeing it on a drive in.

I've already heard from a friend of mine that Trek will be playing at a drive-in within a short drive this summer, I intend to go.

 

[Jeri]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

Thanks for the idea; the "Route 34 Drive-In" in Earlville, Illinois, is not far. I will check it out. It looks like they have Museum 2 and Wolverine coming up. I will have to give them a call.

 

[FordSVT]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

Believe it or not, I think Dance Flick is a wildcard. Those stupid spoof movies inexplicably seem to do very well sometimes.

They are usually released when nothing else is playing, they attract the teenage idiot crowd that texts on their phones through the entire movie. Disaster Movie was a total bomb, it barely even made back its $20m budget with ticket sales. But then Meet the Spartans, a movie equally as terrible and uninspired makes $85m from a $30m budget. So "wild card" is right, but I suspect (and looking through Wiki and IMBD I think I'm backed up by evidence) that movies like this released during peek seasons tend to get buried. Disaster Movie was released in August, ....Spartans was released in January. Epic Movie, the only other "...Movie" that made a conciderable chunk of cash in the past few years, was released in January as well.

In any case, I hope Dance Movie crashes and burns. Jason Friedman and Eric Seltzer need to be kicked in the balls repeatedly.

 

[USSPhilippi]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

Thanks for the idea; the "Route 34 Drive-In" in Earlville, Illinois, is not far. I will check it out. It looks like they have Museum 2 and Wolverine coming up. I will have to give them a call.

Brownsville Drive-In, which I've been to once, is showing T4 and Trek in a double-feature on screen 3. It's about a 1 hour drive from me though.

 

[Jeri]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

^ ^ Cozy website.

 

[chi]

Re: Star Trek #1 - $3.12 M Wednesday - $159 M domestic - $233 M worldw

T4 is getting bad press. Also a lot of poor rotten tomato reviews. Just heard on the 1070 AM news radio in Los Angeles that it was "boring..." I'm going to be seeing it anyway either tonight or tomorrow.