To be clear, I'm concerned only with the worldwide numbers. (Hence the deserved lack of Prince Caspian.)
Predict your top 10 summer 2009 movies
- Thread starter Captain Craig
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To be clear, I'm concerned only with the worldwide numbers. (Hence the deserved lack of Prince Caspian.)
INDY!
I've met few people who dislike Indiana Jones. A few years back, I met someone who had never seen it, and he got the look from everyone in the room. the look that says "Oh my....that's just un-american"
I've met few people who dislike Indiana Jones. A few years back, I met someone who had never seen it, and he got the look from everyone in the room. the look that says "Oh my....that's just un-american"
I think Prince Caspian will be in the top three, and certainly the top five, in terms of worldwide box office. The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe made $ 744.7 million worldwide, with 61% of that coming from international markets. Prince Caspian may not quite match that, but it should be a big money-maker nonetheless.
And, Jackson, I agree that The Dark Knight is one of those sequels that's likely to score an increase in box office like X-Men 2, Blade II, Pirates 2, and so forth - but just to be nitpicky I'll point out that Star Trek II grossed a little less than Star Trek: TMP (although it was far more profitable given the much lower budget).
I sent a PM to Top41 to change it.How come the correction doesn't show on the main page for the forum?Yes, sorry about that BBS'ers. I've corrected that now.
Posters can't change topic titles after 5 minutes have past. You need to PM a mod in order to change the topic title.
Thanks.
Ah, thank you for the correction. I always figured Star Trek II made more because of the reduced budget and because I remember hearing that it made more, but that was likely assumption or incorrect information due to the fact that the film's budget was lowered.
200+ Mil: Indy 4, Narnia 2, WallE, Iron Man
Not Quite 200 Mil: Dark Knight (only b/c it's three hours long, the first only made 205)
100+ Mil: Speed Racer (it will do better than anyone is predicting here!), Hancock (a superhero movie with no plot or story or villain?), Kung Fu Panda, Mummy 3 (the bloom is off the rose), Zohan (only b/c Sandler), Clone Wars (even the OT re-releases in the 90s did 100+!)
Under 100Mil: Hulk (it will do worse than the first), Sex in the City, Get Smart, Hellboy 2 (tho I wish it would do better)
BOMB: Tropic Thunder (Apatow has had two bombs in a row, Walk Hard & Sarah Marshall, opens against Star Wars), The Happening (the Shyamalan hate is going strong), Wanted (opens against WallE), X-Files 2 (it's been too long with too many bad years at the end)
Not Quite 200 Mil: Dark Knight (only b/c it's three hours long, the first only made 205)
100+ Mil: Speed Racer (it will do better than anyone is predicting here!), Hancock (a superhero movie with no plot or story or villain?), Kung Fu Panda, Mummy 3 (the bloom is off the rose), Zohan (only b/c Sandler), Clone Wars (even the OT re-releases in the 90s did 100+!)
Under 100Mil: Hulk (it will do worse than the first), Sex in the City, Get Smart, Hellboy 2 (tho I wish it would do better)
BOMB: Tropic Thunder (Apatow has had two bombs in a row, Walk Hard & Sarah Marshall, opens against Star Wars), The Happening (the Shyamalan hate is going strong), Wanted (opens against WallE), X-Files 2 (it's been too long with too many bad years at the end)
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I'm just unsure on Star Wars: Clone Wars. The kids(12&under) will likely have been serviced by Wall*E, Panda or both. Its also late in the summer, closer to school starting. Its animation style is more adult, IMO, and then I'm not sure the SW fanbase goes deep into animation for its SW appreciation. The 90's re-releases were still the classics, this Clone Wars is its own niche. I'm just not feeling the $100m+ on this one.
Some poster here reported X-Files budget was low. Low as in the $35m range low. If that is true there is no way the film bombs.
Re:Forgetting Sarah Marshall
Is it not early to call it a bomb? It didn't open #1, is that your basis? We don't know its production budget. Its a dinky romantic comedy with stars whose names don't comand big money. It cost maybe $40m to make. If more I'd be curious on where the money was spent.
According to Box Office Mojo, Forgetting Sarah Marshall has a production budget of $30 million, which sounds about right. It should end up as a decent-sized success.
^^^
Last time I was on B.O.M. the FSM budget wasn't up. Thanks.
So, then yes Apatow need not worry. Marshall will be a success even if its not a run away monster hit.
Last time I was on B.O.M. the FSM budget wasn't up. Thanks.
So, then yes Apatow need not worry. Marshall will be a success even if its not a run away monster hit.
Don't be too sure that the film will fail. The response from X-FILES fans at the WonderCon panel in San Francisco was very enthusiastic. The amount of interest in this movie might surprise you this summer.
The response from Comic-Con 2005 over Superman Returns was also "very enthusiastic" as well -- it got a standing ovation from the audience.
Yeah, I'm not to sure a genre Convention is the best place to singularly gauge how a movie will do. You have a captive audience who are the core of the base.
It'd be like if you were an employee at say Apple and during the company release for the latest "I" thingy response was through the roof. Then it hits the street and no one wants it.
Fans want it to do well so we get more. The street just wants entertainment regardless(I think most times) of the vehicle in which it comes to them.
Granted, I'm in the camp that thinks X-Files will surprise and do well, more than $50m well.
I also think X-Files 2 will do well. It won't break new box office records (then again, who knows, it could), but I expect it to be a sizable hit.
Maybe so. Maybe there's absolutely no way to tell what the interest is. At Comic-Con, the Battlestar Galactica panels are always Standing Room Only, but the program isn't really that big a hit. Regardless, I'll take any good signs where I can find them.